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Virginia vs Georgia Tech Odds, Lines and Prediction

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Football

Oct 18, 2022 · 12:00 PM PDT

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets quarterback Jeff Sims passes
Sep 5, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets quarterback Jeff Sims (10) passes against the Clemson Tigers during the second half of the Chick-fil-A kickoff game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
  • Georgia Tech is a 3-point home favorite over Virginia on Thursday
  • Virginia is 1-6 ATS in its last seven, 0-5 SU in its last five road games
  • Read below for Virginia vs Georgia Tech odds, spread and betting prediction

Georgia Tech (3-3, 2-1 ACC) is a 3-point home favorite over Virginia in an Atlantic Coast Conference Coastal Division game at 5:30 pm ET Thursday on ESPN. The Yellow Jackets are one game behind first-place North Carolina in the Coastal.

Virginia (2-5, 0-3) has lost three in a row after beating Old Dominion 16-14. The Cavaliers’ other victory this season has come against FCS Richmond in the season opener.

Virginia vs Georgia Tech Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Virginia Cavaliers +3 (-110) +130 Over 45.5 (-110)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3 (-110) -150 Under 45.5 (-110)

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on Oct 18. Take advantage of the DraftKings college football promos

Virginia is a 3-point underdog against Georgia Tech but the Cavaliers have had the advantage in the recent series, going 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four. All four games have gone over the total.


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The Techsters are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the series in the last five in Atlanta, where the teams have not met since 2018. The total has gone under in five of the Wahoos’ last seven.

Georgia Tech on a Roll

The Rambling Wreck has turned its season around since assistant coach Brent Key was elevated to interim coach on Sept. 26. Key replaced Geoff Collins following a 1-3 start capped by a 27-10 loss to UCF. The early slate also included losses to  Clemson and Ole Miss, but Tech needs only one more win to exceed its projected number in the college football win totals.

Tech beat then-No. 24 Pitt 26-21 as a 21.5-point underdog and enter after a 23-20 overtime win over Duke as a 3.5-point dog, with dual-threat quarterback Jeff Sims doing much of the work. Sims had 183 yards total offense with a passing and rushing touchdown against the Panthers and his 18-yard touchdown run with 1:25 left sealed it. He had a combined 322 yards with two passing touchdowns last week.

Sims must be monitored here, however. He suffered a right leg injury on the first play of overtime against Duke, and Key said his availability will be a game-time decision. Wide receivers Nate McCollum (leg) and Malachi Carter are questionable. Akron transfer Zach Gibson, a fourth-year junior, filled in for Sims on the final two plays against Duke. Gibson completed 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,262, 10 touchdowns and no interceptions in seven games with the Zips in 2021.

Fifth-year junior Louisville transfer running back Hassan Hall has 330 yards rushing (5.4 yards per carry) and rushed for 157 against Pitt. Senior linebackers Ayinde Eley and Charlie Thomas have combined for 14.5 tackles for loss, 4.5 sacks, four forced fumbles and two interceptions.

Virginia In a Slump

The Cavaliers have not played since a 34-17 home loss to Louisville on Oct. 8, when they lost a 10-0 lead to a Cardinals’ team that played without starting quarterback Malik Cunningham, who was in the concussion protocols.

Virginia’s struggles coincide with those of five-year senior quarterback Brennan Armstrong, who has regressed under first-year coach and former Clemson assistant Tony Elliott after his career year in 2021. Armstrong has completed 55 percent of his passes for 1363 yards with five touchdowns and seven interceptions, a far cry from the numbers he posted a year ago — 65 percent competition rate, 4,449 yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.

The Cavaliers are 96th in NCAA Division I averaging 356.8 yards per game and 122nd in scoring at 17.8 per game.

Virginia wide receiver Billy Kemp IV is expected to play after suffering an ankle injury early in the Duke game that caused him to miss Louisville. Kemp has five receptions this season after collecting 74 a year ago. Starting linebacker Josh Ahern (undisclosed) is not expected to play, but linebacker and leading tackler Nick Jackson (knee) may get limited reps after being injured against Duke.

Virginia vs Georgia Tech Common Foe

These ACC teams have only one common opponent this season, Duke, and the outcomes were markedly different in games that were played a week apart. Georgia Tech enters after a 23-20 overtime victory at home against the Blue Devils, out-gaining Duke 407-272 in total offense during regulation.

Virginia was blown out by Duke 28-17 on Oct. 8, when the Blue Devils had an 82-yard advantage in total offense and had 248 yards rushing. Duke had a 13:20 advantage in time of possession.

Virginia vs Georgia Tech Prediction

These teams are on wildly divergent paths. Georgia Tech is amped and confident under Key, and the Jackets enter with on first two-game ACC winning streak since November 2018. Virginia has gone backward under Elliott. Tech averages only 17.3 points, but it has played a much tougher early schedule. Virginia is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in its three road games this season. Sims’ injury makes this pick a little murkier, but a motivated Tech team should continue its roll.

The pick: Georgia Tech -3 (-110)

Season: 23-21 ATS (+11.1 units)


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