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Colts vs Ravens Odds, Lines, and Picks for Week 5 Monday Night Football

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Oct 10, 2021 · 4:00 PM PDT

Lamar Jackson running with ball
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs against the Denver Broncos during an NFL football game Sunday, Oct. 3, 2021, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)
  • The Baltimore Ravens seek fourth straight win as they host the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football
  • Monday Betting Record: 0-0 ML; 2-2 ATS; 1-1 O/U; +0.23 units
  • Check below for all the odds and trends for this MNF Week 5 clash

After an opening week loss, the Baltimore Ravens have got back to their winning ways while absorbing a crush of injuries.

Their Week 5 opponent, the Indianapolis Colts, are hoping to follow that formula to a tee, after picking up their first win last week.

It makes for a compelling matchup on Monday Night Football between two franchises forever intertwined in history.

Baltimore enters the contest as a 7-point home favorite. Kickoff goes at 8:20pm ET from M&T Stadium and can be seen live on ESPN.

Colts vs Ravens Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Indianapolis Colts +7 (-115) +250 O 46 (-110)
Baltimore Ravens -7 (-105) -320 U 46 (-110)

*Odds taken on Oct 10 from DraftKings.

The betting public is leaning towards the Ravens, but are cautious of that spread. 61% of the bets placed against the spread are on Baltimore, while taking in a more convincing 86% of the moneyline wagers. An identical 86% of the public bets are on the Over.

The weather is calling for cloudy skies and 75 degrees on Monday night.

Ravens Rolling

It’s easy to forget that Baltimore is down to running backs 4-through-7 on their depth chart, as this rush attack continues to batter the opposition. On the year, the Ravens are averaging 164.5 rush yards a game, which ranks third in the NFL, and has been the backbone of the team’s recent 3-game winning streak.

Their latest was a 23-7 win in Denver against the previously unbeaten Broncos. It marked the 43rd straight game (though a little controversial) in which Baltimore has gone over 100 yards rushing. Latavius Murray led the way with 59 rushing yards and a touchdown. Ty’Son Williams leads their running backs in rushing (though he was a DNP-CD last week), while Le’Veon Bell and Devonta Freeman also have seen snaps this year.

Of course, the catalyst that has kept the engine rolling has been Lamar Jackson. The 2019 NFL MVP is the team’s rushing leader with 279 yards and a pair of scores. His passing isn’t bad either. Jackson is currently completing 60.5% of his passes, throwing for 1,077 yards and four touchdowns, along with three interceptions.

He eclipsed the 300-yard passing mark for the first time this season against Denver, connecting on a bomb with Marquise Brown for his lone TD toss.

While the Chiefs, Bills and Buccaneers get much of the shine for scoring offense, the Ravens are a big play juggernaut. They lead the NFL with 26 plays of at least 20+ yards. Of those, 19 have come through the air (third overall), and seven via the rush, which is tops in the league.

Can Colts Come Back?

Week 4 was the first glimpse of what the Colts expected when they acquired Carson Wentz from the Eagles in the offseason.

Despite playing on a pair of injured ankles, Wentz went 24-for-32 for 228 yards and a pair of touchdowns, leading Indy to their first win of the season, 27-17 over the Dolphins. He got a big help from 2nd-year RB Jonathan Taylor, who carried 16 times for 103 yards and a score.

While Wentz is new to this franchise, this organization knows how to turn things around.

Just three short years ago under Frank Reich, the Colts started out 1-5 but rallied to finish 10-6 and win a playoff game.

Perhaps the bigger issue than any opponent is how healthy they can get. The Colts have already placed all-pro guard Quentin Nelson on IR. Tackle Braden Smith (foot) has also been ruled out of Monday’s contest. That doesn’t bode well for an O-line that’s already surrendered 10 sacks through four games this season. Wentz knows these Ravens defenders as well — they sacked him six times in a game last year when he was still on Philly.

On the defensive side, rookie edge rusher Kwity Paye (hamstring), corner Rock Ya-Sin (ankle) are also out, and safety Khari Willis is questionable as he battles a shoulder ailment.

After surrendering just 35 yards rushing on 16 carries to Miami, their defense will be tested Monday. But Baltimore is also fighting injuries to their starting tackles. Ronnie Staley (ankle) has already been ruled out, while Alejandro Villanueva (knee) is questionable.

What’s the Best Bet?

With a punishing ground game and an always-competitive defense, it’s no wonder the Ravens are built for primetime. Under John Harbaugh, Baltimore is 16-2 in primetime outings, an impressive .889 win percentage. they’ve reeled off 14 of their last 15 under the lights.

Jackson is 4-1 at home in such starts, where he’s completing 65% of his passes for 818 yards, throwing 10 touchdowns to three interceptions. He’s also run for 431 yards, finding paydirt five times.

Baltimore has also won four of the last five contests in this head-to-head.

While this would be a great win for Indy as they head into the make-hay part of their schedule (their next five opponents are Houston, San Francisco, Tennessee, New York Jets and Jacksonville), look for Baltimore to grind out the win and cover.

Pick:

  • Ravens -7 (1 unit to win 0.95 units ) and OVER 46 (0.5 units to win 0.455 units)
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