Early Super Bowl Predictions – Trend Says Only These 8 Teams Can Win Super Bowl 60

As I was preparing to write this article, I spent a bit of time pondering when the right time was to publish. We’re all so excited to be watching the NFL Preseason kick off, and I initially didn’t want to be the bearer of bad news for so many right now. But then I felt that I would want to know the truth before I got too invested. So, here I am with some bad news for 24 NFL fanbases, as well as any bettors holding Super Bowl futures bets on any of those 24 teams.

In each of the last seven seasons, one of the top eight teams in my NFL Power Rankings has gone on to win the Super Bowl. By no means am I suggesting I am any sort of Nostradamus, as the Power Rankings are formulaic and derived from betting lines. So, if anything, the sportsbooks know what they’re doing. It’s time to get eight different fanbases very excited for the 2025-26 NFL season, and ensure they refrain from booking any plans/vacations on Sunday, February 8 (for now).

Teams Who Can Win Super Bowl 60

These are the eight teams this trend says have a chance to win Super Bowl 60:

1. Buffalo Bills
2. Baltimore Ravens
3. Kansas City Chiefs
4. Philadelphia Eagles
5. San Francisco 49ers
6. Detroit Lions
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8. Denver Broncos

I’m sure most of these teams come as no surprise, since the Bills, Ravens, Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions are the top five contenders when viewing Super Bowl 60 odds, but maybe the final 2-3 teams may shock some. If we’re simply looking at the top eight contenders in the odds, the Commanders and Packers get bumped out of this list in favor of the Buccaneers and Broncos.

Sorry to all those who entered the season with high hopes for either Washington or Green Bay. According to this trend, this isn’t your year.

The Bucs and Broncos are each given +2800 odds to win the Super Bowl this year, which aren’t overly long odds, but they’re pretty far removed from the top contenders at +600. (However, Sean Payton did just say he believed this Broncos team is capable of winning the Super Bowl.) I mentioned there being some potential shock around a third team, which I was assuming could be either Detroit or San Francisco, depending on your bias/opinion.

The 49ers are coming off a bad season and lost a number of major contributors in the offseason. However, I/sportsbooks obviously believe their struggles were largely the result of plenty of injuries – Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk etc. I know some are also down on the Lions after they lost Ben Johnson and put forth a pretty horrific showing in the playoffs last season. But sportsbooks still believe they’re going to be a top contender this season.

For those doubting my method, or simply want to see the proof, here is where the previous seven Super Bowl winners appeared in my offseason Power Rankings:

The Eagles broke this trend in the 2017-18 season, when they won the Super Bowl as the 22nd-ranked team. However, the previous two seasons also saw top-eight teams (Patriots – 3rd, and Broncos – 4th) go on to win the Super Bowl. So, not only has this happened in each of the last seven seasons, but also nine of the last ten. Sadly, I haven’t been able to get my hands on opening lines for the full season for any years prior to 2015. As a result, I am unable to say whether this trend dates back any further.

Super Bowl 60 Prediction

Now comes the fun part, for bettors anyways – what should we do with this information? Cutting 24 teams from the list of potential Super Bowl winners is pretty significant. While I have not spent any part of the offseason thinking the Saints were a good Super Bowl bet, and hope even most (realistic) Saints fans felt the same way, I did consider teams like the Packers, Rams, Bengals, and even Vikings were intriguing options. But now that I am able to narrow in on just eight teams, let me share who I think is the best Super Bowl bet among them.

Let me start by revealing which of these eight I do not believe in:

• Detroit Lions – similar to the above, I think losing Ben Johnson is going to set their offense back a fair bit. I’m not sure how good of a DC Aaron Glenn was, as his defense was very injured last season, but adjusting to two new coordinators is no small task. I also don’t believe in Jared Goff. When you apply pressure on him, he panics and makes bad decisions.
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers – again, a change in offensive coordinator (Liam Cohen, in this case) might be significant. Cohen turned the Bucs’ offense into a top-four unit in both points and total yards just one season after they were 20th or worse in both categories. They may be able to win their division again, but I don’t believe they’re capable of getting through the NFC’s best teams in the playoffs.

Then here are a few teams who I certainly believe could hoist the Lombardi Trophy in February, but I don’t find value in their odds right now:

• Buffalo Bills – this is a team who has consistently disappointed in the playoffs and seem unable to beat the Chiefs in the postseason, even when outplaying them. Josh Allen also remained very healthy last season while shouldering the load in many short-yardage and goal-line situations, and wouldn’t be surprised to see him miss some games one of these years.
• Baltimore Ravens – I actually really like the Ravens’ additions this offseason, but Lamar Jackson’s uninspiring playoff performances leave Baltimore’s current odds a little too short for me.
• Philadelphia Eagles – in spite of returning most of their championship roster from last season, I think the loss of Kellen Moore is going to be significant to their offense. Plus, their most impactful players remained pretty healthy last year and I think their odds are a bit too short for me.
• San Francisco 49ers – I was a little on the fence about which category the 49ers belong in. I don’t have a ton of confidence in Brock Purdy, especially if he has to play in not-ideal weather in the playoffs. However, I have seen Kyle Shanahan mask his QB’s deficiencies many times before. While I did like the 49ers earlier in the offseason, Brandon Aiyuk’s uncertain timetable for return is concerning, and Christian McCaffrey is now 29 while coming off an injury-riddled season. I think Robert Saleh will help soften the losses of Dre Greenlaw and Talanoa Hufanga, but there is a lot of work to be done on that side of the ball as well.

That leaves us with two of the eight teams: the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos.

Let me start with the more fun of the two – here is why I think the Broncos can win the Super Bowl and have value at their current odds (+3000).

Denver’s defense was downright dominant for the majority of last season, and they did a fantastic job patching up the holes they did have. Jahdae Barron has been labeled one of the biggest steals of the draft, and he provides the Broncos with a solid #2/3 corner to play opposite Pat Surtain, the 2024-25 NFL DPOY. Riley Moss was exposed against good receivers last season, namely Tee Higgins. The bigger problem came when Moss was hurt, though, and teams (Jameis Winston) were able to put up video game-like passing numbers.

They also upgraded at safety, bringing in Talanoa Hufanga, whose speed and aggression seems like a great fit for this Vance Joseph defense. Dre Greenlaw was another former 49er who signed with Denver in free agency, giving the Broncos a real thumper at ILB to pair with Alex Singleton, who is also returning from injury.

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Offensively, Denver lacked play-making and stability at wide receiver, outside of Courtland Sutton, and though they didn’t do anything significant at WR in the offseason, they did add TE Evan Engram, who Sean Payton seems excited about in playing his joker role. They also lacked burst at running back, which might be fulfilled this season by RJ Harvey, one of the most explosive backs in the NCAA last season.

Their defense has already proven it can give good quarterbacks – Patrick Mahomes, among others – problems and should be able to do it more consistently this season with upgraded personnel. Their offense started to come together in the second half of the season last year, and Bo Nix seems like an ideal fit for what Payton wants to do.

Add in the fact that Denver has the easiest NFL strength of schedule among AFC West teams, along with arguably the best homefield advantage in the league, and this is a team who could take another big leap forward in 2025.

Now onto the less fun of the two – here is why I think the Chiefs can win the Super Bowl and have value at their current odds (+850).

This explanation will be much more concise, as we’re talking about the reigning AFC Champions and the team who has won two of the last three Super Bowls. Simply put, they’re the Patrick Mahomes-led Kansas City Chiefs. They made it to the Super Bowl last year without Mahomes really being able to be the best QB in the league.

Mahomes was pressured on 157 dropbacks last season, which was tied for third-most in the NFL. Yet, he was blitzed on 22.9% of his dropbacks, which is notably less than the two QBs who were pressured more – CJ Stroud and Caleb Williams. Mahomes’ offensive line was bad last year. While I don’t think they will morph into one of the league’s best units this season, I do think Josh Simmons is going to be a massive upgrade for them at left tackle.

Add in getting Rashee Rice back, who specializes in creating space from his defender quickly as well as his after-the-catch abilities, along with a rookie running back in Brashard Smith who can provide some burst in the backfield, and I think we see an explosive Chiefs offense again.

I am confident their defense will remain a very good unit, and feel the league needs to fear a pissed off Chiefs team.

To be clear, I am predicting the Chiefs will win Super Bowl 60. The best odds you’ll find on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl are +850 at DraftKings. New bettors can claim a fantastic DraftKings promo code ahead of the NFL season, which will unlock massive savings in watching the 2025-26 NFL season.

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