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Alabama 2023 Season Win Total & Over/Under Prediction

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in College Football

Updated Jun 23, 2023 · 8:06 AM PDT

Nick Saban talking to players
Apr 22, 2023; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Alabama head coach Nick Saban has some words for the Crimson defense after they allowed a long touchdown run during the A-Day game at Bryant-Denny Stadium. At left is Crimson team linebacker Jihaad Campbell (30) and at right is Crimson team linebacker Trezmen Marshall (17) at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Alabama Crimson Tide have +148 odds to top 10.5 wins in 2023
  • ‘Bama returns just nine starters, and are unsettled at quarterback
  • Read below to find win total odds, analysis and our betting prediction for Alabama’s win total

At some point, perhaps the Nick Saban-led Alabama Crimson Tide will hit a wall in their dynastic run.

However, it may be a little premature to think this will be the season.

The college football win totals odds have been released, and oddsmakers don’t think this edition of the ‘Tide can get to 11 wins. In a 12-game regular season, with only nine starters returning, perhaps there should be some doubt.

Last year’s squad finished 11-2, but failed to make the College Football Playoff for the first time since 2015.

With a mass exodus of stars and staff, it will come down to your belief in how well you think Saban can turn a usual-marquee recruiting class into a title contender.

2023 Alabama Regular Season Win Total Odds

Projected Regular Season Wins Over Odds Under Odds
10.5 +148 -184

With a 12-game slate, Alabama has been given +148 odds on cracking the 10.5 win threshold, while getting -184 odds to lose two games. Let’s break down the upcoming year and find out where the best bet lies.

Odds as of June 19, 2023, at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s FanDuel review or another one of North America’s top sports betting sites.

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Crimson Tide Key Players

The biggest question mark for 2023 is who steps in for Bryce Young at QB? Young has followed a crush of ‘Bama pivots to the pros, a list that includes Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones and Jalen Hurts.

That question seems up in the air, as Jalen Milroe, Ty Simpson and Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner are still battling for the top spot.

Throw in new offensive coordinator Tommy Reese, who spent the last three years putting together top-40 offenses or better at Notre Dame, and this will be interesting.

Even after losing Jahmyr Gibbs to the NFL, they’re deep at running back. Jase McClellan is one of a slew of backs that could move to the premier role in 2023, along with Roydell Williams and Jamarion Miller.

Albama is also hoping Malik Benson adds some explosiveness to the receiving group. The top junior college prospect in the 2023 recruiting class, Benson caught 97 passes for 2,152 yards and 21 touchdowns at Hutchinson Community College.

The defense was sixth in 2022 (4th vs the run, 12th vs the pass) and while they’ve been stripped of plenty of top-flight talent, they’ve been replaced by 10 4-and-5-star recruits.

It will be interesting to see how new defensive coordinator Kevin Steele can mold the group. It will be his fourth different iteration as DC with Alabama.

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If there is one thing that can trip up Alabama, it’s the SEC.

There’s no other conference that boasts so many titans in college football, and the ‘Tide felt that a year ago, getting thumped by 6th-ranked Tennessee and losing a close one to 10th-ranked LSU on the road.

And being the glamour school means every team circles them as their main event. This year, they have to contend with five preseason top-25 opponents.

However, the early college football betting lines available still have them as favorites in every game.

Alabama Top 25 Opponent Odds in 2023

Date Opponent Alabama Odds
Sept 9 [5] Texas Longhorns -9.5 (-115)
Oct 7 [19] Texas A&M Aggies -9.5 (-110)
Oct 21 [12] Tennessee Volunteers -8.5 (-110)
Nov 4 [4] LSU Tigers -9.5 (-110)

That list doesn’t include 16th-ranked Ole Miss, as well as SEC-capable foes in the Arkansas Razorbacks, Ole Miss Rebels and Auburn in the season-ending Iron Bowl.

If you pencil in wins vs Middle Tennessee, South Florida, Kentucky and Chattanooga, Alabama would need to go 7-1 against that gauntlet.

Alabama 2023 Win Total Prediction

Despite all the potential bumps in the road, it’s hard to go against a Nick Saban-led team, even if they reside in the ultra-competitive SEC.

While this latest run of success has been powered by star-level QB’s, Alabama doesn’t need a Heisman winner at pivot to unleash hell in college football.

They have USA Today’s 6th-ranked offensive line heading into this season, and a nice stable of running backs that could run through teams in the early going as they settle in on a starting QB. That, and you know their defense can plug and play with elite-level talent.

There’s rarely a chance to bet on ‘Bama with plus odds, but this is certainly one of them.

Pick: Alabama Over 10.5 Wins (+148)

 

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