- We’ve created a two-team parlay for Week 12 that comes out to even-money odds
- Our Week 12 teaser picks includes the Giants and Texans together with some alternative totals on the Under
- Read on to see our breakdown of this week’s best Week 12 parlays and teasers to target this weekend
This week’s NFL Week 12 parlays and teasers will come from six different games. We’re targeting the Chiefs and Eagles in our parlay picks and a variety of alternate spreads and totals for our teaser. Read on to see all of the games in our picks here.
Week 12 Parlay Picks
|Chiefs vs Raiders
|Bills vs Eagles
Our Week 12 parlay includes the Chiefs over the Raiders and Eagles over the Bills and comes out to +100 odds. Odds at Draftkings Sportsbook. Get a full DraftKings review of one of the top sportsbooks in the industry here.
NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks
After both teams just played eachother on MNF in a Super Bowl rematch, we’re backing both here in Week 12. Our bet is the Chiefs look for a big rebound, while the Eagles will keep marching along in the win column as the top team in the league against a struggling Bills team.
Chiefs vs Raiders
- Pick: Chiefs
The Chiefs will be hungry to get back to winning ways after losing to the Eagles on Monday Night Football. They may have the perfect opponent to do against in the Raiders. Kansas City won both games in the division last year and are 5-0 in their past five versus the Raiders, 10-1 in the past 11 and 15-2 in the past 17.
The Raiders are somehow 5-6, propped up with some recent wins over the Giants and Jets. They fell back into the L column last week versus Miami, but have to be given credit for keeping it close, losing 20-13 despite being nearly two-touchdown underdogs.
Patrick Mahomes is 15-3 SU after a loss and I don’t know about you, but I’m not taking Aidan O’Connell, he of three touchdowns and six interceptions this season to reverse that trend.
🪶Chiefs vs 🏴☠️Raiders Series
Regular Season: Chiefs lead, 70-53-2
Raiders at Home: 28-33-1
Raiders on the Road: 25-37-1
Postseason: Chiefs lead, 2-1
Current Streak: Five straight wins by KC.
*Raiders last HOME win was 31-30 on October 19, 2017
@ Coliseum pic.twitter.com/VJx0HLxyo7
— AFL Godfather 🏴☠️👓🏈🔥 (@NFLMAVERICK) November 21, 2023
Bills vs Eagles
- Pick: Eagles
The Bills and Josh Allen silenced some of their critics with a resounding 32-6 route of the Jets last week. Allen threw for 275 yards and three scores. And that’s great, but he still threw another interception, and leads the league with 12 heading into Week 12.
Beating up on the Jets though at home with Zach Wilson who managed a whopping 81 yards passing before getting benched for the equally ineffective Tim Boyle is not much to write home about. Prior to that, the Bills had lost three of four and had been 0-6 ATS. The win came at a price as well, with all of S Taylor Rapp, CB Taron Johnson and CB Dane Jackson suffering injuries.
That should leave some holes for Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith to exploit. Phily will be coming in off a short week having played on MNF where they got some measure of Super Bowl revenge going to Kansas City and beating the Chiefs 21-17.
That puts the Eagles at an NFL-best 9-1 SU as well as an NFL-best 6-2-2 ATS. The Bills were in complete disarray prior to that Jets win and I don’t think things have suddenly changed after one win.
- Week 12 NFL Parlay Picks: Chiefs / Eagles (+100); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Week 12 Teaser Picks
|Pick (Teaser Odds)
|Steelers vs Bengals
|Under 45.5 (-468)
|Browns vs Broncos
|Under 45.5 (-427)
|Patriots v Giants
|Giants +14.5 (-573)
|Jaguars vs Texans
|Texans +10.5 (-650)
My Week 12 teasers two alternative Unders, plus adding points to the Giants and Texans to get us to +102 odds.
NFL Week 12 Teaser Picks
In a battle of two awful teams, I don’t see the Patriots beating the Giants or anyone by double digits. In a battle of two pretty good teams, I don’t see the Texans getting blown out by double digits and at home. And in two battles of four offensively challenged teams, I’m adding some points to the totals and going Under to complete this Week 12 teaser.
I’ve created this teaser by choosing alternate spreads at DraftKings, but you should be able to do so at most of the best NFL betting apps as well.
Steelers vs Bengals
- Pick: Under 45.5
Pittsburgh is 8-2 to the Under while Cincinnati is an even 5-5.
The Steelers are 28th in PPG averaging just 16.6 and the Bengals, even with Joe Burrow weren’t much better ranking 20th averaging 20.2.
On defense, Pittsburgh is still holding their own, 7th in PPG allowed giving up 19.5, with Cincy lower at 21st (22.6).
But can Kenny Pickett take advantage of that potential advantage? Doubtful. His highest passing yardage total in the past four weeks has been 160. He has zero touchdown passes in his past two games and just one in his past five.
These were already two of the slower teams in pace of play with Cincy 23rd in plays per game and Pittsburgh 29th.
Matt Canada did get fired as offensive coordinator so perhaps that changes slightly for Pittsburgh. But it’s doubtful we start suddenly seeing Pickett chucking it around. It’s also doubtful Jake Browning steps into Burrow’s shoes and picks apart this Steelers’ secondary.
If we tease this total up to 45.5 from 35.5, that’s a total that Steelers’ games have only exceeded once this season.
Browns vs Broncos
- Pick: Under 45.5
Cleveland is 5-5 in totals betting, while Denver is 6-4 to the Under.
Both of these teams are about mid-pack offensively with the Browns 13th (22.7 PPG) and Broncos 15th (21.7 PPG).
The Browns are 6th in defense, giving up just 18 PPG, while Denver’s defense is among the worst, 30th, giving up 26.8. However, in recent weeks Denver has improved giving up 20, 22, 9, 17 and 19 points.
They should be able to contain Dorian-Thompson Robinson of the Browns, who just managed only 165 yards on 43 pass attempts last week. His 0/4 TD-INT ratio also won’t strike fear into the Broncos D.
But then this Browns defense shouldn’t be too worried with Russell Wilson either. Prior to last week versus the Vikings, Wilson had gone five games without throwing for over 200 yards.
Denver has also been massively aided by turnovers. Minnesota had three, Buffalo had four and Kansas City had five in their past three games, all wins, giving Dnver a +10 turnover-differential in those games. Cleveland has given the ball away 20 times, tied for third-most, so perhaps that luck continues. But even if it does, Denver rarely makes an effort to move the ball quickly down the field. They’re 31st in plays per game on the year. We should see another slow paced game where neither team tries to make many mistakes.
If we tease this total up to 45.5 from 36, that’s a total that Browns games have only exceeded three times this season, while ti’s a number Broncos’ games have only gone over one (46) in their past five games.
Your Rookie of the Week, Tommy DeVito ‼️ pic.twitter.com/vJ9zO03HCp
— New York Giants (@Giants) November 23, 2023
Patriots vs Giants
- Pick: Giants +14.5
It’s one of many ugly matchups on the weekend slate of games here. How I’d approach this is looking at whichever team is the underdog and then going from there. The Patriots are 2-8 and the Giants are 3-8 and they’re the bottom two teams in points per game scored this season.
In this case, it’s the Giants who are the home underdogs of 3.5-points. Even at that number in the NFL spreads, I ask, “Who are the Patriots to be laying a field goal or more to anyone?” Even to these Giants. Reports are Mac Jones has lost the locker room and may not even start this week. That happens when you fail to throw a TD in four games this year and fail to throw for even 200 yards in four of your last seven games. But it’s not all on Jones. New England simply has no offensive weapons, save for some moments from Rhamondre Stevenson.
Their best WR Kendrick Bourne is on IR, and this week sees Stevenson, WR DeVante Parker and OT Trent Brown all questionable.
It’s not that the Giants fill me with confidence either. They were just outplayed versus Washington and Tommy DeVito got battered with nine sacks. But … they still won, 31-19 and DeVito threw for three touchdowns, something Jones hasn’t done since Week 1. Sure, Wahsington had six turnovers which aided in this win, but wins are wins.
In this case, I go back to who is the dog? It’s New York. Which creates a great opportunity to add some points and make them even bigger dogs of +14.5 for this Week 12 teaser. The Patriots have only one win by double digits in their past 18 games.
Jaguars vs Texans
- Pick: Texans +10.5
The Texans may just be in the Jaguars’ heads heading into this one. In the last 11 meetings, Houston is 10-1 SU versus Jacksonville. Now only one of those wins came with CJ Stroud at quarterback so this is a different Texans team. But this Texans team is proving to be every bit as good if not better. In fact, this Texans team already went on the road and smacked Jacksonville 37-17 in Week 3.
They’re just one win back of Jacksonville in the division and currently find themselves in a playoff position.
The Texans have four losses on the year, two of those came in the first two weeks and were lopsided defeats losing 31-20 and 25-9. But, more recently, they’re 6-2, and 3-0 in their past three and those other two losses have come by just two points and both times on the road.
Jacksonville has some big wins this season of 16, 17, 10 and 20 points so they are capable of covering big numbers.
But Stroud had 280 yards and two touchdowns in the first meeting and in Houston’s last three games he’s put up video game numbers of 1,162 yards and eight touchdowns. On the normal spread (JAC -1.5) this may look like a coinflip. Bumping Houston up to +10.5 in our teaser picks certainly looks like a number Stroud and the Texans will cover.
- Week 12 NFL Teaser picks: Steelers vs Benglas Under 45.5 / Browns vs Broncos Under 45.5 / Giants +14.5 / Texans +10.5 (+102); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Season record: 11-11, -1.45 units