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Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Odds, Spread

Daniel Coyle

By Daniel Coyle in NFL News

Updated: September 10, 2023 at 8:21 am EDT

Published:


Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo throws the ball
Aug 13, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) throws the ball before the game against the San Francisco 49ers Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • AFC West rivals clash as the Denver Broncos host the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 1
  • The Raiders swept Denver in two 2022 meetings, extending their H2H win streak to six games. Are they the best bet to win again this week’s Raiders vs Broncos prediction?
  • Read on for all the Raiders vs Broncos odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s matchup at Mile High Stadium

AFC West rivals clash on Sunday, as the Denver Broncos host the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 1 action. These teams are both looking to rebound from dismal campaigns in 2022, when they combined to win just 11 total games while finishing well out of playoff contention. Which of these rivals comes out on top in our Week 1 Raiders vs Broncos prediction?

The Raiders return to action after closing out last season with three straight SU losses and a 6-11 record, The Broncos fell dramatically short of expectations while losing 11 of their final 14 games last season, but open the new season on a two-game SU win streak at home.

Let’s analyze the Raiders vs Broncos odds and provide you with our prediction for this NFL Week 1 battle.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 (-115) +150 O 44 (-110)
Denver Broncos -3.5 (-105) -180 U 44 (-110)

The Raiders have improved to 3.5-point underdogs since opening at +4, and have attracted 67% of the bets on Sunday’s contest. The Broncos remain perched as -180 moneyline favorites on the NFL odds, and the total has held steady at 44.

Start time of Sunday’s matchup at Mile High Stadium is 4:25 pm ET, with a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast at game time.

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Raiders vs Broncos Recent History

Sunday afternoon’s matchup marks the first of two meetings between these teams this season. The Raiders swept the season series with the Broncos last year including a 22-16 overtime win in Denver in Week 11.

Overall, the Raiders have topped the Broncos in six straight clashes since relocating to Las Vegas in 2020, and have covered in 10 of their past 11 tilts included a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their past four trips to Denver as betting underdogs.

With the Broncos averaging just 17.3 points per game, the UNDER has paid out in two of three head-to-head matchups, and is 12-4 over their past 16 dates.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Outlook

Sunday afternoon’s contest marks Jimmy Garoppolo’s debut as a member of the Raiders. Jimmy G joins the Raiders after a chaotic season in San Francisco in 2022, which he started expecting to be traded, and ended with a season-ending injury, with a brief stint as the team’s starter in between.

Garoppolo saw no action during the preseason, raising concerns about rust, but enjoys the benefit of an impressive receiving corps led by Davante Adams, who is coming off a second straight 1500-yard season last year. Garoppolo can also lean on running back Josh Jacobs, who emerged as the NFL’s leading rusher in 2022, and has averaged over 127 rushing yards over his past three appearances versus Denver.

In addition to sporting an array of offensive weapons, the defense finished strong last season, particularly on the road, where they limited opponents to 17 or fewer points in three of their final four away dates.

Denver Broncos Betting Outlook

After falling far short of expectations last season, the Broncos made some major changes during the offseason. That includes a coaching change, with Nathaniel Hackett getting replaced by Sean Payton. One of the major priorities for Payton has been to kickstart a dismal Broncos attack that generated a league-worst 16.9 points per game, while also giving up 31 points per game over their final five contests.

However, with a new coach, an exodus of veterans like rushers Latavius Murray, and Melvin Gordon III, and sack leader Dre’Mont Jones, some patience may be needed as this team adapts to Payton’s systems, and finds its groove. Injuries also don’t help. Receiver Jerry Jeudy has been limited in practice, along with tight end Greg Dulcich.

That likely leaves Courtland Sutton as the best downfield available to quarterback Russell Wilson, who enters the new season with a lot to prove after tossing for just 16 scores in 15 games last season.

Raiders vs Broncos Prediction

Having a healthy and highly motivated Jimmy Garoppolo under center on Sunday gives a big edge to a Raiders squad that has struggled to pull things together offensively. Acquaintances still need to be made between Jimmy G and his new teammates.

However, with the Broncos faced with the task of adjusting to a new coach while also managing an already battered lineup that struggled offensively last year, the Raiders are poised to pay out loyal sports bettors this weekend as generous 3.5-point underdogs in the Raiders vs Broncos odds.

Raiders vs Broncos Picks: Raiders +3.5 (-115); UNDER 44 (-110)

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Daniel Coyle
Daniel Coyle

Sports Writer

Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.

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