Josh Allen Still Leads NFL MVP Odds After Dismantling Jets; Stafford, Prescott Gain Ground

By Bryan Thiel in NFL Football
Published:

- MVP favorite Josh Allen threw for 366 yards and two touchdowns against the Dolphins
- Dak Prescott threw two TDs and ran for another; Tom Brady and the Buccaneers struggled
- See the updated NFL MVP Odds for Week 10
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tom Brady blew a great opportunity on Sunday.
Taking on the Washington Football Team and coming off of a bye, the Buccaneers could put a little extra space between themselves and the Saints in the NFC South. What’s more, Brady could’ve closed on Josh Allen in the 2021 NFL MVP odds.
It wasn’t to be, as Washington frustrated a banged-up Bucs offense all afternoon, dropping them to 6-3. Brady had one of his least effective outings of the season, and Allen had one of his best. And the updated NFL MVP odds reflect that.
2021 NFL MVP Odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Josh Allen, BUF | +200 |
Tom Brady, TB | +300 |
Matthew Stafford, LAR | +600 |
Dak Prescott, DAL | +800 |
Aaron Rodgers, GB | +1000 |
Lamar Jackson, BAL | +1200 |
Kyler Murray, ARZ | +1600 |
Justin Herbert, LAC | +2000 |
Patrick Mahomes, KC | +2000 |
Ryan Tannehill, TEN | +3000 |
Joe Burrow, CIN | +5000 |
Jonathan Taylor, IND | +10000 |
Derek Carr, LVR | +10000 |
Cooper Kupp, LAR | +10000 |
Odds as of November 15th from FanDuel
This marks the fourth-straight week that Josh Allen has sat alone atop the NFL MVP odds. After struggling in a big way against the Jacksonville Jaguars, both Allen and the Bills made a statement in Week 10.
As for the rest of the board, Brady’s struggles stand out the most. Kyler Murray’s injury has severely handcuffed his odds, and Dak Prescott had a nice rebound.
Allen Keeps Brady at Bay
For the past few weeks, Tom Brady has been a trendy pick for the MVP award.
He’s got the numbers and the pedigree. And while Allen had a couple of poor showings mixed into his season, Brady’s floor was less volatile. But a winnable game against WFT turned into a stunning loss.
Week 10 Comparison: Josh Allen vs Tom Brady
21/28 | Comp/Att | 23/34 |
366 | Yards | 220 |
13.1 | Yards per Attempt | 6.5 |
2 | Touchdowns | 2 |
1 | Interceptions | 2 |
125.6 | Rating | 80.5 |
Brady started off on the wrong foot, tossing both of his picks on his first six attempts. While he was able get his team within a score, his defense couldn’t get off the field, costing him a shot at a comeback.
The 220 passing yards are Brady’s second fewest of the season, but at least when he threw for 211 against the Bears he mixed in four TDs.
Best QB/WR duo in the league? #HaveADay@JoshAllenQB | @StefonDiggs pic.twitter.com/4orToJPvES
— NFL (@NFL) November 14, 2021
Allen’s yardage was a season-high, and the third time he’s crossed the 350 yard mark. It was also the eighth time he’s thrown multiple TD passes in a game in 2021.
Dak Dazzles While Others Struggle
It wasn’t a banner few weeks for Dak Prescott coming out of the Cowboys’ bye week.
First, a calf injury that he had been battling forced him to miss Sunday Night Football against the Vikings. Then he returned to the lineup only to scuffle at home against the Broncos.
Dak Prescott uses his legs for the TD on 4th & 1 for the #Cowboys to lead 43-3 over the #Falcons. It’s a packed house at Jerry World! A massive bounce back performance from last week @BabeLaufenberg @Kyle_Youmans pic.twitter.com/0kMx0tHWyt
— Mandy Knight (@MandyKnight_TV) November 14, 2021
So what did he do? Rebound in a big way against the Falcons.
Notable Performances Week 10
Team | Comp/Att | Yards | TD | INT | Rushing Yards | Rushing TD | Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dak Prescott | 24/31 | 296 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 127.9 |
Patrick Mahomes | 35/50 | 406 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 127.6 |
Aaron Rodgers | 23/37 | 292 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 75.8 |
Justin Herbert | 20/34 | 195 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 72.5 |
Lamar Jackson | 26/43 | 238 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 73.6 |
There were a lot of low numbers across the board in Week 10. It started with Thursday night where Lamar Jackson was continuously frustrated by a feisty Dolphins defense. Justin Herbert had flashes of brilliance against the Vikings, but ultimately couldn’t get the job done.
When asked why he was “misty-eyed” after today’s game, Aaron Rodgers said: “I don’t take these things for granted, walking off the field as a winner.” pic.twitter.com/cYAFotF9xu
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) November 15, 2021
After spending 10 days in Covid protocol, Aaron Rodgers scored a win, but that cloud of controversy may hang over him all season.
The two who benefitted the most on Sunday were Prescott and Mahomes. Mahomes had seen his odds steadily decline as his struggles ran parallel to the Chiefs’. But a five touchdown performance in a primetime game can fix a lot.
Stafford Lurks in NFL MVP Odds
In Matthew Stafford’s case, a lot hinges on what he does Monday night. If it’s ugly, like his loss against the Titans, he’ll slide down the board. But if he pieces together a 300-yard, two touchdown night? He’ll give bettors a lot to think about. Especially with a bye week to get Odell Beckham Jr fully integrated into the offense.
Brady’s missed opportunity against Washington hurts, because after the Giants in Week 11, the Colts, Bills and Saints are on tap. Mix in divisional games against the Falcons and Panthers and it won’t be smooth sailing for TB.
Matthew Stafford in Week 9:
◼️ 294 yards, 2 INTs, LJosh Allen in Week 9:
◼️ 264 yards, 2 INTs, LLamar Jackson on Thursday:
◼️ 238 yards, INT, LTom Brady today:
◼️ 220 yards, 2 INTs, LDoes anybody want to win MVP?
— Andrew Fenichel (@Andrew_Fenichel) November 14, 2021
Buffalo has a tough stretch run as well, with some upcoming defenses that could slow their offense down.
Prescott, like Stafford, has every opportunity to move up the board. He doesn’t necessarily have to win his Week 11 meeting with the Chiefs, he just has to post a big number. After that it’s a schedule that’s challenging, with some soft spots too.
With eight weeks to go, Stafford and Prescott are the names to watch.

Sports Writer
Bryan has spent the last decade working in the sports industry. From the sidelines in the OHL and Rugby League to behind the scenes at TSN, Bryan has a wealth of experience with a soft spot for props and parlays.