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Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Public Betting and Money Percentages for Monday Night Football Week 10

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Nov 13, 2023 · 10:00 AM PST

In the Broncos vs Bills NFL public betting splits, favored Buffalo is drawing the majority of moneyline action.
Buffalo Bills running back James Cook (4) catches a pass out of the backfield in the third quarter during a Week 9 NFL football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday, Nov. 5, 2023, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.
  • Moneyline action in the NFL public betting splits for the Week 10 MNF game between the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills is almost entirely backing the Bills
  • However, spread splits show division among the people on which team to support
  • Over/under bettors are also uncertain in their opinion on which way to play the total of 47.5 points in Denver vs Buffalo public betting trends

The Broncos vs Bills public betting splits are displaying that the people are just about unanimous in their opinion that the Buffalo Bills are going to defeat the Denver Broncos in the Week 10 MNF game. It’s the margin of by how much that victory will be earned that the betting public is much less certain about.

In moneyline splits, Buffalo, the 7-point home favorite in the Broncos vs Bills odds, is getting 91% of handle and 95% of bets. However, in both spread splits and total splits, there’s division among the people.

Let’s take a deeper look into what the numbers are showing in the NFL public betting trends for the Broncos vs Chargers MNF game as of Monday morning.

Broncos vs Bills Betting Percentages

Team Spread ATS Handle% ATS Bet% Total Points O/U Handle% O/U Bet% Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet%
Denver Broncos +7 53% 38% 47.5 43% 62% +260 9% 5%
Buffalo Bills -7 47% 62% 47.5 57% 38% -333 91% 95%

The Bills are -333 moneyline favorites, giving them a 76.91% implied win probability. Buffalo is 13-5 straight up over the last 18 games.

Kickoff for this game at Highmark Stadium on Monday, November 13, is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ABC and ESPN, along with DAZN in Canada.

Odds as of November 13 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out BetMGM sportsbook app for their latest sportsbook offers and also look out for the brand new ESPN Sportsbook coming November 14. ESPN BET, operated by PENN Gaming, will offer sports bettors all kinds of new betting opportunities.

Spread Splits Split between Broncos, Bills

Around the best NFL betting apps it’s the Bills who are favored for the sixth straight home game. However, the NFL betting odds are showing that Buffalo is 0-3 ATS in the last three home games. It’s part of an overall coverage struggle that’s seen the Bills go 0-5 ATS through the club’s past five games.

Perhaps that explains the division in the spread splits. While 62% of bets are with the favored Bills, there’s 53% of handle backing the underdog Broncos.

At home against the Broncos, the Bills have covered in four successive games. Denver is just 2-5-1 ATS this season, which is tied for the fewest covers among AFC squads. On the road, the Broncos are an AFC-worst 0-2-1 ATS.

Overall, Denver is 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings with Buffalo and 1-6 ATS in the last seven games at Buffalo. The Broncos are also 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings with AFC opposition. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in the club’s past eight games facing an AFC opponent.

The Bills are just 10-11-2 ATS as the home chalk since the beginning of the 2021 season. Over that same span, the Broncos are 6-12-1 ATS as an away team.

Moneyline Action Almost Entirely With Buffalo

They might not be the greatest team when it comes to covering the spread, but when the subject is winning outright, nobody beats the Bills. Buffalo is 4-0 straight up at home this season.

The Bills are tied for the best home record in the NFL and are among five teams still unbeaten on their home field this season. That certainly helps to explain the massive public moneyline support for the Bills in the Broncos vs Bills public betting.

Buffalo is 11-2 SU over the club’s past 13 home games and 18-5 SU through the last 23 contests. Overall, the Bills are 19-10 SU in their last 29 games played outside of the division.

In the Broncos vs Bills picks, Denver is 1-5 SU in the past six games against Buffalo and 5-12 SU in the last 17 overall games. The Broncos are also 1-7 SU in the club’s past eight road games.

Public Uncertain About How to Play Total

The over is 7-3 in the last 10 games between these two teams. However, the past four games have alternated between over and under. There’s also a back and fourth going on between the betting public in over/under wagering on this game. The under is garnering 57% of handle, while there’s 62% of bets supporting the over on the total of 47.5 points.

The over is 8-4-1 in the last 13 games in which Denver has visited Buffalo. It’s the over that’s also come in through nine of the Broncos’ last 13 games. On the other hand, four the past five Bills games went under. Might this uncertainty on the total also leak over in how people are playing the Broncos vs Bills player props?



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