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Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 17

Nick Holz

by Nick Holz in NFL Football

Dec 31, 2022 · 6:30 AM PST

Miami Dolphins quarterback Teddy Bridgewater
Miami Dolphins quarterback Teddy Bridgewater (5) drops back to pass against the Minnesota Vikings in the fourth quarter an NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Oct. 16, 2022. Vikings V Dolphins 33
  • The reeling Miami Dolphins take on the New England Patriots in Week 17 NFL action
  • Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with New England
  • Explore all the Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots odds and our best bets below

The reeling Dolphins take on the New England Patriots in week 17 NFL action. Get your wagers in early for this crucial Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots AFC East showdown.

Losers of 4 straight games, the Dolphins need to win this game to buffer their playoff chances. In case you missed it, Miami lost to the Green Bay Packers on Christmas Day to fall to 8-7.

While New England fell by a score of 22-18 to the Cincinnati Bengals on Christmas Eve.

This AFC East contest gets underway from Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts on Sunday, January 1st. Tune into CBS at 1pm ET to catch this matchup. Until then, check out all the odds and our best Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots bets below.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Dolphins +2.5 +115 Over 41 (-110)
New England Patriots -2.5 -139 Under 41 (-110)

Odds as of December 30th at BetMGM Sportsbook.

New England enters this crucial AFC East contest as 2.5-point favorites. While the total for Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots sits at 41. Currently, bettors are all over New England as 88% of bets are on the Patriots to cover the spread.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Miami has to overcome the obstacle of losing quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to yet another concussion. After multiple concussions this season, one has to wonder if Tua will be fully fit should the Dolphins make the playoffs.

In steps veteran backup Teddy Bridgewater, who left his only start this season after one snap because of his own head injury. While Teddy covers the spread at an insane rate for his career (42-22 ATS, 65.6%), the Dolphins are 0-2 so far this season when he enters the game. Bridgewater could be worth a bet in your Dolphins vs Patriots props.

Alarmingly, the Dolphins have won just two of their last 13 games in New England. However, the Dolphins are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 meetings with New England.

New England Patriots Betting Trends

While Miami’s struggles are well noted, the New England Patriots have problems of their own. New England has lost four of their last five outings.

That being said, Bill Belichick’s New England Patriots will be motivated to win this game to hold on to their slim post-season hopes.

However, New England has looked completely discombobulated on offense for weeks. Quarterback Mac Jones seems to have entered a sophomore slump, and Matt Patricia seems to have no idea how to coach the offensive side of the ball.

Belichick will hope his outstanding defense can slow down Miami and afford his team the opportunity to grind out a physical victory. After all, the Patriots surrender just 19.4 points per game and have generated 23 turnovers on the year.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Prediction

While the Dolphins can clinch a playoff spot with a win and a Jets loss, the Patriots will be motivated to play spoiler and keep their own playoff hopes alive.

However, it’s difficult to bet against Teddy Covers in this spot. Bridgewater is an incredible 24-8 ATS the spread as an underdog in his career. On top of that, the nine-year vet has gone 19-4 ATS as a road underdog. Good quarterbacks win, great quarterbacks cover. We’re backing Bridgewater and the desperate Dolphins on Sunday.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Pick: Miami Dolphins +2.5 (-110), Risk: 1 unit

2022 NFL Record: 9-11-1, -3 units

 

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