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Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 18

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Jan 7, 2023 · 10:30 AM PST

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott throws the football
Dec 29, 2022; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) throws during the first half against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cowboys are seven-point road favorites over the Commanders on Sunday
  • The Cowboys will capture the NFC East title if it wins, and the Giants beat the Eagles
  • A look at the Cowboys vs Commanders odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The Dallas Cowboys must win and get some help to capture the NFC East title when they visit the Washington Commanders at 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday at FedEx Field in Landover, Md.

The Cowboys (12-4, 4-3 road) trail the Philadelphia Eagles by one game in the division standings going into the season’s final day. If Dallas wins and the Eagles lose to the New York Giants, then Dallas will win the NFC East on a tiebreaker.

The Cowboys can also gain the top seed in the NFC and a first-round bye in the playoff if they win, the Eagles lose, and the Arizona Cardinals knock off the San Francisco 49ers.

After beating the Tennessee Titans 27-13 on Dec. 29 in Nashville, the Cowboys have won back-to-back games and six of their last seven. The Commanders (7-8-1, 3-5 home) were eliminated from the postseason picture by losing to the visiting Cleveland Browns 24-10 last Sunday, which extended their losing streak to three games.

Cowboys vs Commanders Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Dallas Cowboys -320 -7 (+100) Over 40 (-110)
Washington Commanders +250 -7 (-120) Under 40 (-110)

Odds as of January 7th at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars promo code for NFL Week 18.

The Cowboys are seven-point favorites and -320 picks on the moneyline in the NFL odds, giving them an implied win probability of 76.19%. Dallas’ Super Bowl championship odds are +1100.

The weather forecast calls for a 40% chance of rain, a high of 42 and wind from the south at 6 mph.


Cowboys vs Commanders Recent History

The Cowboys beat the Redskins 25-10 at home on Oct. 2. Backup quarterback Cooper Rush, subbing for injured Dak Prescott (thumb), passed for 223 yards and two touchdowns.

The Cowboys have won three games in a row in the series and are 10-3 against Washington since drafting Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott in 2016.

Cowboys Offense vs Commanders Defense

Prescott has thrown an interception in six straight games and has a total of 10 in that span. He has offset that somewhat with 14 touchdowns and the Cowboys have gone 5-1 despite the turnovers.

Prescott’s 14 picks this season are tied with the Minnesota Vikings’ Kirk Cousins and Las Vegas Raiders’ Derek Carr for the most in the NFL.

There is a good chance Prescott will move into second place on the Cowboys’ all-time TD passes list Sunday. He is one behind Troy Aikman (167). Tony Romo holds the record with 247.

Prescott is a +50000 longshot in the NFL MVP odds.

Elliott has 12 rushing touchdowns – including at least one in nine straight games — and Tony Pollard has nine. They can become the first NFL teammates to have at least 10 in a season since the Carolina Panthers’ DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart in 2008.

Commanders Offense vs Cowboys Defense

Rookie quarterback Sam Howell will get the start for the Commanders and make his NFL debut. He replaces Carson Wentz, who threw three interceptions in last week’s loss.

Howell was once considered a top-10 draft pick while playing collegiately at North Carolina. However, he slipped to the fifth round this year.

It could be a rough debut for Howell, though. The Commanders will be without their top two running backs and playing a patchwork offensive line.

Furthermore, the Cowboys’ defense has a league-leading 32 takeaways with 20 fumble recoveries and 12 interceptions. Dallas has a chance to become the first NFL team to lead that category in back-to-back seasons since the Pittsburgh Steelers did it three years in a row from 1972-74.

Cowboys vs Commanders Injury Report

Pollard (thigh) is expected to play after missing last week’s game. However, linebacker Leighton Vander Esch (neck) will miss a third straight game and center Tyler Biadasz (ankle) has also been ruled out after being injured in the win over the Titans.

Wide receiver Kavontae Turpin (illness) is listed as questionable.

The list of players who will miss the game for the Commanders is long and includes defensive tackle Jonathan Allen (knee), offensive tackles Saahdiq Charles (concussion) and Cornelius Lucas (ankle), running back Brian Robinson (knee), defensive end James Smith-Williams (concussion) and cornerback Benjamin St-Juste (ankle).

Safety Kamren Curl (ankle), linebackers Jamin Davis (knee) and Nathan Gerry (illness) and guard Andrew Norwell (hip) are questionable.

Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction

The Cowboys have something to play for and the Commanders don’t. An inexperienced quarterback like Howell going up against Dallas’ ball-hawking defense also doesn’t provide much reason to have confidence in an upset.

Pick: Cowboys -7 (+100)

Season record: 6-5 (+0.5 units) ATS



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