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Alabama, Texas A&M and Cincinnati 2019 Win Totals Have Solid Value for NCAAF Bettors

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Football

Jun 27, 2019 · 3:40 AM PDT

Tua Tagovailoa on the field for Alabama
Tua Tagovailoa is off to a red-hot start in the 2019 season. Photo by the University of Alabama (Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • Sportsbooks have updated their 2019 NCAAF win totals to include 80 teams
  • There are plenty of value bets on the board, but the odds on Alabama, Cincinnati and Texas A&M are especially appealing
  • What are the best win total bets on the board?

The college football season kicks off in less than two months and you can now wager on the NCAAF win totals for 80 different programs. There are plenty of profitable betting opportunities on the board beginning with the most dominant team in the nation over the last decade.

2019 Alabama Regular Season Win Total Odds

Projected 2019 Regular Season Wins Over Odds Under Odds
11 -115 -115

*All odds taken June 26, 2019

The Crimson Tide have won six SEC titles, five National Championships and at least 12 games nine times since 2008. Their non-conference schedule is one of the softest in all of college football and barring a series of catastrophic injuries, they’ll be favored in every game this season.

They’ll need to win all 12 of their regular season games to eclipse their projection, but going undefeated is nothing new for Bama. They’ve lost just one regular season game total in the last three years and rate number one in returning production and recruiting impact in the preseason S&P rankings.

Throw in the motivation of avenging last year’s National Championship loss and a 12 win season seems very probable.

Pick: Alabama Over 11 Wins (-115)

2019 Cincinnati Regular Season Win Total Odds

Projected 2019 Regular Season Wins Over Odds Under Odds
6.5 +150 -180

Cincinnati shocked the college football world last year by winning 11 games and the pieces are in place for them to eclipse the .500 mark again this season. AAC rookie of the year Desmond Ridder is a quarterback on the rise, and the Bearcats boast three talented running backs including Michael Warren, fresh off a 19 touchdown season.

The receiving corps is strong and the offensive line returns four players with starting experience. The defense is raw, but talented, and if they can generate a pass rush similar to last season, eight to ten wins is a realistic possibility. They’ll also have a favorable schedule as six of their 12 opponents won seven games or fewer last season, and only three of their opponents are ranked higher in the S&P preseason rankings.

Pick: Cincinnati Over 6.5 Wins (+150)

2019 Texas A&M Regular Season Win Total Odds

Projected 2019 Regular Season Wins Over Odds Under Odds
7.5 -150 +120

Texas A&M is an incredibly talented team but they’ll play arguably the toughest schedule in all of college football. The Aggies will face six of the top-10 S&P ranked teams including each of the top-4 in Clemson, Alabama, Georgia and LSU. They’ll be significant underdogs in each of those four games, and assuming they lose all four, they’ll need to beat both Auburn and Mississippi State in addition to six other teams to barely eclipse their projection.

Expectations are high in College Station, but this daunting schedule will be too much to overcome. It will be at least one more year before Texas A&M are ready to be serious SEC contenders.

Pick: Texas A&M Under 7.5 Wins (+120)

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