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Week 18 NFL Props – Best Player Props to Bet for January 8-9

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Jan 8, 2022 · 7:44 AM PST

Austin Ekeler
Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler, right, celebrates his rushing touchdown with wide receiver Jalen Guyton (15) during the first half of an NFL football game against the Denver Broncos Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
  • NFL player props for Week 18 are available at sportsbooks
  • Will Sunday Night Football live up to one of the most exciting games of the weekend?
  • See the best player props to bet below across passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown scorer markets

The NFL regular season wraps up with NFL Week 18 this Saturday and Sunday. With several big games and many playoff implications still on the line, we take a look at the best NFL Week 18 player props to make.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback Prop Line Pick (Odds)
Taysom Hill (NO) Passing Yards 211.5 Under (-115)

All props as of January 7 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Taysom Hill UNDER 211.5 Passing Yards (-115); risk 0.5 units

The New Orleans Saints still have hopes of making the playoffs. It’s possible, with a win over the Falcons and a 49ers loss to the Rams. But that doesn’t mean they will. They’re in this spot mostly because they have a putrid passing game that ranks 31st out of 32 teams. Gross.

The man pulling the strings for the Saints offense right now is Taysom Hill. He’s really only been the starter for four games though (Weeks 13, 14, 15 and 17) throwing for 264, 175, 154 and 222 yards respectively. That averages out to just shy of 204.

Hill’s two road games during that stretch were the 175 and 154 outputs. He’s on the road again in Atlanta, facing a divisional opponent who would like nothing more than to knock the Saints out of the playoff conversation.

New Orleans gets by on their running game and defense. And sometimes Hill features heavily into the run game as well. Last week he was the Saints’ leading rusher.

The Falcons’ defense isn’t great anywhere. But they are considerably worse versus the run compared to the pass. Atlanta ranks 26th in opponents’ rushing yards per game, versus 19th in opponent passing.

That plays into New Orleans strengths so if the Saints do win it’ll likely be on the ground versus the air sending Hill UNDER this total.

NFL Rushing Props

Player Prop Line Pick (Odds)
D’Onta Foreman (TEN) Rushing Yards 69.5 Over (-115)

D’onta Foreman OVER 69.5 Rushing Yards (-115); risk 0.5 units

Another team that relies more on the run game versus the pass game is the Titans. It’s a huge NFL Week 18 game for Tennessee if you assume the Chiefs will come out on top against the Broncos Saturday. That means the Titans will need to win to clinch top spot in the AFC.

Both the Chiefs and Titans are heavy double-digit favorites so oddsmakers are expecting this game to mean something and for the Titans to hand the Texans a heavy-handed defeat.




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With no Derrick Henry, D’Onta Foreman has been heating up as a member of Tennessee’s ground game, slowly becoming their main man. In Week 17 he rushed 26 times for 132 yards and a touchdown. It was the third time in the past five weeks that he topped the 100-yard mark.

Houston ranks dead-last in rushing yards allowed per game (143.4) meaning it could be another big day for Foreman.

NFL Receiving Props

Player Prop Line Pick (Odds)
Mike Williams (LAC) Receiving Yards 51.5 Over (-115)

Mike Williams OVER 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115); risk 0.5 units

It’s the highest total on the board this week and a win-and-your-in scenario. That, if you assume Indy doesn’t lose to Jacksonville and the Chargers and Raiders elect to play out a very unlikely NFL tie.

So let’s assume all the marbles are in play come Sunday night and both of these teams will be gunning for a playoff spot in the last game of the regular season. Well in that case, we should be in for a fun one. Neither team is great defensively. Las Vegas ranks 24th in points allowed per game (25.4), while Los Angeles ranks 26th (26.5). On the flip side both are much better on the offensive side. The Chargers are 6th in points per game (27.6), while the Raiders are 18th (21.2).

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So let’s look to the big boys to have some big days. The Chargers Mike Williams and Keenum Allen are most likely to be targeted often by Justin Herbert. Williams’ yardage total is set about 20 yards less than Allen’s which looks like the better value to me.

Williams had 63 yards on just three catches in Week 17. Williams has exceeded 51.5 yards nine times this season and averages 68.5 on the year. I’ll bet he’s heavily involved on Sunday.

Touchdown Props

Player Odds to Score Any TD
Travis Kelce (KC) -115
Austin Ekeler (LAC) -190
Rob Gronkowski (TB) +110

Here’s who I like to find the endzone and why:


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  1. Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-115): Kelce and the Chiefs are expected to beat down the Broncos on Saturday night. Denver just allowed 34 points to another divisional opponent, the Chargers, last week. Denver kept Kelce in check back on December 5 with only 27 yards, but Kelce has three touchdowns in his past two games. I don’t see Drew Lock sustaining many long drives for Denver, meaning Patrick Mahomes should have plenty of opportunities to find his favorite target. (0.50 units)
  2. Austin Ekeler anytime touchdown (-190): Let’s go back to SNF. Ekeler has 18 touchdowns on the season, (11 on the ground and seven in the air). He’s found the endzone at least once in each of his past seven games. If points are to be scored Sunday night, Ekeler should be invovled. (1 unit)
  3. Rob Gronkowski anytime touchdown (+110): The Bucs don’t have a whole lot to play for on Sunday but so far all signs point to the starters playing. And with so many receiving options out for Tampa, Tom Brady will want some time to keep the passing attack fresh. Gronk is his most reliable option. He hasn’t caught a TD pass in four weeks, but did go off for 115 yards last week on 7/10 receiving. Gronkowski also has several incentives in his contract which could lead to Tom looking his way Sunday. Gronkowski will receive $500k with seven more receptions, $500k with 85 more receiving yards and $500k with three more TDS. Three may be hard to come by, but one certainly isn’t.
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