Browns vs Broncos Odds, Picks and Prediction for Monday Night Football (Week 13)

• The Broncos are 6-point home favorites over the Browns on Monday Night Football in Week 13
• Bo Nix has thrown 11 TD passes over the past five games
• Check out the Browns vs Broncos odds, picks and prediction for MNF

Bo Nix and the surprising Broncos continue their playoff push on Monday Night Football as they welcome the Browns to Denver. The Broncos are fresh off back-to-back double-digit victories and online sportsbooks are expecting a third straight victory per the latest football betting lines.

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Odds

Denver is currently favored by 6 points, in a contest with a total of 42. Bettors are flocking to the window to buy the Broncos, placing 71% of the spread wagers on them which accounts for 85% of the ATS handle. 

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Total-wise, the action is even more lopsided according to the NFL public betting percentages. 82% of the over/under wagers are on over 42, as well as 87% of the total money.

Kickoff for this primetime clash is set for 8:15 pm ET from Empower Field at Mile High, in Denver, CO with ESPN providing the broadcast coverage.

Bo Knows Ball

Denver enters Week 13 in a playoff position, occupying the AFC’s seventh seed. Few people would have predicted that at the start of the season, as their projection was just 5.5 victories in the NFL win total odds.

Having an offensive genius as a head coach helps, but Bo Nix is just as much responsible for the Broncos’ current standing. He’s arguably playing the best football of any rookie at the moment, trailing Jayden Daniels by a slim margin in the Offensive ROY odds.

Nix has thrown 11 TD passes over his last five games, and has the NFL’s eighth best QBR over that stretch. He threw for 273 yards and two scores last week in a win over the Raiders, which followed a 307-yard, 4 TD outing in a blowout of the Falcons.

Bo Nix is ASCENDING pic.twitter.com/fiU4wxpSdg

— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 25, 2024

The Denver run game has been underwhelming, grading out 28th, putting even more pressure on Nix’s shoulders. That won’t change against the Browns, and the matchup should yield success for the rookie if he’s given enough time to throw.

Cleveland’s surrendered the 12th most production to enemy quarterbacks, but still possess elite pieces on defense. Myles Garrett is a DPOY candidate yet again, and is fresh off a three sack performance versus the Steelers.

In the secondary, Denzel Ward leads the league with 17 passes defended, and he’ll be charged with covering a red-hot Courtland Suton. The latter leads the Broncos in most receiving categories, and has 36 catches and 467 yards over his past five games.

Can Cleveland Play Spoiler?

The Browns offense meanwhile, has looked infinitely better since Deshaun Watson went down. Jameis Winston has led them to a pair of upset victories, and is averaging 295 passing yards over his four starts.

The fear with Jameis is always that he’ll commit a back-breaking turnover, and that’s reared its ugly head already this season. Winston has been picked off four times in his last three starts and has committed eight turnover worthy plays. He’s also absorbed 10 sacks over that stretch and now faces an elite Broncos defense.

Denver grades out third in pass rush productivity per Pro Football Focus and fifth in coverage. They’re also top-10 against the run, meaning Nick Chubb and his 3.1 yards per carry average is also in trouble.

Former Bronco Jerry Jeudy has been Winston’s favorite target with 379 yards over the last month, but he faces just about the toughest matchup a wideout can get.

Patrick Surtain will spend most of the snaps on him, and he’s erased opposing receivers this season. Surtain has allowed just 187 yards in coverage, the second fewest among DB’s with at least 200 logged snaps.

Browns vs Broncos Prediction

As scary as Garrett can be as a rusher, bettors should trust that Sean Payton will put Nix in a position to succeed. He’s upped the tempo to slow down enemy rushers, allowing Nix to throw plenty of quick hitters, which is what he does best.

Bo Nix is THE guy ✅

Defense is LEGIT ✅

J.J. Watt: Free agents will WANT to sign with the Broncos ✅

“The Denver Broncos are the REAL DEAL”

About as high of praise as you can get 👀 pic.twitter.com/O9yIUrM8rQ

— Zac Stevens (@ZacStevensDNVR) November 27, 2024

We can count on a turnover or two from Winston, plus lots of pressure from the Denver D. Cleveland will be missing starting left tackle Jedrick Wills Jr, while the Broncos pass rush has its most sacks through 12 games (44) since 1986.

Historical trends also favor Denver, as they’ve beaten Cleveland 11 straight times during the regular season. The Browns are 1-7 in their last eight trips to Mile High, while the Broncos are an NFL best 9-3 against the spread in 2024.

Browns vs Broncos Pick: Broncos -6 (-110) at BetMGM