Buccaneers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay for Monday Night Football

• The undefeated Chiefs host the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football
• The Buccaneers are severely depleted at WR
• Below, see a three-leg, +322 Buccaneers vs Chiefs same-game parlay on Nov. 4

The still-perfect Kansas City Chiefs (7-0, 3-0 home, 5-2 ATS) get a cupcake matchup in Week 9 (at least on paper) when they host the reeling and injury-riddled Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4, 2-1 away, 4-4 ATS) at Arrowhead Stadium at 8:15 pm ET. With Tampa’s receiving corps so thin its translucent, my Buccaneers vs Chiefs same-game parlay fades the TB offense.

Same-Game Parlay

Using FanDuel’s 30% SGP profit boost for MNF, my three-leg parlay comes out to +322 odds.

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The Buccaneers vs Chiefs odds favor Kansas City by a massive nine points. The public has little concern that the Chiefs will fall from the ranks of the unbeaten tonight, putting 88% of moneyline handle on KC as -500 chalk in the NFL public betting percentages.

Buccaneers vs Chiefs SGP Picks #1 and #2: Buccaneers Under 17.5 Points/Mayfield Under 1.5 Passing TDs

The Buccaneers looked like a legit contender for the NFC Championship in the early going this season. They started 2-0 with hugely impressive wins over the Commanders (37-20 home) and Lions (20-16 away). But they enter MNF on a two-game skid – both at home –  which has dropped them back to .500 and 1.5 games off the pace in the NFC South.

Injuries have started to take their toll, especially in the WR room, where leading receiver Chris Godwin is on IR with an ankle issue and five-time Pro-Bowler Mike Evans is out with a hamstring injury.

Baker Mayfield still managed 330 yards and three passing TDs in last week’s 31-26 loss to Atlanta, but don’t expect the same kind of success through the air against the KC defense. The Chiefs are allowing 17.5 PPG on average this season and have held four of their last five opponents to 17 or fewer points. KC’s nine passing TD’s allowed is ninth-best in the league and the unit sits fourth in D-DVOA.

I saw this swim move many times at training camp this year and over the years. Chris Jones has such quick hands. Guards rarely stand a chance. #Chiefs #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/EEZ9v16HGv

— Nick Jacobs (@Jacobs71) October 31, 2024

And that’s with the pass rush underperforming. KC is fourth-last in the NFL in sacks with just 15 through seven games. But Chris Jones and George Karlaftis, who both had 10.5 sacks last year, will change that soon enough.

TB vs KC Same-Game Parlay Pick #3: Travis Kelce Under 61.5 Yards

The third leg of today’s Tampa Bay/Kansas City SGP is game-script oriented. I expect the Chiefs to be playing from ahead throughout this game, and that’s going to mean fewer pass attempts for Patrick Mahomes and, in turn, fewer targets/receptions for Travis Kelce.

Kelce has gone over 61.5 yards in three of his last four games and the Tampa defense isn’t great against tight ends (64.8 YPG) but the Chiefs are also adjusting to life with DeAndre Hopkins, and John Hyslop’s Buccaneers vs Chiefs player props has Nuke pegged for a big night.

With Kansas City leaning heavily on Kareem Hunt and Carson Steele in the run game, and Mahomes trying to create chemistry with his shiny new target, this has all the trappings of a quiet night for Kelce.