Expert Week 14 NFL Picks Against the Spread
- This week our expert NFL ATS picks have selections from eight different games for Week 14
- We hve two expert picks coming in on Dallas on SNF, plus more prime-time picks on the Dolphins and Packers
- Get all of our top NFL picks against the spread from these games and more here
We’re inching forward in our weekly NFL picks against the spread, going 6-3 last week and hoping for some similar results in Week 14. This weekend we’ve made ATS picks on all of the prime-time games, are backing the Bills to get the cover and possibly outright win in Kansas City, plus more NFL best bets on four other games.
Read on for all of our top Week 14 NFL picks against the spread here.
NFL Expert Picks Today
| Ryan Metivier | Bob Duff | Zach Reger |
|---|---|---|
| Bears +3.5 | Vikings -3 | Browns -3 |
| Cowboys -3.5 | Ravens -7.5 | Bills +1.5 |
| Dolphins -13 | Packers -6.5 | Cowboys -3.5 |
| Record: 17-19-3 | Record: 13-25-1 | Record: 17-20-2 |
This week’s most popular NFL ATS picks land on the Dallas Cowboys as 3.5-point favorites on Sunday Night Football. Otherwise, our Week 14 ATS picks include selections on seven other teams.
Before making your Week 14 picks against the spread, be sure to sign-up and bet on NFL with these apps to claim your new customer bonus for Week 14. Right now you can get $250 in bonus bets by using this ESPN BET promo code offer that givies all new customers $250 in bonus bets. Simply use promo code ‘DIME’ at sign-up and bet any amount for your first wager on the NFL this weekend.
Ryan Metivier
Bears (+3.5)
Chicago almost pulled off the outright upset in Detroit back in Week 11 when they were leading 26-14 late in the fourth quarter before Detroit pulled off a furious late comeback scoring two touchdowns, a two-point conversion and safety for 17 points in the final three minutes to win 31-26.
The Lions defense has fallen off a cliff of late giving up 38, 26, 29 and 28 points in their past four games. And it hasn’t even come against teams with prolific offenses (LAC, CHI, GB, NO).
Jared Goff in December is not usually a strong bet, but even just on the road in general he is only 9-10-1 SU as a starter with the Lions. Detroit is down starting C Jack Ragnow which could also hamper their offensive flow.
Chicago controlled this last matchup holding over 40 minutes in time of possession and Justin Fields had a season-high 104 yards rushing. Follow a similar gamescript this time, at home, and don’t cough up 17 points in three minutes, and they should be able to cover the 3.5 points in the NFL point spread.
Cowboys (-3.5)
Dallas don’t exactly have the most impressive resume when it comes to the quality of opponents they’ve beaten. In fact, not one of their nine wins have come over a team with a winning record. But after a Week 9 loss to this very Eagles teams, they’ve been scorching hot.
Dallas has now won four straight, six of seven, have scored 30 or more points in four straight and 40 or more points in four of six games. They’re the league’s highest-scoring offense and have now won 14 straight games at home.
Dak Prescott threw for 374 yards and 3 TDs even in defeat to Philly in Week 9. He’s averaging 316.8 YPG passing, to go with 20 TD passes in his last six games, adding to his league-high 26 TDs.
The Eagles are the league’s best team, but they’re getting shredded through the air, ranking 29th in passing and giving up the second-most touchdown passes to opposing wide receivers. In Dallas, with the Cowboys looking for revenge and Philly coming through a murderous row of playing the Chiefs, Bills and 49ers, I’ll back the Cowboys in my Week 14 NFL picks against the spread.
The #Cowboys have 11 players who rank in the top ten of their positions according to PFF:
• QB Dak Prescott – 1st
• WR CeeDee Lamb – 3rd
• FB Hunter Luepke – 3rd
• TE Jake Ferguson – 10th
• LG Tyler Smith – 4th
• LT Tyron Smith – 2nd
• CB DaRon Bland – 1st
• DT Osa… pic.twitter.com/2Tq3n43YzG— Brandon Loree (@Brandoniswrite) December 8, 2023
Dolphins (-13)
Gardner Minshew and the Colts just went into Tennessee and won 31-28 in overtime with Minshew throwing for 312 yards and two touchdowns. Things figure to get much worse for the Titans going to Miami to face Tua and the Fins.
Miami is a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS versus teams with a losing record and at 4-8 SU, the Titans fit the bill. Tennessee already has road losses of 14 points (TB) and 20 points (JAC) in recent weeks so certainly could lose by double-digits here in Miami against a Fins team coming off back-to-back wins of 30 and 21 points.
Get a $1,000 Bet Reset at ESPN BET if Your First Bet Loses!
Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.
Bob Duff
Vikings (-3)
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS through the past seven games. They are 5-0-1 ATS on the road this season. As well, the Vikings are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings with AFC opposition.
Las Vegas is a solid 4-2 ATS at home in 2023. But the Raiders are 3-9 ATS in their past 12 games against NFC North squads, including a 1-2 ATS slate this season.
Ravens (-7.5)
When playing in Baltimore this season, the Ravens have frequently flexed on the opposition. They beat the Detroit Lions by 32 points and the Seattle Seahawks by 34. There was also a 14-point verdict over Cincinnati and a 16-point decision against Houston.
The Rams are 0-5 in their last five games played in cold-weather cities. LA is also 0-10 in the last 10 games facing one of the NFL’s top-10 offenses. The Rams are also 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against Baltimore.
Packers (-6.5)
Last week, the Green Bay Packers won outright as 6.5-point home underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs. This week, we’re taking the Packers to win outright and cover as 6.5-point away favorites at the New York Giants.
Everything is trending Green Bay’s way in this game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last five games and have won 16 games in a row in December. Meanwhile, the Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 MNF games.
Jordan Love has 4 games this season with 3+ Pass TD and 0 INT.
No one in the NFL has more. pic.twitter.com/AAuS8qjiEY
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) December 5, 2023
Zach Reger
Browns (-3)
Even though they lost to the Rams, Joe Flacco showed that he can still throw the ball. Cleveland goes back home where they are a much better team, especially on the defensive side of the ball.
The Browns should be able to get back in the win column and make things difficult for either CJ Beathard or a less-than 100-percent Trevor Lawrence.
Bills (+1.5)
Sitting at 6-6, the Bills are in do-or-die mode. Going into Arrowhead is never easy, but Buffalo is coming off a bye, while the Chiefs lost a prime-time matchup last week.
I give the slight edge to the Bills, who are fighting for a playoff spot.
Cowboys (-3.5)
The Cowboys offense has been on a roll, and the Eagles are still going through their gauntlet. The Eagles have played meaningful game after meaningful game of late, and it finally caught up to them last week against the 49ers. While this is a divisional matchup and the Eagles will get up for this game, I think this line is telling.
Dallas will be able to exploit Philadelphia’s secondary, and they are hungry for revenge after losing a close one in Philadelphia earlier in the year.
Get a $1,000 Bet Reset at ESPN BET if Your First Bet Loses!
Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.
Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
