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UConn vs Miami Odds, Picks & Predictions for Final Four

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in College Basketball

Updated Apr 1, 2023 · 3:53 PM PDT

UConn Huskies players high-fiving
Mar 17, 2023; Albany, NY, USA; UConn Huskies forward Adama Sanogo (21) reacts during a timeout against the Iona Gaels during the second half at MVP Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports
  • UConn is a 5.5-point favorite over UConn in an NCAA Tournament national semifinal on Saturday night in Houston
  • Miami will be making its first appearance in a Final Four
  • A look at the Miami vs UConn odds and predictions can be found below 

Miami will be making its first-ever Final Four appearance when it meets UConn in an NCAA Tournament national semifinal at 8:49 p.m. ET Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston.

Miami (29-7, 22-14 ATS) has won 13 of its last 15 games after rallying to beat Texas 88-81 in the Midwest Region final. UConn (29-8, 25-12 ATS) routed Gonzaga 82-54 in the West Regional championship game to win for the 10th time in its last 11 games.

CBS will televise the game.

Miami vs UConn Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Miami +200 +5.5 (-110) Over 149 (-110)
UConn -240 -5.5 (-110) Under 149 (-110)

UConn is a 5.5-point favorite over Miami and a -245 choice on the moneyline, giving it a 71.01% implied win probability in the college basketball odds. The Huskies are favored at -125 in the NCAA Tournament championship odds and the Hurricanes are listed at +475.

The winner advances to the championship game Monday night to play the winner of the other semifinal between Florida Atlantic (35-3) or San Diego State (31-6).



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Odds as of April 1 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends

Miami has one of the most potent offensives in the country. The Hurricanes are 12th in free throw percentage (78.0), 14th in field goal shooting (48.4%), 21st in scoring (79.6) and 42nd in three-point percentage (36.9).

Junior guard Isaiah Wong was the ACC Player of the Year and is averaging 16.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists a game.

Wong scored 12 of his 14 points in the second half in the win over Texas as Miami rallied from a 13-point deficit. The Hurricanes trailed 64-51 with 13:22 left.

Senior guard Jordan Miller was perfect while scoring a season-high 27 points. He made all seven field goal attempts and was 13 of 13 at the free throw line.

Miller became just the second player to go a combined 20 for 20 from the floor and foul line combined in an NCAA Tournament game since 1960, joining former Duke standout Christian Laettner.

For the season, Miller has averages of 15.4 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He has five games of at least 20 points.

Sophomore guard Nigel Pack has a 13.8 scoring average and sophomore forward Norchad Omier is scoring 13.3 points and pulling down 10.1 rebounds a game. Omier is third in the ACC in rebounding and his 57.9 field goal percentage is second.

Pack scored 15 points against Texas. Omier had 11 points and nine rebounds and sophomore guard Wooga Poplar contributed 16 points, six rebounds and four assists.

Miami shot 59.2%, making 29 of 49 field goal attempts.

UConn Huskies Betting Trends

UConn has rolled through the NCAAs, winning all four games by double digits with an average margin of victory of 22.5 points.

The Huskies are one of the top all-round teams in the nation as they are 28th in scoring offense (78.8) and 35th in scoring defense (64.4). They also rank 13th in three-point defense (29.7%), 20th in overall field goal defense (40.4%) and 35th in free throw shooting (76.0%).

Junior forward Adama Sanogo is averaging a Big East-best 17.1 points a game as well as 7.5 rebounds. He is fifth in field goal percentage with a 60.2 mark.

Sanogo had his eighth double-double of 2022-23 against Gonzaga with 10 points and 10 rebounds. He also helped UConn hold the Bulldogs to just 33.3% shooting (20 of 60), including 2 for 20 (10.0%) on three-pointers.

Sophomore guard Jordan Hawkins knocked down 6 of 10 shots from three-point range on his way to a game-high 20 points. It was the 15th game of 20 or more points this season for Hawkins, who is third in the Big East in scoring with a 16.3 average.

Freshman forward Alex Karaban chipped in with 12 points.

UConn won the national championship the last time it reached the Final Four in 2014. The Huskies are also 8-1 all-time in Final Four games.

Miami vs UConn Prediction

UConn has won the last three games in the series, including rolling to an 80-55 rout during the 2019-20 season. Wong, who has +20000 Wooden Award odds, is the only player remaining on either team from that game. He scored seven points for Miami.

The way UConn is playing, this game could wind up being nearly as lopsided.

Pick: UConn -5.5 (-110)

Season Record: 35-32 (-0.2) ATS, 4-10 (-5.5 units) ML


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