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Georgia vs LSU Over/Under Falls From 57.5 to 54; Can UGA Defense Stifle Joe Burrow?

Georgia Bulldog defense making a gang tackle
The Georgia Bulldog defense is allowing just 10.4 points and 257.3 yards per game.(Photo/Gabriella Audi)
  • #2 LSU will meet #4 Georgia in the SEC Championship Game on Saturday, Dec. 7th
  • The Tigers are 7-point favorites for Saturday’s matchup
  • The total, after opening at 57.5, has dropped all the way to 54 early in the week

With a huge weekend of conference championship games ahead, Saturday’s matchup between #4 Georgia and #2 LSU (Dec. 7, 4:00 PM ET) may be the biggest. This game has massive playoff implications, and the Georgia vs LSU SEC Championship odds have seen plenty of activity throughout the week.

Georgia vs LSU Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Georgia Bulldogs +7 (-110) +220 O 54 (-110)
LSU Tigers -7 (-110) -260 U 54 (-110)

Odds taken December 4th.

The biggest movement in these odds has been, by far, on the total. After opening at 57.5, it has sunk quickly down to just 54.5, and now sits at just 54 as of Wednesday night.

This drop comes with the context of two teams who get it done in far different ways. The Bulldog offense has been pedestrian, but defensively, they are elite. Georgia allows just 257.3 yards per game, and just 10.4 points per game.

Meanwhile, LSU has been just the opposite. Their defense hasn’t been the usual, dominant Tiger defense that LSU often fields, but the offense has more than made up for it. Behind Joe Burrow’s 4,366 yards and 44 touchdowns, this unit has been lighting it up in 2019. They’re scoring an average of 48.7 points per game, and putting 560.7 yards per game.

This is a classic matchup of styles, and so far, the movement on the total indicates that bettors think this game could be Georgia’s style of football.

Tigers Still The Favorite

While the total has seen some significant movement, the point spread has remained consistently in favor of the Tigers by a touchdown. LSU has been on a roll lately, stringing together 50-point performances against Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Texas A&M in the weeks following their massive win at Alabama.

However, the Tigers have also gone just 2-2 against the spread, failing to cover against Ole Miss and Arkansas, and bringing the Tigers’ season record to just 7-5 ATS.

Georgia is also 7-5 against the spread, but they’ve been much stronger in recent weeks. They’re 3-1 in their last four games, and that stretch has included big wins over Auburn and Texas A&M.

What’s the Best Bet?

With the total having shifted in favor of Georgia’s style of football game, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the point spread follow suit. That’s one of the reasons why, leading up to Saturday, the Bulldogs +7.5 are the best bet for the SEC Championship.

Another important note in this game is that, while it is technically a neutral-site matchup, this is being played in Georgia’s backyard. Athens and Atlanta are just an hour apart, and in several SEC Title games in recent years, the crowd has certainly been Bulldog-heavy.

With their dominant defense, and a favorable crowd, the Bulldogs getting a touchdown is an exciting prospect.

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