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Antonio Brown 2020 Odds and Stat Projections After Joining Buccaneers

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Oct 29, 2020 · 6:30 AM PDT

There's no clear picture yet as to when Antonio Brown will make his Bucs debut but that hasn't stopped the sportsbooks from releasing a series of prop wagers speculating on his production levels in Tampa Bay.
  • How will Antonio Brown fare with his new team the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
  • A series of prop bets relating to Brown’s offensive production are being offered
  • The best bets on these props are listed in the following story

The latest last chance for Antonio Brown will come with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The All-Pro but oft-troubled wide receiver began working out with the team this week.

There’s no clear picture yet as to when Brown will make his Bucs debut but that hasn’t stopped the sportsbooks from releasing a series of prop wagers speculating on his production levels in Tampa Bay.

How many games will he play? What will his total touchdown output be? How many receptions yards will Brown accumulate?

These are just a few among a series of props that can be played on the talented but frequently-troubled wideout.

Antonio Brown Over/Under Props

Prop Over Odds Under Odds
Total Regular Season Appearances Over 5.5 (-159) Under 5.5 (+125)
Total Regular Season Touchdowns Over 3.5 (-118) Under 3.5 (-105)
Total Regular Season Receiving Yards Over 399.5 (-105) Under 399.5 (-118)

Odds as of Oct. 29 at BetMGM

Which Brown Are Buccaneers Receiving?

The first question that should be analyzed by any bettor opting to enter the Brown speculation business is to decipher which version of him are the Bucs going to be getting on the field?

Brown was sensational in Pittsburgh. He’s a seven-time All-Pro selection. He led the NFL in receptions in 2014 (129) and 2015 (136). His reception-yardage numbers led the league in 2014 (1,698) and 2017 (1,533). He was the first receiver in NFL history to reach 100 catches in six successive seasons.

In 2019, Brown topped all NFL receivers with 15 touchdown catches. Since then, though, his career and at time his life, have gone completely off the rails.

Brown sat out a team-issued suspension during his final game with Pittburgh. The Steelers ended up trading him to the Raiders, where he was cut in the preseason after going on social media and openly criticizing the team.

Signed by the New England Patriots, Brown was cut after one game when off-the-field legal issues surfaced. That started a downward path leading to more issues with law enforcement and ultimately a July 31st NFL suspension for violating the league’s personal conduct policy.

On the surface, it would appear that the last thing Tampa Bay needs is another wide receiver. Both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin went over the 1,000-yard barrier last season. Scotty Miller offers a capable third option at wideout.

Initially, it seemed hard to find a fit for Brown in the Buccaneers wide receiver room. However, an opening has suddenly appeared.

Godwin Injury Opens Door

Godwin’s injury-plagued season is continuing. This week saw him suffering a broken finger requiring surgery.

Might this be Brown’s opportunity? He worked out with the Bucs for the first time on Wednesday. Still under suspension, Brown is allowed to attend team meetings but only permitted to work out on his own with the team’s strength and conditioning coaches.

It’s unlikely that he’ll play on Monday against the New York Giants. However, if Godwin is out for any length of time, suiting up Brown for a key Week 9 NFC South showdown with the New Orleans Saints will prove an enticing option.

Still, it must be remembered that Brown is 32 and hasn’t played a down of football in over a year. Expecting him to walk in and be a productive NFL receiver after such a long layoff is asking a lot.

Taking into account those factors, coupled with his recent personal history, the wise play on any or all of these wagers is the under.

Antonio Brown Special Props

Prop Odds
Two+ Touchdowns in any Regular Season Game +100
200+ Receiving Yards in any Regular Season Game +400
10+ Receptions in any Regular Season Game +175
To Score a Touchdown in his first Regular Season Appearance +110

Bucs’ quarterback Tom Brady pushed hard to get Brown to Tampa Bay. He was lobbying head coach Bruce Arians, who was initially set against the idea of rolling the dice on such a potential distraction.

Brady is 43. He’s not thinking long term. He’s only thinking about winning a Super Bowl this season. Obviously, he’s of the opinion that Brown can help make that happen.

There’s nothing that gives Brady more satisfaction than proving people wrong. You can be certain that Brady will do everything in his power to make Brown shine on the field.

Some of these props will need Brown to be on the field for most of the game. That seems an unlikely scenario.

However, you know Brady will be looking to find Brown for a big play when he makes his Tampa Bay debut. for that reason, playing Brown to score a touchdown in his first regular season appearance looks to be the best bet among this bunch of options.

Pick: Antonio Brown to Score a Touchdown in his first Regular Season Appearance (+110)

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