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Odds to Win Each Award at 2020 NFL Honors – MVP, OROY, DROY, DPOY & More

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in NFL Football

Jan 29, 2020 · 1:49 PM PST

Lamar Jackson signing autographs for fans
Is Lamar Jackson a sure thing to win the NFL's MVP award? The odds list him at -5000. Photo by Joint Base Andrews.
  • The annual NFL Honors takes place on Saturday, Feb. 1, the day before Super Bowl 54
  • Most of the NFL awards have heavy favorites, including MVP, Coach of the Year, and Defensive Rookie of the Year
  • See the current futures for all the categories

With the Grammy’s finished and the Oscars coming up, it’s awards season. The same goes for the NFL, which will honor the best of the 2019-20 season at the annual NFL Honors show on Saturday, Feb. 1st (4:30 PM ET).

With the odds up on all of the major categories, let’s see who offers the best betting value in each one.

AP Coach of the Year Odds

Coach (Team) Odds
John Harbaugh (BAL) -600
Kyle Shanahan (SF) +300
Sean McDermott (BUF) +1000

Odds taken Jan. 29.

Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh is favored to win the 2019 AP Coach of the Year Award and, if you look at what the oddsmakers are telling us here, they don’t really expect anyone else to have a shot. Harbaugh led the Ravens to a record-setting regular season, which resulted in an NFL-best 14-2 win/loss mark.

Sure, the Ravens were knocked out of the playoffs earlier than expected (by the Tennessee Titans) but the voting took place directly after the end of the regular season.

It really feels like Buffalo’s Sean McDermott, who led the Buffalo Bills to their first 10-win campaign since 1999, is not even in the running. If you had some money in your pocket to burn, I’d take a shot on Kyle Shanahan, whose San Francisco 49ers went 13-3 just one year after going 4-12.

I still have Harbaugh ahead but I also wouldn’t be surprised if Shanahan won. He’ll definitely get some votes and, at +300, it’s a sweet payday. My view is Harbaugh should be closer to a -200 favorite.

Pick: Shanahan (+300)

Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Nick Bosa (SF) -5000
Devin Bush (PIT) +1000
Josh Allen (JAX) +1000

Odds taken Jan. 29.

While the head coaching award might be up for grabs, I have a hard time seeing anybody other than other than Nick Bosa winning Defensive Rookie of the Year. Devin Bush and Josh Allen had worse seasons and played for teams that faded down the stretch. Their case is harder to make.

Bosa was the best defensive rookie; Pro Football Focus actually graded him as one of the best defensive players in the league among all players, not just rookies. He had 80 total pressures, which was 14 more than any other  rookie edge defender has ever had.

Broken down further, Bosa had nine sacks, 18 quarterback hits, and 52 hurries. Those 52 hurries were nine better than the next-best rookie season ever. Add it all up and he’s bound to be the Defensive Rookie of the Year – as the NFL DROY odds indicate. I wouldn’t even consider betting anyone else.

Pick: Bosa (-5000)

Defensive Player of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Stephon Gilmore (NE) -1500
T.J. Watt (PIT) +400
Nick Bosa (SF) +1600

Odds taken Jan. 29.

In terms of the Defensive Player of the Year, Bosa is again a candidate here but he’s the longest shot of the three players on the board. Stephon Gilmore is the heavy favorite while T.J. Watt is second in line. The NFL DPOY odds have shifted around a lot; Gilmore was at +5000 at the start of the season.

Taking a look at his resume, it’s hard to argue with. He led the NFL in interceptions, passes defensed, and was the highest or one of the highest cornerbacks by most grading metrics. He also played for a New England Patriots defense that led the league in scoring. Bosa will win Defensive Rookie of the Year, while Watt’s case simply isn’t as strong here. This award is Gilmore’s.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Josh Jacobs (OAK) +100
Kyler Murray (ARZ) +100
A.J. Brown (TEN) +900

Odds taken Jan. 29.

The NFL OROY odds have been interesting to track; a number of different players have been favored at some point this year. First, it was #1 pick Kyler Murray, then Daniel Jones emerged, then Gardner Minshew II made his case. At the end of the day, Josh Jacobs was the most consistent contributor throughout the season.

Jacobs finished the year with 1,150 rushing yards (eighth in the NFL) and seven touchdowns but what has hurt his case is he missed the last two games of the season. That’s opened the door for Murray to possibly swoop in.

Murray trailed considerably after Week 15 as Jacobs was a -700 favorite and Murray was at +475. Murray finished strong with a win over Seattle and then a 325-yard game against the Los Angeles Rams. Still, Jacobs had the better body of work and will probably edge him out.

Pick: Jacobs (+100)


Player Odds
Lamar Jackson (BAL) -5000
Russell Wilson (SEA) +1000
Michael Thomas (NO) +3300

Odds taken Jan. 29.

Lamar Jackson is a heavy favorite to win this award and there’s really nobody else to consider. The NFL MVP odds list him at -5000, so he’s probably not worth betting at that price. At the same time, nobody else is going to win this award. It’s all his.

Not only did Jackson lead the Ravens to a 14-2 season – the best record in the NFL – he also set a new record for rushing yards in a season by a quarterback. If you think of him as only a runner, keep in mind that his 36 passing touchdowns and 81.9 QBR also led the NFL in those categories. He’s sure to be the 2019 NFL MVP.

Pick: Jackson (-5000)

Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Player Odds
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) -250
Darren Waller (OAK) +200
Dalvin Cook (MIN) +500

Odds taken Jan. 29.

The Comeback Player of the Year award is a somewhat tight race between Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill, Oakland Raiders tight end Darren Waller and Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook. All three had great stories this year during their rebound seasons. However, Tannehill stood out above the rest.

Cook and Waller were great but it feels like they didn’t exactly change the trajectory of their team’s seasons the way Tannehill did. Tannehill came in when the Titans were 2-4 and heading towards a losing season. The Titans finished the year winning seven of their final 10 games and then went into Baltimore and beat the Ravens in the playoffs.

Tannehill set new career highs in yards per pass, completion percentage and passer rating, while turning the Titans passing game into a serious challenge for opposing defenses. Waller and Cook were great but they didn’t turn their teams around like Tannehill did. That’s why he’ll win this award.

Pick: Tannehill (-250)

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