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Justin Fields Injury Sends Jets’ Odds Further South; See NYJ’s Updated Win Total, Playoff Odds

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football

Published:


New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields during training camp
Jul 23, 2025; Florham Park, NY, USA; New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields (7) participates in a drill during training camp at Atlantic Health Jets Training Center. Mandatory Credit: John Jones-Imagn Images
  • Would-be starting quarterback Justin Fields suffered a leg injury during Jets training camp on Thursday
  • Tyrod Taylor is behind Fields on New York’s underwhelming QB depth chart
  • Already a longshot to make the playoffs, the Jets’ odds have gotten even worse after Fields’ injury

Former Chicago Bear and current New York Jet Justin Fields suffered an apparent leg injury at training camp on Thursday morning. Before the injury, the New York Jets (5-12 in 2024) were already tied for the lowest win total in the NFL at just 5.5 games. Their NFL futures are heading even further south after Fields was carted off the field early Thursday.

The table below juxtaposes the Jets’ current win total, playoff odds, division odds, and Super Bowl odds with their prices prior to the Fields injury.

New York Jets Odds

Betting MarketCurrent OddsPrevious Odds
Win Total5.5 (O -110 | U -110)5.5 (O -150 | U +120)
Make Playoffs+630+500
Win AFC East+2400+1800
Super Bowl+40000+25000

In all four betting markets listed in the table above, the Jets’ odds took a hit on Thursday morning. Their win total remains at 5.5, but the over was previously a sizable favorite at -150. Now it’s a pick’em with -110 odds each way.

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New York’s odds to make the playoffs sunk from +500 (16.67% implied probability) to +630 (13.70%), while their odds to win the AFC East moved from +1800 (5.26%) to +2400 ().

In the Super Bowl odds, New York is now deadlast at +40000 (0.25%), a significant drop from their previous number of +25000 (0.40%).

Who Will Start for Jets If Fields Is Injured?

The Browns are usually the butt-end of the can’t-find-a-QB jokes but the Jets aren’t far behind in terms of pivot laughability. Limp-armed Chad Pennington is the closest thing they’ve had to a franchise QB since the Ken O’Brien years. The front office supplemented the addition of Fields with veteran Tyrod Taylor, plus rookie Brady Cook and 2024 UFL MVP Adrian Martinez.

Taylor had good numbers in relief of Aaron Rodgers’ last season (17-of-22, 119 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT, 122.9 rating) but those stats came mostly in garbage time. The 35-year-old “dual-threat” is not a viable starting option for a team that hopes to make the playoffs. He’s just 4-7 as a starter since 2021 with a completion percentage barely over 60. The conservative decision-maker might not embarrass your team, but he’s not the passing threat that New York’s young, talented receiving corps (Garrett Wilson, Josh Reynolds, Allen Lazard) needs to reach its potential.

If Fields injury is more than minor, which the “carted-off-the-field” news would suggest, New York will likely look to add a QB ahead of Week 1. Some possible options include:

  • Carson Wentz – the former Pro Bowler remains a free agent but has started just two games in the last two seasons, combined
  • Trey Lance – the hyper-talents 2021 third-overall pick is buried at #3 on the LAC depth chart
  • Jameis Winston – listed second on the SEA’s depth chart, the mistake-prone pivot could at least utilize the downfield ability of the Jets wideouts
  • Kirk Cousins – the 36-year-old four-time Pro Bowler has lost the starting job in ATL to Michael Penix Jr

Bookmark SBD’s NFL playoff odds, NFL win totals, and to see the latest futures prices for the Jets and the other 31 teams in the league.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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