- The Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) fell from the ranks of the NFL’s unbeaten in Week 5
- KC lost 19-13 to the Indianapolis Colts at home
- Their Super Bowl odds fell from +400 to +700, but they remain the second betting choice
If the Kansas City Chiefs are going to be a Super Bowl team, quarterback Patrick Mahomes is going to need to put up MVP-like numbers again this season.
The last two weeks, he hasn’t, and the Chiefs have paid the price.
World beaters for the first three weeks of the season, in the past two weeks, the Chiefs are 1-1 and have been outscored in those two games 49-47.
It hasn’t cost Kansas City the slot as the second-betting choice to win Super Bowl 54, but it has cost them in terms of how the sportsbooks view the Chiefs’ chances of winning the big game.
BetOnline now lists the Chiefs at +700 in their Super Bowl odds.
Super Bowl 54 Odds
|Team||Odds at BetOnline*|
|New England Patriots||+300|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+700|
|New Orleans Saints||+900|
|Green Bay Packers||+1200|
*Odds taken on 10/07/19. Go to BetOnline for complete list.
Prior to Sunday’s 19-13 loss to the Indianapolis Colts at Arrowhead Stadium, the leading sportsbooks gave Kansas City average odds of +400 to win Super Bowl 54.
Is That Mahomes Or Marino?
It’s evident that the Chiefs will go as far as reigning NFL MVP Mahomes can carry them. He’s thrown just one touchdown pass in the past two games.
Hampered against the Colts by a mid-game ankle injury, Mahomes was limited by his lack of mobility and the Chiefs’ lack of a ground game. Both the Colts and Detroit Lions opted to go man coverage against KC’s receivers. It was effective at shutting down the Chiefs’ explosive passing game.
Patrick Mahomes has cooled off the past two games 📉 pic.twitter.com/XYv1eI2HiD
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 7, 2019
Veteran NFL watchers will recall another AFC team that went as far as their Hall of Fame QB could take them. From 1984-99, Dan Marino of the Miami Dolphins led the NFL in passing yardage five times and in TD passes on three occasions.
Marino’s arm carried the Dolphins to nine postseason appearances and one Super Bowl appearance. But there was never a Super Bowl victory.
Andy Isn’t Dandy
Speaking of harboring a resume of playoff failure, let’s not overlook Chiefs coach Andy Reid.
In 20 seasons as an NFL head coach, Reid’s teams earned postseason berths 14 times. He’s been to one Super Bowl, and lost. He’s 1-5 in conference championship games.
“Not all of Mozart’s paintings were perfect. The end result though is that sucker is gonna sell for a million dollars.”
…Never change, Andy Reid. 😂
— theScore (@theScore) September 30, 2019
He’s .614 as a regular-season coach and .462 as a playoff coach. Reid’s reputation is as a coach who builds teams that are good but not quite good enough.
Why Are Chiefs Still #2 For Super Bowl?
This season, the NFL is looking very much like it has for most of this millennium. There’s the New England Patriots, and then there’s everybody else.
The Chiefs clearly have flaws. They don’t run the ball well. Defensively, they struggle desperately to stop the run and aren’t’ much better at preventing the pass.
Patrick Mahomes mentioned the need to “beat man coverage” multiple times in his presser. Said NE did it in playoffs last year, Detroit last week and then Indy tonight.
Said he missed throws that he can’t miss. Said he knows they’ll keep seeing it until they consistently beat it.
— BJ Kissel (@ChiefsReporter) October 7, 2019
But every other contender also waves red flags. The New Orleans Saints are without QB Drew Brees (thumb surgery). Dallas is 3-0 against losing teams and 0-2 when facing winning teams. The Rams lost to the Buccaneers. The Bears lost to the Raiders. The Eagles lost to the Lions and then beat the Packers.
KC should still win the AFC West handily. The Chargers, the only serious challenger to the Chiefs a year ago, are a 2-3 tire fire.
The Chiefs will be a playoff team but that’s it. If you’re thinking about betting KC to win the Super Bowl, a word of advice: Don’t go there.
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