- The Cincinnati Bengals travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game
- 2021 Divisional Round Record: 0-5, -3.5 units
- See the Bengals vs Chiefs props with a spot in Super Bowl 56 on the line
For the Kansas City Chiefs, the AFC Championship Game is old news.
In their thrilling comeback win over the Buffalo Bills, KC ensured that they would become the first team to ever host four consecutive conference title games. Despite a tumultuous 2021, Patrick Mahomes’ crew is exactly where they want to be.
For the Bengals, this is uncharted territory. A new wave of talent and confidence ushered in by Joe Burrow has brought them somewhere they haven’t been in thirty years. Kickoff for the AFC Championship Game is set for 3:00 pm EST from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Bengals vs Chiefs Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Joe Burrow, CIN||24.5 (O -110 / U -120)||288.5 (O -130 / U -105)||1.5 (O -185 / U +140)|
|Patrick Mahomes, KC||26.5 (O -105 / U -130)||294.5 (O -115 / U -115)||2.5 (O +100 / U -130)|
|Player||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Joe Burrow, CIN||N/A||8.5 (O -115 / U -115)||300.5 (O -115 / U -115)*|
|Joe Mixon, CIN||15.5 (O -115 / U -115)||55.5 (O -115 / U -115)||94.5 (O -115 / U -115)|
|Patrick Mahomes, KC||N/A||29.5 (O -115 / U -115)||328.5 (O -115 / U -115)*|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC||N/A||37.5 (O -115 / U -115)||N/A|
|RB/WR/TE||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|CJ Uzomah, CIN||3.5 (O -185 / U +140)||36.5 (O -110 / U -120)||16.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|Ja’Marr Chase, CIN||5.5 (O -155 / U +120)||86.5 (O -115 / U -115)||27.5 (O -120 / U -110)|
|Joe MIxon, CIN||3.5 (O -160 / U +120)||31.5 (O -110 / U -120)||14.5 (O -105 / U -125)|
|Tee Higgins, CIN||5.5 (O +125 / U -160)||71.5 (O -115 / U -115)||25.5 (O -125 / U -110)|
|Tyler Boyd, CIN||3.5 (O -165 / U +125)||41.5 (O -115 / U -115)||18.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
|Demarcus Robinson, KC||N/A||16.5 (O -115 / U -115)||12.5 (O -120 / U -110)|
|Tyreek Hill, KC||6.5 (O -120 / U -110)||79.5 (O -115 / U -115)||24.5 (O -115 / U -115)|
|Travis Kelce, KC||6.5 (O +115 / U -150)||76.5 (O -115 / U -115)||23.5 (O -120 / U -110)|
|Mecole Hardman, KC||N/A||25.5 (O -115 / U -115)||14.5 (O -105 / U -125)|
|Byron Pringle, KC||3.5 (O -105 / U -130)||36.5 (O -115 / U -115)||17.5 (O -110 / U -120)|
Odds as of January 29th at DraftKings
*Indicates Pass + Rush Yards
The Chiefs are favored by 7-points, while the Bengals vs Chiefs odds see the total set at 54.5. KC is riding a stretch of seven-straight overs, while the under has hit in five of the Bengals’ last seven. The over cashed when these two met in Week 17. Louisiana sports betting will also be paying keen attention to Burrow this week, with mobile sports betting apps going live in the state on Friday.
In terms of the Super Bowl odds, Sunday is a mini David vs Goliath. The Chiefs are the favorite among the four remaining teams, while the Bengals have the longest odds.
Tee Higgins To Run Wild vs Chiefs Defense
The Divisional Round was not a banner night for the Chiefs’ defense.
After losing Tyrann Mathieu early in the game, KC’s pass defense was in shambles when it came to everyone not named Stefon Diggs.
Bengals WR Tee Higgins, who popped up on the injury report yesterday with a thumb issue, is catching passes like normal today.
— Charlie Goldsmith (@CharlieG__) January 27, 2022
Josh Allen’s favorite target was limited to just seven yards. But Cole Beasley totaled 60 yards on six receptions. And then, of course, there’s the all-time night by Gabe Davis. Something along the lines of eight catches for 201 yards and four TDs.
After going quiet against the Raiders, Higgins popped in a big way against the Titans. He went for 96 yards on seven receptions in the Divisional Round, coinciding with Ja’Marr Chase’s five balls for 109 yards.
Ja’Marr Chase PFF WR grade rank: 8th
Tee Higgins PFF WR grade rank:
Tee can light you up too
— Ace Boogie (@NewStripeCity) January 28, 2022
Both Chase (11/266/3) and Higgins (3/62) saw success against KC in Week 17. Chase will likely draw the Diggs treatment thanks to that. But that should leave Higgins to roam free in very winnable matchups.
- The Pick: Tee Higgins OVER 71.5 yards (-115); 1 unit
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Can Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rebound From Rough Season?
It hasn’t been the year expected out of second-year back Clyde Edwards-Helaire.
CEH has certainly shown flashes. He topped 100 yards on the ground in Weeks 3 and 4, and covered his projected total in six of his first seven games. In the four games since however, he’s only rushed for 38+ once, landing on 37 another.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire on beating teams after losing the 1st time to them: "It's human nature to have a bad taste in your mouth." #Chiefs
— Harold R. Kuntz (@HaroldRKuntz3) January 26, 2022
But the one time he crossed his total? Last week in the Divisional Round against the Bills.
Edwards-Helaire converted seven carries into 60 yards against Buffalo, playing just 30% of the offensive snaps. While there’s reasons to be hesitant with the Chiefs’ backfield, it’s a good sign.
This might be one of Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s top five runs here. This is who the team needs him to be. Bell with a great pull to meet the backer. Clyde bounces it outside. DE runs himself out of the play and Brown walls him off. #JacobsEyeInTheSky #Chiefs pic.twitter.com/OmnYmiCfBJ
— Nick Jacobs (@Jacobs71) January 26, 2022
Another is that the Bengals have been giving up big numbers on the ground. Josh Jacobs churned out 83 yards on Wild Card Weekend. Last week both Derrick Henry and D’Onta Foreman topped 60 yards.
While it may not be a huge day on the ground, CEH should have a good shot at the over.
- The Pick: Clyde Edwards-Helaire OVER 37.5 rushing yards (-115); 1 unit
Bengals vs Chiefs Scoring Props
|Player||Odds to Score First TD||Odds to Score a TD|
|Joe Mixon, CIN||+650||-125|
|Travis Kelce, KC||+650||-130|
|Tyreek Hill, KC||+700||-125|
|Ja’Marr Chase, CIN||+850||+100|
|Jerick McKinnon, KC||+1000||+140|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC||+1200||+150|
|Byron Pringle, KC||+1400||+190|
|Tee Higgins, CIN||+1400||+190|
|Patrick Mahomes, KC||+1600||+225|
|CJ Uzomah, CIN||+1600||+230|
Odds as of January 29th at DraftKings
There promises to be no shortage of scoring in this one if the Week 17 matchup is any indication.
In that meeting the Chiefs got out to three separate two-score leads. Patrick Mahomes opened things up with a passing TD to Demarcus Robinson, and then threw another to Travis Kelce. Ja’Marr Chase (three), Darrel Williams (two) and Tyler Boyd also scored.
"I've seen the Chiefs score 54 in the postseason. I saw the Bengals last week score 1 touchdown… I like Joe Burrow, but he can't go toe-to-toe with Patrick Mahomes because nobody can." — @getnickwright pic.twitter.com/QBZDbybG3k
— First Things First (@FTFonFS1) January 27, 2022
For the AFC Championship Game, expect the Chiefs to start fast. And while Tyreek Hill is a threat to score from anywhere, the closer KC gets to the goal line, the more dominant Travis Kelce becomes.
As for the Bengals? It’s hard to bet against Ja’Marr Chase. Especially at +100. Sure the rookie hasn’t hit pay dirt the last three weeks and the Chiefs will be giving him extra attention, but the value is good.
- The Pick: Travis Kelce to score FIRST touchdown (+650); 0.5 units
- The Pick: Kelce (-130), Ja’Marr Chase (+100) to score ANYTIME; 1.0 units for Kelce, 0.5 units for Chase