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San Diego State vs Fresno State Odds, Spread and Picks

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Football

Updated Oct 28, 2022 · 10:30 AM PDT

San Diego State Aztecs running back Chance Bell warms up before the game
Oct 15, 2021; San Jose, California, USA; San Diego State Aztecs running back Chance Bell (21) warms up before the game against the San Jose State Spartans at CEFCU Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports
  • Fresno State is an 8.5-point home favorite against San Diego State on Saturday, Oct. 29
  • Each team has won two straight games and is 2-5 ATS this season
  • Read below for San Diego State vs Fresno State odds, spread and betting prediction

Fresno State (3-4, 2-1 Mountain West) is an 8.5-point home favorite against San Diego State in a Mountain West West Division game at 10:30 pm ET Saturday on FS1. The Bulldogs handed the then-7-0 and No. 20 Aztecs their first loss in 2021.

San Diego State (4-3, 2-1 has won its last two behind safety-turned-quarterback Jalen Mayden, the fifth quarterback the Aztecs have used this season. The teams are tied with San Jose State (4-2, 2-1) atop the West division.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
San Diego State Aztecs +8.5 (-112) +260 Over 41 (-108)
Fresno State Bulldogs -8.5 (-109) -335 Under 41 (-113)

Odds from Barstool Sportsbook on Oct 28. Claim the Barstool Sportsbook promo code for CFB betting.

Fresno State is an 8.5-point home favorite over San Diego State, and at-335 on the moneyline has a 77 percent implied win probability. Fresno State is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in the last four in the series, winning 30-20 and covering as a 2-point underdog in San Diego last season. The total has gone under in seven of their last series meetings and went over last season only when the Aztecs scored a meaningless touchdown with 66 seconds remaining.


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San Diego State is 2-5 ATS this season, 1-2 on the road, covering for the first time in a 23-7 victory at Nevada last week. The total has gone under in five of the Aztecs’ seven games this season. The line has not budged since being posted Monday.

Fresno State Presses On

The Bulldogs under coach Jeff Tedford have persevered after the loss of senior Jake Haener, arguably the best quarterback in the Mountain West when the season began.

Haener, who threw for 4,096 yards and 33 touchdowns last season, has not played since suffering a right ankle injury in a 45-17 loss at USC on Sept. 17. The Bulldogs lost to UConn and Boise State without Haener but have won the last two under reserve Logan Fife, who put up Haener-like numbers in wins over San Jose State and New Mexico.

Fife has passed for 461 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in the last two games, and he rushed for two touchdowns in a 40-9 victory over the Lobos the last time out. Fife put the game away with a 30-yard keeper for a 27-10 lead midway through the third quarter. The Bulldogs had 510 yards total offense.

Haener did not practice early this week and is not expected to play. Senior running back Jordan Mims has 647 yards rushing with a 4.9-yard average per carry and six touchdowns. Mims had a career-high 187 yards rushing against the Aztecs last season, when Haener passed for 308 yards, and has two of his seven career 100-yard games against them.

San Diego State Finds a QB

The Aztecs are 2-0 since athletic senior Jalen Mayden took over at quarterback for transfer Braxton Burmeister, although the victories have come against two of the Mountain West’s weakest teams, Hawaii and Nevada.

Mayden, 6’3 and 230, spent three seasons at Mississippi State before transferring in 2021. He played safety his first one-plus seasons with the Aztecs before changing sides of the ball. Mayden has completed only 59 percent of his passes, but he has not thrown an interception and had 322 yards passing Hawaii two weeks ago.

San Diego State starting halfback Chance Bell, who missed 2 1/2 games because of a left arm injury, has 108 yards on 19 carries in the last two games.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction

The Aztecs have found a quarterback (albeit an unconventional one) in Mayden, and they will be out to avenge a home loss last season against a Bulldogs’ team that is 2-6 ATS in their eight home games. Both these teams lost by 20 to Boise State (5-2, 4-0 Mountain Division) this season, but the winner of this one can position itself for a rematch in the Mountain West title game.

While the Aztecs do not score a lot (19.7 points per game), they also do not give up much (21.4). The Bulldogs will feel Haener’s loss in this one.

  • Pick: San Diego State +8.5 (-112)


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