Rams vs Buccaneers Props – MNF Best Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 11

• The Los Angeles Rams clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night Football (Nov. 23rd, 8:15 pm EST)
• Our MNF prop bets were 0-4 in Week 10 (2020 season: +1.52 units)
• Read below for analysis and our favorite Monday Night Football prop bets

After a string of sub-par Monday Night Football matchups, we finally have one worth watching this week. The 6-3 Los Angeles Rams travel to Tampa Bay to face the 7-3 Buccaneers (Nov. 23, 8:15 pm EST), in what will be Tom Brady’s third primetime start in the last four weeks.

The previous two were not vintage Brady performances, in all likelihood because he’s used to going to bed at 8:30 pm. In an effort to get acclimated to playing late, the Bucs were reportedly practicing at night leading up to this contest, so we’ll see if Brady feels a little more comfortable.

Rams vs Buccaneers Player Props

All Odds taken Nov. 22nd at DraftKings.

Tampa Bay is currently a 4.5-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 48.5.

Prop #1: Tom Brady Under 300.5 Passing Yards

Regardless of how well rested Brady is, it won’t change the fact that he’s about to face one of his toughest matchups of the season. LA’s defense ranks sixth in both coverage and pass rush according to Pro Football Focus, and has surrendered a league low 6.4 yards per attempt, and the fewest 20+ yard completions in the league.

Tom Brady on the whispers he's declining: pic.twitter.com/5WvvJxLFzY

— FantasyPros (@FantasyPros) November 15, 2020

Only two teams allow fewer passing yards per game, and number one corner Jalen Ramsey is allowing just 51.5% of the passes thrown in his direction to be caught.

Yes, Brady racked up 341 yards and three scores last week versus Carolina, but he was held below 280 in his previous two matchups, and has cleared 300 yards in just three of 10 starts.

To add icing on the cake, Brady’s passing yardage prop is 8-9 yards lower at other online sportsbooks, so grab the value while you can.

Pick: Tom Brady under 300.5 passing yards (-134), 1 unit.

Prop #2: Mike Evans Under 4.5 Receptions

As mentioned, Jalen Ramsey has been ballin’ this season, and will likely draw Mike Evans in coverage. Ramsey erased D.K. Metcalf last week, holding him to 28 yards, while fellow number one wideouts DeVante Parker, Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin and Darius Slayton have all been held under 50 yards by the Rams.

Jalen Ramsey matched up with DK Metcalf on 30 routes …

🔒 4 targets
🔒 2 catches
🔒 28 receiving yards pic.twitter.com/f6W61aMKFZ

— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) November 16, 2020

Evans has struggled when locked up against elite defenders this season, posting four catches or less against Jaire Alexander, and Marshon Lattimore twice.

Pick: Mike Evans under 4.5 receptions (-129), 1 unit.

Rams vs Buccaneers Scoring Props

Prop #3: Godwin or AB Strike First

With Evans likely locked up by Ramsey, the targets should funnel towards Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Godwin has led the team in targets over the last two weeks, and has caught 83% of the balls Brady has thrown him this season.

Best overall receiver in Tampa: Chris Godwin. pic.twitter.com/Gi2tcOTQ45

— Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) November 15, 2020

AB meanwhile, is Brady’s shiny new toy, and has racked up 10 catches on 13 targets since his arrival. Both are excellent options to find the end zone first, and instead of trying to choose between one, I’m planning on sprinkling 0.25 units on each.

Picks: Chris Godwin to score first (+1200), 0.25 units, Antonio Brown to score first (+1300), 0.25 units.