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New York Giants’ Super Bowl Odds Continue Fading After OTAs

Eli Manning and the New York Giants
The New York Giants are hoping a revamped offensive line, and an offense featuring Saquon Barkley can lead them back to glory. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr) [CC License].
  • The New York Giants have the fourth-worst average Super Bowl Odds among NFC teams
  • A quarterback controversy looms between an aging Eli Manning and rookie Daniel Jones
  • Is there a chance the Giants are worth their long odds?

A month after the NFL Draft, and things haven’t gotten much better for the New York Giants’ Super Bowl odds.

While most books don’t see them as the longest Super Bowl shot in their own division, their prospects aren’t great.

But Big Blue seems to think they’ve found Eli Manning’s heir apparent, which could bode well for their future. After all, if he looks exactly like Eli Manning, Daniel Jones is bound to win two Super Bowls… right?

Could the prophecy come true in year one?

Super Bowl 54 Odds

Team Super Bowl 54 Odds at Bovada
New England Patriots +700
Kansas City Chiefs +800
New Orleans Saints +900
Los Angeles Rams +1100
Cleveland Browns +1200
Philadelphia Eagles +1200
Indianapolis Colts +1300
Chicago Bears +1400
Los Angeles Chargers +1600
Green Bay Packers +1800
New York Giants +8000

*Odds taken 05/24/19. Click on the link in the table above to see odds for all teams.

In terms of the whole NFL, there are six teams that are bigger Super Bowl long shots than the New York Giants. Only two of those teams are playing with a starting quarterback not in his first or second season.

The Giants are even looking up at Sam Darnold and the Jets, who come in at +7000.

Our Super Bowl tracker isn’t offering much more hope, where the Bengals, Dolphins, and Bills round out the six teams with worse odds.

Life Without OBJ Begins Now for New York Giants

There were two big offseason moves the Giants made on offense: drafting Jones and trading Odell Beckham Jr.

Even though Giants fans wanted to run Jones out of town on draft night, he’s the QB of the future. In an ideal world, he gets a year to learn behind his dad… er …Eli.

The loss of Beckham Jr. will hurt immensely and immediately.

Odell Beckham Jr. vs Golden Tate 2016-18 Averages

Beckham
VS
Tate

26 Age 30
10.6 Games Played 11.8
67.6 Receptions 64.3
907 Yards 718.7
13.1 Yard-per-Catch 11.2
6.3 Touchdowns 3.3

To be clear, replacing OBJ is not a one man job. Tate will be leaning on Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram as well. But both are young, and Engram was banged up a bit in 2018.

Shepard did get six games to shine with Beckham Jr. hurt in 2017. His two best games combined for a 22 catch, 281-yard, one touchdown line. But he crossed 60 yards just once in the other four games.

Some of their production was attributed to having OBJ on the field, and an aging Tate won’t draw that same attention.

Pressure is on Offensive Line and Saquon Barkley

Last year, the O-Line didn’t help Big Blue’s passing game.

They came up with the 25th-worst pass protection grade per Pro Football Focus. And their run-blocking? It was 18th after Saquon Barkley graded out as the fourth-best running back in the NFL.

Kevin Zeitler will help. He was the best guard in pass protection last year, and nearly top 20 in run blocking. So too, will Mike Remmers. From there you need to hope Will Hernandez progresses and Nate Solder doesn’t regress.

The unit needs to be elite if this team is going to make the playoffs however.

New York Giants Not the Long Shot to Bet

The Giants offense has pieces that will run hot for stretches, but they need a season-long effort.

Their defensive backfield is an ever-changing picture, and if it proves to be a weakness, it’ll keep them looking up at the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys.

Don’t expect a championship swan song from Eli or a storybook start from Daniel Jones.

If you’re looking for long shots in the NFC, good health will mean good things for the Atlanta Falcons’ defense and the Minnesota Vikings as a whole. In the AFC? The Jaguars can be had at +3300 if you believe in the magic of Nick Foles.

But don’t expect a championship swan song from Eli or a storybook start from Daniel Jones.

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