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NFL Divisional Round Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for All 4 Games

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Jan 15, 2021 · 2:29 PM PST

Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce (87) and Tyreek Hill (10) celebrating after a touchdown.
Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce (87) and Tyreek Hill (10) react after a touchdown reception during an NFL football game against the Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, Nov. 22, 2020, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Isaac Brekken)
  • The Divisional Round of the 2021 NFL playoffs includes four games spread out over Saturday and Sunday, offering more than enough props for bettors to choose from
  • Our props went 5-4 last weekend (+2.16 units)
  • See all the props being offered for the weekend below along with our best bets

We’re coming off two nice weeks in a row, winning 2.16 units during Wild Card Weekend, and are up 5.84 units since Week 17 began. The Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs only offers a total of four games split between Saturday and Sunday, meaning our offerings in the prop market continue to dwindle.

I’ve still found a hefty handful of bad lines from the sportsbooks, though. First, you’ll see all the available props in the table below, and can find the touchdown props further down the page.

NFL Player Props for Divisional Round

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Jared Goff (LAR) 19.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 209.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +134 | Un -167)
Aaron Rodgers (GB) 23.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 259.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -225 | Un +175)
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 17.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125) 197.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)
Josh Allen (BUF) 25.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 302.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 2.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)
Baker Mayfield (CLE) 22.5 (Ov +112 | Un -139) 259.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 27.5 (Ov +110 | Un -137) 320.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)
Tom Brady (TB) 25.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 296.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -190)
Drew Brees (NO) 25.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 279.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 1.5 (Ov -210 | Un +165)
Player Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Cam Akers (LAR) 16.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 70.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105) 87.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Malcolm Brown (LAR) N/A 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 21.5 (Ov +100 | Un -120)
Aaron Jones (GB) 16.5 (Ov -108 | Un -115) 68.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 95.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Jamaal Williams (GB) N/A 19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 28.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Aaron Rodgers (GB) N/A 9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
JK Dobbins (BAL) 12.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 57.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 68.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 11.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 74.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) N/A
Gus Edwards (BAL) 8.5 (Ov +100 | Un -125) 34.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 10.5 (Ov -175 | Un +140) 42.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 65.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Josh Allen (BUF) 6.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 38.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) N/A
Kareem Hunt (CLE) 7.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 31.5 (Ov -118 | Un -118) 50.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Nick Chubb (CLE) 15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 67.5 (Ov -121 | Un -104) 86.5 (Ov -108 | Un -118)
Baker Mayfield (CLE) N/A 14.5 (Ov +123 | Un -155) N/A
Patrick Mahomes (KC) N/A 16.5 (Ov -162 | Un +130) N/A
Alvin Kamara (NO) 15.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100) 60.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 99.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)
Player Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Robert Woods (LAR) 5.5 (Ov +125 | Un -157) 54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Tyler Higbee (LAR) 2.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Gerald Everett (LAR) 1.5 (Ov -190 | Un +150) 17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 11.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Davante Adams (GB) 6.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 75.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Allen Lazard (GB) 3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143) 38.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB) 2.5 (Ov +156 | Un -200) 23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)
Robert Tonyan (GB) 3.5 (Ov +117 | Un -148) 33.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Mark Andrews (BAL) 4.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 54.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 20.5 (Ov -108 | Un -118)
Marquise Brown (BAL) 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 58.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 21.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)
Willie Snead (BAL) 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -155) 26.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Miles Boykin (BAL) 0.5 (Ov -225 | Un +175) 7.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 7.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105)
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 7.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143) 93.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Cole Beasley (BUF) 3.5 (Ov -162 | Un +130) 45.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 2.5 (Ov -167 | Un +135) 19.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 10.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
John Brown (BUF) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100) 45.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Dawson Knox (BUF) 2.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 26.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 14.5 (Ov -102 | Un -124)
Gabriel Davis (BUF) 2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -155) 26.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 15.5 (Ov -126 | Un -102)
Jarvis Landry (CLE) 4.5 (Ov -155 | Un +125) 58.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 21.5 (Ov -108 | Un -118)
Rashard Higgins (CLE) 3.5 (Ov +100 | Un -125) 46.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 20.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)
Austin Hooper (CLE) 3.5 (Ov -177 | Un +140) 38.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 17.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)
Harrison Bryant (CLE) 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -167) 10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -134) 8.5 (Ov -120 | Un +100)
Kareem Hunt (CLE) 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -148) 15.5 (Ov -136 | Un +110) 9.5 (Ov -126 | Un -102)
Donovan Peoples-Jones (CLE) 1.5 (Ov -167 | Un +135) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) 15.5 (Ov -102 | Un -124)
Tyreek Hill (KC) 6.5 (Ov +122 | Un -152) 81.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 25.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105)
Travis Kelce (KC) 7.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 87.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108) 24.5 (Ov -108 | Un -118)
Mike Evans (TB) 4.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 63.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -102 | Un -124)
Chris Godwin (TB) 5.5 (Ov +114 | Un -141) 63.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Antonio Brown (TB) 4.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 20.5 (Ov -126 | Un -102)
Rob Gronkowski (TB) 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -162) 33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)
Michael Thomas (NO) 6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 79.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 23.5 (Ov -126 | Un -102)
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) 3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -102 | Un -124)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 4.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) 35.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100) 14.5 (Ov +102 | Un -130)
Jared Cook (NO) 2.5 (Ov -148 | Un +118) 31.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) 15.5 (Ov -126 | Un -102)

Odds as of January 15

Lamar Jackson Goes Under His Passing Total

In 15 games during the 2020 regular season, Lamar Jackson averaged 183.8 passing yards per game. The Ravens’ quarterback posted 179 yards through the air in Wild Card Weekend against the Titans. Jackson has only gone over 197 passing yards five times in 16 total games this season.

Sportsbooks must firmly believe Buffalo’s offense will force Baltimore into a negative game script early. But I don’t think a negative game script can even get Jackson to this number.

First of all, the Bills rank 13th against the pass, but allow 4.6 yards on the ground per carry, seventh-worst in the NFL. Even if they fall behind, the Ravens’ best chance to get back into this one will be Lamar’s legs.

Second, Jackson has zero experience playing in the snow, and there’s a decent chance we see some in Orchard Park on Saturday night. Even if you put the weather aside, Jackson has only surpassed this total once in his last seven games.

Pick: Lamar Jackson under 197.5 yards (-112) – 0.5 units

Travis Kelce Goes Off Against Browns

Only one player had more receiving yards than Travis Kelce in the regular season – Stefon Diggs. Had Kelce played in Week 17, he migh thave led the league in that category.

The Chiefs’ tight end averaged 94.4 receiving yards per game. In his last eight, he was averaging 114.4 per game and had surpassed 87.5 receiving yards in six of those contests. Kelce is Patrick Mahomes’ most trusted option, seeing 145 targets this season, and is an absolute matchup nightmare.

He’s going to be extremely problematic for a Browns defense that has not defended tight ends well. Cleveland allowed the fourth-most receptions (90) and the eighth-most yards (907) to tight ends in the regular season.

I don’t believe game flow can spoil the over here, either. With the Chiefs laying 10 points, Kelce would be a huge part of a blowout KC win. He’d also be heavily involved in a close game, and would see a ton of (deep) targets in the second half if the Browns are able to use their running game to slow Mahomes and company in the first half.

Pick: Travis Kelce over 87.5 receiving yards (-112) – 1 unit

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Shows Up Against Rams

From Weeks 1-11, Marquez Valdes-Scantling was a pretty steady contributor in the Green Bay offense. He was seeing 5.1 targets per game, and turning them into 2.5 receptions and 51.8 yards.

But thanks to many dropped passes, seven to be exact (tied for ninth-most in the NFL), Allen Lazard returning from injury, and Aaron Rodgers’ reliance on Davante Adams, Valdes-Scantling has become a boom-or-bust receiver.

Since Week 12, Valdes-Scantling has not been targeted at all in two games, and only saw more than one target two times in that six-week period. His most recent game included a 72-yard touchdown catch, however.

While I do believe Rodgers will deploy the quick game against a good Rams defense, I like Valdes-Scantling to get loose deep. He led the NFL with an average of 20.9 yards per reception. He is solely a deep threat for this offense at this point. You can take the over on either his longest reception (15.5) or his receiving yards (23.5). I have more confidence in the former, but like both.

Pick: Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s longest reception over 15.5 yards (-115) – 0.33 units

Chris Godwin Shines in Divisional Round

With Mike Evans likely to draw Marshon Lattimore all day, I foresee Chris Godwin seeing plenty of balls on Sunday. In Tampa Bay’s two games against the Saints this season, Evans saw four and six targets, while Godwin saw seven and six.

Those are pretty average numbers for Godwin, though, as the fourth-year pro averaged seven targets per game this regular season. He turned those targets into 5.4 receptions and 70 yards per game.

In his last three games, one being the Wild Card Weekend matchup with Washington, Godwin is averaging 98.7 yards per game and has surpassed 63.5 yards in each of them.

This total is way too low for Godwin, especially with it being a game where I expect New Orleans to score early and often.

Pick: Chris Godwin over 63.5 yards (-112) – 0.67 units

Odds to Score a Touchdown in Divisional Round

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Cam Akers (LAR) +700 +110
Robert Woods (LAR) +1200 +210
Cooper Kupp (LAR) +1300 +225
Tyler Higbee (LAR) +2000 +350
Malcolm Brown (LAR) +2500 +450
Josh Reynolds (LAR) +2800 +500
Van Jefferson (LAR) +5500 +1000
Davante Adams (GB) +500 -140
Aaron Jones (GB) +650 -106
Robert Tonyan (GB) +1000 +170
Allen Lazard (GB) +1800 +330
Jamaal Williams (GB) +2200 +400
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB) +2200 +460
Aaron Rodgers (GB) +3000 +550
Lamar Jackson (BAL) +800 +105
JK Dobbins (BAL) +900 +120
Marquise Brown (BAL) +1400 +200
Mark Andrews (BAL) +1500 +240
Gus Edwards (BAL) +2000 +310
Willie Snead (BAL) +3000 +500
Miles Boykin (BAL) +3500 +600
Dez Bryant (BAL) +4500 +750
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +850 +120
Josh Allen (BUF) +950 +125
Devin Singletary (BUF) +1400 +200
Cole Beasley (BUF) +1600 +250
Dawson Knox (BUF) +1700 +320
John Brown (BUF) +2000 +320
Gabriel Davis (BUF) +2000 +340
TJ Yeldon (BUF) +3300 +525
Isaiah McKenzie (BUF) +4000 +750
Nick Chubb (CLE) +900 -115
Kareem Hunt (CLE) +1400 +165
Jarvis Landry (CLE) +1800 +200
Austin Hooper (CLE) +2200 +270
Rashard Higgins (CLE) +2500 +325
Harrison Bryant (CLE) +5000 +650
Baker Mayfield (CLE) +5000 +700
Tyreek Hill (KC) +600 -155
Travis Kelce (KC) +600 -145
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) +950 +115
Le’Veon Bell (KC) +1600 +220
Mecole Hardman (KC) +1600 +230
Demarcus Robinson (KC) +1800 +260
Sammy Watkins (KC) +1800 +260
Patrick Mahomes (KC) +1800 +260
Darrel Williams (KC) +3500 +550
Ronald Jones (TB) +950 +120
Leonard Fournette (TB) +950 +120
Mike Evans (TB) +1200 +165
Chris Godwin (TB) +1300 +180
Antonio Brown (TB) +1600 +225
Rob Gronkowski (TB) +1800 +260
KeShawn Vaughn (TB) +2800 +425
LeSean McCoy (TB) +4000 +600
Cameron Brate (TB) +4000 +600
Alvin Kamara (NO) +500 -190
Michael Thomas (NO) +950 +120
Jared Cook (NO) +1600 +250
Taysom Hill (NO) +1800 +260
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) +2200 +325
Latavius Murray (NO) +2200 +325
Tre’Quan Smith (NO) +2500 +400
Deonte Harris (NO) +2800 +490

Picks to Score a Touchdown in Divisional Round

Here are the players I’m betting to find the endzone this weekend:

  1. JK Dobbins anytime touchdown (+120): Why are we still getting plus odds on Dobbins to score?! The Ravens’ running back has now scored in seven straight games and the Bills gave up 21 rushing touchdowns in the regular season, the sixth-most in the league. (1 unit)
  2. Chris Godwin anytime touchdown (+180): Godwin has scored in seven of 13 games this season, including each of his last four. With the total set at 52 for the Bucs vs Saints game, Godwin’s odds should be much closer to even money. (0.5 units)
  3. Alvin Kamara anytime touchdown (-190): Kamara found the endzone in 11 of 15 games in the regular season, and has now scored in five straight, including last week’s playoff game. He scored three touchdowns in his two games against Tampa Bay this season, and I love him to do so again at this price. (1 unit)
  4. Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-145): Kelce has scored in four straight and the Browns have allowed ten touchdowns to tight ends in the regular season, tying them for fourth-most in the NFL. (1 unit)
  5. Nick Chubb anytime touchdown (-115): The Browns’ running back scored a touchdown in nine of 12 games in the regular season, one of those misses being the game he got hurt against the Cowboys and only played 14 snaps. Chubb is riding a seven-game scoring streak and should be much shorter than -115 to find the endzone against the Chiefs on Sunday. (1 unit)
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