- Our Week 14 parlay picks include just two teams this week getting us up to near even-money odds of -101
- NFL teaser picks for this weekend come in on the 49ers, Bucs, Cowboys and Dolphins
- Read on to see our breakdown of this week’s best Week 14 parlays and teasers to target this weekend
NFL Week 14 looks like a good week to target some parlay picks with a good mix of both medium and large favorites. We’ve included two of those in our Week 14 parlay. Last week of the 13 games, nine finished with finals between one score, that being eight points or less. With so many close games, oftentimes, whether you tease the favorite or the dog, you can come out on top. We’ve done both in this week’s teaser picks. Read on for the full breakdown of our Week 14 parlays and teasers here.
Week 14 Parlay Picks
|Texans vs Jets
|Rams vs Ravens
This week’s Week 14 NFL parlay predictions include just two teams. We’re backing the Texans over the Jets and Ravens over the Rams on the moneyline for our two team -101 parlay.
NFL Week 14 Parlay Picks
We’ll kick off our Week 14 parlay picks by backing CJ Stroud over the un-benched Zach Wilson, plus the Baltimore Ravens who are fourth in the odds to win Super Bowl at home over the Rams.
Last week we split at 1-1 in our NFL Week 14 parlays and teasers picks, but still eeked out a small +0.29 unit profit.
Texans vs Jets
- Pick: Texans
The merry-go-round of Jets’ QBs continues this week. After dipping their toes into the Tim Boyle experience, New York decided that was an experience they’d quickly like to move on from after appearances in just three games where he threw for a combined 360 yards, 1 TD and 4 INTs.
So we’re back at square one as Zach Wilson gets another kick at the can at least for Week 14. We’ve seen this story. It’s not good. Wilson totalled six touchdowns and seven interceptions in his time as a starter this season. That included a stretch of five games where he threw for one touchdown. One.
The Jets’ defense is ninth in yards allowed and will do their part to try and keep this game close. And it may stay close. Houston is 5-2 at home, but just 2-3 on the road and WR Tank Dell is done for the year.
But you need to score points to win games. CJ Stroud alone has thrown for 11 touchdowns in his last five games and leads the league in passing yardage and Houston is 4-1 SU in those games.
The last rookie to finish with the most passing yards in a season was Davey O'Brien in 1939 🤯
Will CJ Stroud do it this year? pic.twitter.com/UVg8yfvjHt
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 5, 2023
Rams vs Ravens
- Pick: Ravens
The Rams are still hanging around the playoff picture at 6-6 but let’s look at those wins. They have two wins over the Seahawks, two over the Cardinals, one over the Colts and finally one more over the Browns last week. So four wins against divisional rivals, one over a rookie QB in Anthony Richardson back in October prior to his injury in overtime and then a win over a Joe Flacco-led offense last week and the Browns.
The whole NFL is pretty mediocre this season so wins are wins. But the Ravens are head and shoulders above any of those teams. The Rams just barely got by Seattle at home, 17-16 recently, while the Ravens completely routed Seattle 37-3.
Baltimore has won 6/7 games of late by an average margin of 17.5 points. I just need a win, any win by Lamar, who looks ready to go after a midweek illness earlier in the week.
- Week 14 NFL Parlay Picks: Texans / Ravens (-101); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Week 14 Teaser Picks
|Pick (Teaser Odds)
|Seahawks vs 49ers
|49ers -2.5 (-510)
|Buccaneers vs Falcons
|Bucs +10.5 (-519)
|Eagles vs Cowboys
|Cowboys +4.5 (-377)
|Titans vs Dolphins
|Dolphins -2.5 (-670)
This week’s four game teaser predictions include betting down the 49ers and Dolphins to just 2.5-point favorites, flipping the Cowboys from a favorite to an underdog and adding points to the Bucs to increase them to 10.5-point underdogs in Atlanta. Those four selections come in at +107 odds.
NFL Week 14 Teaser Picks
I’ve created this teaser by choosing alternate spreads at DraftKings, but you should be able to do so at most US betting sites as well as well.
Looking up and down the Week 14 NFL odds, the 49ers and Dolphins are easily the biggest favorites. But to avoid laying double digits, we can use them in teaser picks to make those numbers more manageable. Atlanta rarely wins by margin and Dallas hasn’t lost at home in 14 games. Those games will make appearances in our teaser predictions as well.
Seahawks vs 49ers
- Pick: 49ers (-2.5)
It was only Thanksgiving when we last saw this matchup and it ended 31-13 for San Fran in Seattle. That marks the fourth-straight win for the 49ers in this divisional rivalry. In those four wins the 49ers have won by 18, 18, 8 and 20 points.
This could be a letdown spot for San Fran after getting their revenge over Philly last week and getting it large, winning 42-19. But the 49ers look unstoppable right now having won four straight since their bye week by 31, 13, 18 and 23 points.
Seattle is a good team. They just aren’t great. They’re 6-6 and those wins have come over the Lions (9-3), Panthers (1-11), Giants (4-8), Cardinals (3-10), Browns (7-5 but with PJ Walker at QB), and Commanders (4-9).
So outside of beating the Lions in Week 2, their resume is very middling. I’ll avoid the double digits though and take San Fran at -2.5 for this week’s teaser picks.
Buccaneers vs Falcons
- Pick: Bucs (+10.5)
In the worst division in football. the 6-6 Atlanta Falcons who have a -14 point-differential are leading the NFC South. The Bucs are right behind at 5-6, with a slightly better differential of -12.
Tampa has been one of the better covering teams though when looking at an NFL point spread. The Bucs are 7-5 ATS, while Atlanta is just 4-8 ATS, which is tied for the fourth-worst mark in the league.
All of Atlanta’s games are close, including last week’s 13-8 win over the Jets. Since Week 4, none of their past eight games have been decided by more than nine points. When they win, it’s by the smallest of margins. Their six wins have come by 14, 1, 2, 3, 9 and 5 points. The 14-point win was also Week 1 at home to the Panthers.
Desmond Ridder is never going to pull away from anyone and the Falcons strength, running the ball, where they rank 6th, will be somewhat negated by the Bucs’ defense that is 10th against the run.
This game is certainly a toss-up, but add some points to the Bucs who are currently 2.5-point dogs, and make them +10.5 in our Week 14 teaser picks, and I see Baker Mayfield doing enough to keep the game close win or lose.
Atlanta is 7-0 to the UNDER since Nov. 2021 when they scored no more than 14 points last game.#SDQL #NFL #NFLTwitter #NFLPicks #DirtyBirds #Bucs #Buccaneers #GoBucs #TBvsATL pic.twitter.com/NOXt4q6Muw
— SportsBook Breakers (@SBBreakers) December 8, 2023
Eagles vs Cowboys
- Pick: Cowboys (+4.5)
It’s a Week 9 rematch between these NFC East teams that saw Philly win 28-23 last time around. With Dallas scoring a touchdown with 6:23 remaining to pull the score within five, they attempted a two-point conversion to make it a field goal game. However, Dak Prescott stepped out of bounds before getting the ball over the line. That was as close as Dallas would get.
Even in defeat, Prescott threw for 374 yards and three touchdowns. Dallas also out-gained Philadelphia 406 to 292 in total yards and held the first down edge 27-20.
This spot looks good enough for a Dallas win or cover on it’s own merits. Dak is in the midst of averaging 316.8 yards per game in his last six games, where he’s thrown for 20 touchdown passes as well. Dallas has scored 30+ points in four straight games, 40+ points in three of those four and is riding a 14-game home winning streak.
The Eagles also come into this one after a stretch of games that has seen them play the Chiefs on MNF in Week 11, play 90+ plays in an overtime game versus the Bills in Week 12 and get stomped 42-19 to the 49ers last game in Week 13. The gas tank could be running low this week.
But Dallas is not always good versus winning teams. They’re 5-1 SU and ATS versus teams with a losing record and 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS versus teams with a winning record. Philly is a league-best 10-2 SU and league-best 7-3-2 ATS.
So, let’s make this more appealing by using Dallas in our Week 14 teasers picks at +4.5 for the extra insurance in the alternate spread market.
Titans vs Dolphins
- Pick: Dolphins (-2.5)
The Titans come into MNF as a 13.5-point underdogs and 4-8 SU, 5-7 ATS. That makes them a bad team. And guess what, the Miami Dolphins love beating up on bad teams. The Dolphins are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS versus teams with a losing record. By contrast, the Titans are 1-6 SU and ATS versus teams with a winning record.
Miami has not had a win over a team with a winning record since Week 3 of last season. Last season! This year they’ve beaten up on teams with a combined record of 33-66 and beaten them by an average of 18.55 points.
Gardner Minshew and the Colts just went into Tennessee and won 31-28 in overtime with Minshew throwing for 312 yards and two touchdowns. Things figure to get much worse for the Titans going to Miami to face Tua and the Fins.
Furthermore, the Titans have some major injury concerns to worry about. Derrick Henry has been cleared to play but he did leave last week’s game with a concussion. CB Kristian Fulton is questionable with a hamstring injury, punter Ryan Stonehouse is done for the year and set to undergo knee surgery and DE Jeffery Simmons, their best run stopper is also out with a knee injury, though could return later in the season.
- Week 14 NFL Teaser picks: 49ers -2.5 / Buccaneers +10.5 / Cowboys +4.5 / Dolphins -2.5 (+107); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Season record: 14-12, +0.86 units