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Michigan State vs Washington Odds, Preview and Prediction

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Sep 15, 2022 · 6:30 AM PDT

Michigan State vs Washington odds
Coach Mel Tucker and the Michigan State Spartans take the field before the game against Akron on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing. 220910 Msu Akron Fb 063a
  • The Washington Huskies are 3.5-point home favorites over the #11 Michigan State Spartans in a college football game scheduled for Saturday, September 17
  • Washington is 2-1 straight up in three previous meetings between these two schools
  • It’s the first time the Huskies and Spartans are meeting since the 1997 Aloha Bowl

There’s not a lot of history to assess between the Washington Huskies (2-0) and the #11 Michigan State Spartans (2-0). So the best bet is to be looking at the present.

Both schools are unbeaten in the young college football season. Each put up 52 points in their Week 2 victories. Michigan State blanked Akron 52-0. Washington crushed Portland State 52-6.

It’s their first meeting on the gridiron since Christmas Day 1997, when Washington, a 5-point favorite, buried Michigan State 51-23 in the Aloha Bowl. The Huskies also beat the Spartans 42-16 at Seattle in 1970. Michigan State was a 27-11 winner at home in East Lansing in 1969. And that covers the entire history of this rivalry.

Oddsmakers are going with the Huskies to continue their winning ways over the Spartans. They’re setting Washington as 3.5-point home favorites. Both teams are also 2-0 against the spread so far this season.

Michigan State vs Washington Odds

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Michigan State Spartans +3.5 (-113) O 56.5 (-113) +130
Washington Huskies -3.5 (-108) U 56.5 (-108) -159

Odds as of September 15 at Barstool Sportsbook. See the available Barstool Sportsbook bonus code here.

 

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The kickoff for this game at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium is set for 7:30 pm ET on Saturday, September 17. The weather forecast is predicting cloudy skies, 6 mph wind and a temperature of 64 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on ABC.

Michigan State vs Washington Betting Trends

At moneyline odds of -159, the Huskies are offering an implied probability of victory of 61.39% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Washington would deliver a payout of just $16.30.

In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the bettors are rolling with the underdog Spartans. Michigan State is getting 65% of the handle and 80% of bets on the spread. Moneyline bettors are backing the Spartans with 90% of handle and 91% of bets in the public splits. Adding up the total, there’s a division taking place. Bets are 62% favoring the over. Handle is backing the under to the tune of 57%.

Interestingly, four of Michigan State’s last five games have gone under. Meanwhile, four of Washington’s last five games went over.

In NCAA future bets, the Spartans are +15000 in the National Championship odds. Washington is also set at a betting line of +15000. Michigan State is the +2700 sixth betting choice to win the Big Ten title. ย The Huskies are the fifth pick to win the Pac-12 at +1200.

Spartans Rely On Ground Game

Michigan State sets the tone by running the ball. The Spartans are averaging 228.5 yards per game rushing. They’ve scored seven rushing TDs. Jalen Berger is pacing MSU backs with 227 rushing yards and four touchdowns. He’s averaging 6.7 yards per carry.

Spartans quarterback Payton Thorne isn’t likely to be confused with Peyton Manning. He’s completing just 57.7% of his passes this season. In two games against MAC opposition, he’s been picked off three times against only four touchdown passes. Thorne is averaging a paltry nine yards per completion.

Huskies Prefer To Air It Out

Under new head coach Kalen DeBoer, Washington is relying on the pass game to pace the attack. Huskies QB Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 682 yards and six TDs over the first two games. He’s completing 69.7% of his passes. Washington’s offense ranks fourth in the nation in expected points added per play.

Michigan State suited up what was statistically the worst defensive secondary in the country a year ago. The data is better so far this season, but this will be the first true test of whether the revamped Spartans secondary is up to the task.

They should be helped by a pass rush that gets after the quarterback. Michigan State is showing an NCAA-leading 12 sacks through two games. Jacoby Windman has garnered 5.5 of those sacks.

Michigan State vs Washington Prediction

Washington is the #3 offense (571 YPG) and #10 scoring offense (48.5 PPG) in the NCAA. The Huskies have scored on 15 of 21 drives and 10 of 11 first-half drives. Washington leads the Pac-12 in total offense, pass efficiency defense, and total defense.

That being said, the Pac-12 isn’t what it used to be. Michigan State is the first ranked Power 5 Conference playing at Washington in 12 years. Will the Huskies be up to the test?

Pick: Michigan State Spartans +3.5 (-110).

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