- The Washington Huskies are 3.5-point home favorites over the #11 Michigan State Spartans in a college football game scheduled for Saturday, September 17
- Washington is 2-1 straight up in three previous meetings between these two schools
- It’s the first time the Huskies and Spartans are meeting since the 1997 Aloha Bowl
There’s not a lot of history to assess between the Washington Huskies (2-0) and the #11 Michigan State Spartans (2-0). So the best bet is to be looking at the present.
Both schools are unbeaten in the young college football season. Each put up 52 points in their Week 2 victories. Michigan State blanked Akron 52-0. Washington crushed Portland State 52-6.
It’s their first meeting on the gridiron since Christmas Day 1997, when Washington, a 5-point favorite, buried Michigan State 51-23 in the Aloha Bowl. The Huskies also beat the Spartans 42-16 at Seattle in 1970. Michigan State was a 27-11 winner at home in East Lansing in 1969. And that covers the entire history of this rivalry.
Oddsmakers are going with the Huskies to continue their winning ways over the Spartans. They’re setting Washington as 3.5-point home favorites. Both teams are also 2-0 against the spread so far this season.
Michigan State vs Washington Odds
|Michigan State Spartans||+3.5 (-113)||O 56.5 (-113)||+130|
|Washington Huskies||-3.5 (-108)||U 56.5 (-108)||-159|
Odds as of September 15 at Barstool Sportsbook. See the available Barstool Sportsbook bonus code here.
The kickoff for this game at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium is set for 7:30 pm ET on Saturday, September 17. The weather forecast is predicting cloudy skies, 6 mph wind and a temperature of 64 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on ABC.
Michigan State vs Washington Betting Trends
At moneyline odds of -159, the Huskies are offering an implied probability of victory of 61.39% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Washington would deliver a payout of just $16.30.
In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the bettors are rolling with the underdog Spartans. Michigan State is getting 65% of the handle and 80% of bets on the spread. Moneyline bettors are backing the Spartans with 90% of handle and 91% of bets in the public splits. Adding up the total, there’s a division taking place. Bets are 62% favoring the over. Handle is backing the under to the tune of 57%.
Washington hasn't played a ranked, Power-5, non-conference opponent in Husky Stadium since 2010.
#11-ranked Michigan State visits this Saturday afternoon.
— Husky Football News (@HuskyFBNews) September 14, 2022
Interestingly, four of Michigan State’s last five games have gone under. Meanwhile, four of Washington’s last five games went over.
In NCAA future bets, the Spartans are +15000 in the National Championship odds. Washington is also set at a betting line of +15000. Michigan State is the +2700 sixth betting choice to win the Big Ten title. The Huskies are the fifth pick to win the Pac-12 at +1200.
Spartans Rely On Ground Game
Michigan State sets the tone by running the ball. The Spartans are averaging 228.5 yards per game rushing. They’ve scored seven rushing TDs. Jalen Berger is pacing MSU backs with 227 rushing yards and four touchdowns. He’s averaging 6.7 yards per carry.
Jalen Berger: 227 rushing yards / 4 TDs
Jarek Broussard: 135 rushing yards / 2 TDs
These guys are going to bring some excitement to East Lansing pic.twitter.com/EkJxwnDCa7
— 𝕊𝕡𝕒𝕣𝕥𝕒𝕟 𝔽𝕒𝕟 (@SpartyOn70) September 12, 2022
Spartans quarterback Payton Thorne isn’t likely to be confused with Peyton Manning. He’s completing just 57.7% of his passes this season. In two games against MAC opposition, he’s been picked off three times against only four touchdown passes. Thorne is averaging a paltry nine yards per completion.
Huskies Prefer To Air It Out
Under new head coach Kalen DeBoer, Washington is relying on the pass game to pace the attack. Huskies QB Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 682 yards and six TDs over the first two games. He’s completing 69.7% of his passes. Washington’s offense ranks fourth in the nation in expected points added per play.
Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. leads the Pac-12 in passing yards (682) and passing TDs (6).
Michigan State leads the country in sacks with 12 in two games.
There's gonna be knife-fight at the line-of-scrimmage in Seattle this weekend. I'm here for it.
— RJ Young (@RJ_Young) September 14, 2022
Michigan State suited up what was statistically the worst defensive secondary in the country a year ago. The data is better so far this season, but this will be the first true test of whether the revamped Spartans secondary is up to the task.
They should be helped by a pass rush that gets after the quarterback. Michigan State is showing an NCAA-leading 12 sacks through two games. Jacoby Windman has garnered 5.5 of those sacks.
Michigan State vs Washington Prediction
Washington is the #3 offense (571 YPG) and #10 scoring offense (48.5 PPG) in the NCAA. The Huskies have scored on 15 of 21 drives and 10 of 11 first-half drives. Washington leads the Pac-12 in total offense, pass efficiency defense, and total defense.
No. 11 Michigan State is a 3.5-point 🐶 vs. unranked Washington on the road. To @RJ_Young that simply doesn't make sense.
Will you be betting on Sparty this weekend?
— FOX Bet Live (@FOXBetLive) September 14, 2022
That being said, the Pac-12 isn’t what it used to be. Michigan State is the first ranked Power 5 Conference playing at Washington in 12 years. Will the Huskies be up to the test?
Pick: Michigan State Spartans +3.5 (-110).
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