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Yale vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (March 22)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Basketball

Updated Mar 22, 2024 · 1:00 PM PDT

Auburn Tigers forward Johni Broome
Auburn Tigers forward Johni Broome (4) cheers on his teammate, Auburn Tigers center Dylan Cardwell (44), as he exits the game during the SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Championship game at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, March 17, 2024 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., Sunday, March 17, 2024.
  • Auburn battles Yale in Friday March Madness college basketball action
  • The latest CBB odds favor the Tigers, while player props are also available
  • Read below for Auburn vs Yale prediction, odds, and player props to bet

The No. 4 Auburn Tigers take on the No. 13 Yale Bulldogs in Friday March Madness action. Tip-off for this game is set for 4:15 PM ET in Spokane, Washington, with TNT carrying the broadcast nationally.

The March Madness odds are in favor of Auburn for this neutral site game, pricing Bruce Pearl’s team as significant -12.5 point favorites against the spread. The over/under is offered at 140.5, while player props are also available.

Let’s dive into our Yale vs Auburn prediction as we analyze the odds and determine the best picks and props to bet.

Yale vs Auburn Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Yale Bulldogs +12.5 (-110) +550 Over 140.5 (-110)
Auburn Tigers -12.5 (-110) -800 Under 140.5 (-110)

In the Yale vs Auburn odds, the Tigers are notable -800 favorites on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 89%.

Per the 2024 March Madness odds, the Tigers are +1800 to win the entire tournament, while the Bulldogs are significant +50000 longshots.

 

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Auburn Tigers Betting Analysis

Auburn enters the March Madness tournament riding a six-game winning streak, including an impressive 86-67 victory over Florida in the SEC Title game.

Johni Broome and Jaylin Williams make up one of the most dominant frontcourt duos in the league. They combine to average nearly 30 points per game. The Tigers as a whole on offense average 83.24 points per game, which is 13th best in the country.

While the team can put up points in bunches, their defense might be even more impressive. Auburn ranks fourth in adjusted efficiency per KenPom metrics. They only allow opponents to shoot 39% from the field, which ranks third in the nation.

In terms of betting trends, Auburn has been one of the best money-makers in CBB this year. The Tigers have covered in 21 of their 34 games, good for a 62% clip. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in neutral-site games, which is important to note with this game being played in Spokane, Washington.

Yale Bulldogs Betting Analysis

Yale enters the NCAA tournament following a wild win over Brown in the Ivy League Title game. Power forward Matt Knowling beat the buzzer with a short shot in the final seconds to clinch the Ivy League bid for his team.

Yale has been a fairly efficient offensive team this season, averaging 75.6 points per game (114th). They are shooting an impressive 47.25% from the field, which is top-50 in the nation. Knowling and long point guard Bez Mbeng have played key roles in that success, combining to shoot 59% from inside the arc.

Yale has also been a solid defensive team this year, allowing 67 points per contest, which ranks 42nd in the country. However, the advanced metrics tell a bit of a different story, as the Bulldogs rank 89th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

The key betting trend to note for Yale is that the team has lost 10 straight games to SEC opponents. Overall, they went 16-12-1 against the spread this season, covering in four of their past five games.

Auburn vs Yale Player Props

The table below displays the available player props for Auburn vs Yale at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
August Mahoney 9.5 (Ov +100 | Un -140) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135) OFF 1.5 (Ov -190 | Un +145)
Bez Mbeng 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135) 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) 3.5 (Ov -145 | Un +105) 0.5 (Ov -145 | Un +105)
Chad Baker 10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -145) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -145) OFF 0.5 (Ov -225 | Un +165)
Danny Wolf 12.5 (Ov +105 | Un -145) 8.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) OFF OFF
Denver Jones 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135) 2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -170) OFF 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175)
Jaylin Williams (AUB) 10.5 (Ov -135 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov -150 | Un +110) OFF 0.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135)
John Poulakidas 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -130) 2.5 (Ov -155 | Un +115) OFF 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -190)
Johni Broome 16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120) 8.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -170) 0.5 (Ov -165 | Un +110)
Matt Knowling 10.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -145) 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) OFF

Odds as of March 22nd, at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Here are two bets we have locked in for Friday’s action:

Johni Broome Over 8.5 Rebounds (-130)

I’m expecting a big game on the glass from the Tigers’ double-double machine. He’s averaging 8.4 RPG on the season and has gone over this total in 5 of his last 7 outings.

Yale ranks just 90th in rebounding, so Broome should have plenty of opportunities to clean up the defensive boards. The athletic big man posted 11 rebounds in the SEC title game and is in great form entering the tournament.

Jaylin Williams 2+ Made Threes (+235 odds)

Williams, Auburn’s second-leading scorer at 12.4 PPG, has really found his stroke from deep lately. The 6’8″ senior is shooting a scorching 48.6% from three over his last 5 games while attempting nearly 5 triples per contest during that span. Yale’s perimeter defense is nothing special, ranking outside the top 200 in opponent 3P%.

FanDuel is offering Williams to score 2+ made threes at +235, and I love getting plus odds on Williams to knock down a pair of threes in this one.

Auburn vs Yale Prediction

Tigers coach Bruce Pearl isn’t happy about his team being sent 2,300 miles west for his club’s first NCAA Tournament game. “This is three times they have shipped us quite a ways away,” Pearl told reporters. We expect he will have his team quite motivated on Friday.

Although Auburn is clearly the better team on paper, the Ivy League’s history of upsets in March Madness is a reason to exercise caution when betting on this game. Yale beat Baylor in the first round of the 2016 tournament and has elements of a Cinderella team.

Ultimately, Auburn’s depth should prove the difference in this game. The Bulldogs could be without Casey Simmons (injured), their seventh man and key defensive player. Furthermore, Yale has yet to face a defense of Auburn’s caliber.

There will be upsets in the March Madness Playoff Bracket, but we don’t foresee this being one of them. Expect Auburn’s aggressive defense and ability to force turnovers to be the difference as they continue their strong play in neutral-site games.

Yale vs Auburn Pick:

  • Auburn Tigers -12.5 (-110)

 

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