Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Same-Game Parlay (Sep. 23)

• Commanders vs Bengals concludes NFL Week 3 on Monday Night Football
• Should bettors expect a bounce-back performance from the 0-2 Bengals?
• Get a +488 Commanders vs Bengals same-game parlay for MNF

Currently 1-1 under rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Washington Commanders (1-1, 0-1 away, 1-1 ATS) have a chance to add to the misery of the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2, 0-1 home, 1-1 ATS) when they visit Cincy at Paycor Stadium on Monday Night Football this evening at 8:15 pm ET.

I already postulated in the Commanders vs Bengals props that Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards O/U of 81.5 is too high, but that doesn’t mean I expect the Commanders to be able to shut down the Cincinnati passing attack, and my three-leg, +488 Commanders vs Bengals SGP starts with another one of Joe Burrow’s targets going over his yardage total.

Commanders vs Bengals Same-Game Parlay

Today’s Washington/Cincinnati SGP starts with the over on tight end Mike Gesicki, and also backs the over on Commanders RB1 Brian Robinson Jr. It finishes with the under on Terry McLaurin, who has shown zero chemistry with rookie QB Jayden Daniels.

All told, this three-leg Commanders vs Bengals SGP comes out to +488, meaning a $100 wager would net a $488 profit if all three legs hit.

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The Commanders vs Bengals odds currently favor Cincinnati at -7.5. That’s down from 8.5 earlier in the week, but 72% of ATS handle is now on the Bengals to cover in the NFL public betting splits.

WSH vs CIN Same-Game Parlay Pick #1: Gesicki Over 23.5 Receiving Yards

The first leg of tonight’s Washington/Cincinnati SGP is Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki to go over 23.5 receiving yards. Gesicki has been Joe Burrow’s favorite target through two weeks (13 targets) and leads the team with 109 receiving yards on 10 catches. That doesn’t even including a Week 1 TD catch that was called back.

The NFL says this 2nd quarter TD pass from Joe Burrow to Mike Gesicki last week should not have been overturned

During the game, they went on to fumble in the red zone after it was overturned, and ultimately lost by 6 pic.twitter.com/ZofV5CKBfq

— Bad Sports Refs (@BadSportsRefs) September 15, 2024

The Commanders have only given up five receiving yards to tight ends this season, but they also haven’t played any dangerous TE’s. In the last three games of 2023, George Kittle (29 yards), Jake Ferguson (69 yards), and Tyler Conklin (36 yards) all went well over Gesicki’s number of 23.5 yards.

And Washington, on the whole, still has a brutal pass defense. They allowed 262.2 passing yards per game last year, worst in the NFL.

The return of Tee Higgins for the Bengals likely means fewer targets for Gesicki than he saw in Weeks 1 and 2, but this is a relatively miniscule number to hit.

Commanders vs Bengals SGP Pick #2: Robinson Jr Over 53.5 Rushing Yards

The second pick in today’s SGP is Washington running back Brian Robinson Jr to go over 53.5 rushing yards. The Bengals rush defense has been absolutely horrendous through two weeks. In their Week 1 loss to the Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson torched them for 125 yards on 25 carries. Even when the runs were telegraphed late in the fourth quarter, the Pats still shoved it down the Bengals’ throat.

KC racked up 149 rush yards against Cincinnati in Week 2 at 4.7 YPC.

Brian Robinson Jr. with a grown man run!

pic.twitter.com/nVcGJlTmaM

— PropSwap (@PropSwap) September 8, 2024

Robinson Jr, meanwhile, is off to a strong start behind Washington’s revamped offensive line, posting 171 yards through two games. While Jayden Daniels is currently second in the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, head coach Dan Quinn knows he needs to protect his rookie pivot against a solid Cincinnati pass rush led by Trey Hendrickson.

Washington’s best hope of staying close in this game is to follow the New England gameplan to a tee, which should mean a steady dose of Robinson Jr, especially early on.

WSH vs CIN Same-Game Parlay Pick #3: McLaurin Under 48.5 Receiving Yards

The final leg of this Commanders/Bengals same-game parlay is Washington WR1 Terry McLaurin to stay under 48.5 yards in the NFL player props. McLaurin has just 39 total receiving yards on eight catches through two games, averaging just 4.9 YPC.

He leads the team with 12 targets, but his catch rate is likely to stay middling with Daniels under center. The LSU product,who’s averaging 205 passing yards per game so far, needs time to develop as a deep-ball passer.