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Most NFL Rookie Receiving Yards Odds Favor Jordan Addison Ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Updated Jun 26, 2023 · 7:35 AM PDT

USC wide receiver Jordan Addison with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell
Apr 27, 2023; Kansas City, MO, USA; USC wide receiver Jordan Addison with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected by the Minnesota Vikings twenty third overall in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft at Union Station. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Vikings’ Jordan Addison is the +250 favorite to lead NFL rookies in receiving yardage in the 2023 season
  • The Seahawks’ Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+320) and Chargers’ Quentin Johnston (+600) are next on the board
  • A look at the NFL rookie receiving yardage leader odds can be found below with analysis and a prediction

Jordan Addison was the fourth wide receiver selected in this year’s NFL Draft but is the favorite to lead the league in most rookie receiving yards this upcoming season.

The oddsmakers have listed Addison at +250 after he was the #24 overall pick by the Minnesota Vikings. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the first wide receiver off the board, going to the Seattle Seahawks at #20.

Here is a look at the NFL rookie receiving yards odds.

Most NFL Rookie Receiving Yards Odds

Player Odds
Jordan Addison (Vikings) +250
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) +320
Quentin Johnston (Chargers) +600
Zay Flowers (Ravens) +1000
Jonathan Mingo (Panthers) +1500
Rashee Rice (Chiefs) +1800
Dalton Kincaid (Bills) +2000
Jayden Reed (Packers) +2500
Jalin Hyatt (Giants) +2500
Sam LaPorta (Lions) +2800
Tank Dell (Texans) +3000
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) +3500
Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos) +4500
Josh Downs (Colts) +4500
Cedric Tillman (Browns) +4500
Charlie Jones (Bengals) +4500
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) +4500
Michael Mayer (Raiders) +5000
Tyler Scott (Bears) +7500
Kayshon Boutte (Patriots) +7500

Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Quentin Johnston are the top three favorites to finish the 2023/24 NFL regular season with the most rookie receiving yards. Odds as of June 26th at DraftKings.

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Jordan Addison the Favorite

Addison’s production dropped last season after transferring to Southern California from Pittsburgh despite playing with Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Caleb Williams. Addison had 59 receptions for 875 yards and eight touchdowns in 2022 after catching 100 balls for 1,593 yards and 17 scores at Pitt the previous season while teaming with current Pittsburgh Steelers QB Kenny Pickett.

Addison certainly won’t be Kirk Cousins’ top target with the Vikings in his rookie season. Wide receiver Justin Jefferson was the top wideout in the NFL last year, topping the league with 128 receptions and 1,809 yards.

However, Addison figures to be the Vikings’ WR2 ahead of KJ Osborn and perennial disappointment Jalen Reagor following Adam Thielen’s departure in free agency.

Next on the List

Smith-Njigba is the second choice at +320 and the San Diego Chargers’ Quentin Johnston is next at +600.

Despite being limited to three games at Ohio State last season because of a hamstring injury, Smith-Njigba was the first wide receiver drafted. Smith-Njigba had 95 receptions for 1,606 yards and nine TDs in 2021.

Targets might be a little harder to come by for Smith-Njigba, despite his talent, with the Seahawks as he will be playing with the dynamic wide receiver duo of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

Johnston was chosen 21st overall by the Chargers after helping TCU make a surprising run to the CFP national championship game. He had 60 receptions for 1,069 yards and six touchdowns.

With the Chargers, Johnston figures to be WR3 behind Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.

Who is the Pick for Most Rookie Receiving Yards?

While Johnston did not post eyepopping numbers at TCU, he is the way to go here as a good value pick with those +600 odds.

Johnston has a couple of factors working in his favor. For one, he has knack for piling up yardage after the catch. Secondly, he will be playing with quarterback Justin Herbert, who has been second in the league in passing yards in each of the last two seasons.

The Indianapolis Colts’ Josh Downs is worth at least a small wager at +4500. A third-round pick from North Carolina, Downs could easily leapfrog Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce to become his team’s top wide receiver and still rack up a decent among of yardage despite journeyman Gardner Minshew currently topping the Colts’ depth chart at QB.

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