Best Ravens vs Chargers Same-Game Parlay for Monday Night Football (Nov 25)

• A heavyweight tilt between the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers takes place on MNF
• Derrick Henry hasn’t rushed for more than 70 yards in either of his last two games
• Below, see a three-leg +218 Ravens vs Chargers same-game parlay for Monday Night Football

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-3, 4-1 home, ATS) look to stretch their win streak of five games when they host the Baltimore Ravens (7-4, 3-3 away, ATS) at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood on Monday Night Football in Week 12. Kickoff is slated for 5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET and Baltimore is a slim 2.5-point road favorite in the Ravens vs Chargers odds. This week’s Ravens vs Chargers same-game parlay hinges on a bounce-back game from the LAC defense, which was torched for 21-second half points by the Bengals last week, but still leads the NFL in scoring, allowing just 14.5 PPG.

Ravens vs Chargers Same-Game Parlay

This three-leg BAL/LAC SGP starts with the under on Derrick Henry’s rushing total, moves onto an under bet on the alt-total of 54.5 points, and finishes with the Chargers to cover an alternate spread of +7.5. 

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Ravens vs Chargers SGP Pick #1: Henry Under 84.5 Rushing Yards

I expect a lot of casual fans won’t be enamored with this first pick. Henry is second in the NFL in rushing yards (1,185), trailing only Saquon Barkley, who’s become a real threat in the NFL MVP odds. But the 30-year-old Henry has been slowing down the last couple weeks (68 yards against the Bengals, 63 yards against the Steelers) and has to face one of the best front-sevens in the NFL tonight.

Only two running backs (James Conner, Chase Brown) have gone over 84.5 rushing yards against the Chargers this season and, as a team, LAC sits 10th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed (110.5 per game). Henry’s streak of meager totals is apt to continue tonight.

Baltimore vs LAC Same-Game Parlay Pick #2: Under 54.5 Points

The second leg of today’s SGP is under the alt-total of 54.5 points, which is four points higher than the standard total of 50.5 and six points higher than where this total opened last Sunday (48.5 O/U).

Before last week’s 34-27 thriller against the Bengals, the Chargers had only played in one game that exceeded 40 points (a 27-17 win over Tennessee in Week 10). Their first ten games have averaged just 36.5 PPG, by far the lowest in the league.

The flip side of this coin is that Ravens games have averaged the most points in the NFL this year (55.0 PPG) with the potent offense barely outpacing their leaky defense. But the Charger attacks isn’t one that’s prone to putting up points in a hurry. Yes, they feasted on Cincinnati’s abhorrent D last week, but it’s hard to expect a repeat performance from Justin Herbert and company.

Ravens vs Chargers SGP Pick #3: Chargers +7.5

The final leg of my BAL/LAC same-game parlay is the Chargers to at least keep this a one-score game. The Chargers three setbacks this season have been by an average of 6.3 PPG and only one has been by more than a TD (a 20-10 loss at Pittsburgh in Week 3).

One of the reasons that LAC games have been so low scoring is Chargers games feature comparatively few plays/possessions. Los Angeles averages just 59.6 plays per game, which is the sixth-fewest in the league. With fewer plays/possessions comes fewer chances to open up a big lead.

The Chargers also have the second-best point differential in the AFC (fifth-best in the NFL) at +75, which is 12 points better than the Ravens. John Hyslop is actually targeting two LAC receivers in his Ravens vs Chargers player prop picks tonight. While I don’t believe that the Charger offense is going to explode, I do believe that Baltimore is being overvalued as 2.5-point road favorites. Chargers +7.5 is a safe leg to tack onto tonight’s SGP for a little extra juice.