Browns vs Chiefs Props – Best Player Props to Bet
By John Hyslop in NFL Football
Updated: September 13, 2021 at 4:47 am EDTPublished:
- The Cleveland Browns and Kansas City Chiefs kick off their 2021 NFL Seasons in Kansas City at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 12th
- This will be the first opportunity for Kansas City to get back into the win column after losing last year’s Super Bowl
- See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, will turn into a battlefield for the Cleveland Browns and Kansas City Chiefs Sunday afternoon. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 pm ET on CBS.
Patrick Mahomes and the rest of the Chiefs will look to rebound from last season’s Super Bowl loss. If the preseason was any indication, they will be ready. The first game will be no walk in the park as Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns are no longer a doormat after going 11-5 last season.
The spread on this game opened at Kansas City -6 and has stayed there for the most part with most of the tickets coming in on the Chiefs. As for the total, that number is at 54.5 after opening at 53. Just like every other Sunday, there are plenty of player props to consider which we will dive into here.
Browns vs Chiefs Player Props
| Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield (Browns) | 22.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 261.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | 26.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 312.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) |
| Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Total Yards |
| Baker Mayfield (Browns) | NA | 7.5 (Ov -125 / Un -110) | NA |
| Kareem Hunt (Browns) | 8.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) | 34.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 55.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Nick Chubb (Browns) | 13.5 (Ov -135 / Un -105) | 71.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 86.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | NA | 12.5 ( Ov -120 / Un -110) | NA |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Austin Hooper (Browns) | 3.5 (Ov +130 / Un -175) | 33.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 16.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Jarvis Landry (Browns) | 4.5 (Ov -155 / Un +115) | 55.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 20.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Kareem Hunt (Browns) | 2.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 16.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | 10.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) |
| Mecole Hardman (Chiefs) | 3.5 (Ov +100 / Un -135) | 36.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 17.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Nick Chubb (Browns) | 1.5 (Ov -195 / Un +145) | 11.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 8.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) |
| Odell Beckham Jr. (Browns) | 4.5 (Ov +125 / Un -165) | 54.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 21.5 (Ov -125 / Un -110) |
| Travis Kelce (Chiefs) | 7.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) | 88.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 25.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) |
| Tyreek Hill (Chiefs) | 6.5 (Ov +115 / Un -150) | 80.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 26.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) |
Odds taken Sept. 8 from DraftKings
Nick Chubb is a Complete Running Back
Nick Chubb is one of if not the best running back in the NFL today. He’s got it all, speed, agility and the ability to break tackles. The guy cleared 1,000 yards in basically 11 games last season. He’s special.
https://twitter.com/ZKantzFF/status/1435950954285727752?s=20
The part of his game that he doesn’t get enough credit for is his pass-catching ability. The narrative is “Chubb on the ground, Kareem Hunt through the air”. That is only borderline correct as the Browns will use Chubb in the pass game. Why wouldn’t they? He’s got great hands.
“Nick Chubb can’t catch passes out of the backfield” pic.twitter.com/s8UDkJS0wu
— Austin (@ColtAustinRich) June 21, 2021
The Chubb doesn’t get receiving work narrative has spilled over into the sports betting market at this point. Even though he went over 15.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games last season (Hunt was active in all), his number is still 11.5 for this game.
The Chiefs are likely to play with a lead in this game causing the Browns to throw a little more than usual. Only two teams in the NFL gave up more receiving yards to running backs than Kansas City so this is a good environment for Chubb to go over his receiving yards total.
The Pick: Nick Chubb Over 11.5 Receiving yards (-115) – Wager 1.15 units to win 1 units
Browns vs Chiefs Scoring Props
| Player | First Touchdown Scorer | Anytime Touchdown Scorer |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill (Chiefs) | +650 | -140 |
| Travis Kelce (Chiefs) | +650 | -125 |
|
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Chiefs)
|
+800 | -105 |
| Nick Chubb (Browns) | +850 | +100 |
| Kareem Hunt (Browns) | +1000 | +130 |
| Odell Beckham Jr. (Browns) | +1400 | +175 |
| Mecole Hardman (Chiefs) | +1500 | +210 |
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | +1800 | +260 |
| Jarvis Landry (Browns) | +1800 | +225 |
| Darrel Williams (Chiefs) | +2000 | +290 |
| Austin Hooper (Browns) | +2200 | +310 |
Who Scores?
Instead of jumping on Nick Chubb at +100 for the anytime scorer, why not look for a higher number. I think Chubb will score in this game but even-money for a touchdown prop doesn’t move the needle for most bettors. We need a +300 or higher guy. Look no further than Austin Hooper.
Giants leave Austin Hooper wide open for the TDpic.twitter.com/qu5YSmFSBO
— PFF (@PFF) December 21, 2020
At +310 he offers a long-shot price that is actually attainable. He only caught four last season but in fairness, he missed a few games. Only six teams in the NFL gave up more touchdowns to the tight end position last season than the Chiefs so there is wiggle room here. I think Hooper is worth a look at his number.
Pick: Austin Hooper – Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+310) – Wager 0.1 units to win 0.31 units
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.
