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Bruins (+460) Close in on Lightning (+420) in Eastern Conference Title Odds; Leafs Drop to +580

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Updated Mar 28, 2020 · 3:43 PM PDT

Nikita Kucherov skates down ice
Nikita Kucherov and the defending Presidents' Trophy champion Tampa Bay Lightning are off to a slow start and that has the Boston Bruins closing the gap on them in the odds to win the NHL's Eastern Conference. Photo by Jeanine Leech/Icon Sportswire.
  • The Presidents’ Trophy-winning Lightning sit tenth in the East at 5-4-2
  • Tampa’s average odds to win the Eastern Conference have increased to +420
  • Meanwhile, the Boston Bruins (9-1-2) have improved from +500 to +460

Last season, the Tampa Bay Lightning posted an NHL-record-tying 62 wins. But when the Stanley Cup final was played, they were long gone. It was the Boston Bruins who represented the Eastern Conference.

If the playoffs started today, the betting favorite to win the East wouldn’t even qualify for postseason play.

The Lightning are still the chalk in the East, despite a pedestrian 5-4-2 start to the NHL season. But their lead is dwindling.

Across the leading sportsbooks, Tampa Bay averages out at +420 in the Eastern Conference title odds. The Lightning were as short as +340 earlier this month.

2019-20 NHL Eastern Conference Odds

Team Odds
Boston Bruins +375
Tampa Bay Lightning +400
Toronto Maple Leafs +475
Washington Capitals +850
Carolina Hurricanes +950
New York Islanders +1100
Buffalo Sabres +1200
Florida Panthers +1200
Pittsburgh Penguins +1200
Philadelphia Flyers +1600
Montreal Canadiens +2400
New Jersey Devils +2500
New York Rangers +3000
Columbus Blue Jackets +3300
Detroit Red Wings +15000
Ottawa Senators +25000

Odds taken on October 30, 2019.

Meanwhile, the Bruins are charging. The odds on Boston to win the East now average out at +460. That’s down from a season-long of +550.

Some sportsbooks actually list the Bruins (+375) as Eastern Conference favorites, ahead of the Lightning (+400).

Lightning Striking Out

A 4-1 setback to the New York Rangers on Monday night left the Lightning 10th overall in the East. It was Tampa Bay’s second straight loss and third in four games.

It was also the third time in four games that the Lightning were held to two goals or fewer. Last season, they led the NHL with 325 goals, averaging 3.96 goals per game.

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Tampa Bay lost seven home games all of last season. This season, they’ve already suffered three home defeats.

In 2018-19, the Bolts posted a league-leading +103 goal differential. This season, they are a -1.

Bruin Up Success

A 5-1 drubbing of the San Jose Sharks on Monday was Boston’s fourth successive victory. The Bruins have points in eight straight games (6-0-2). Significantly, a Boston team persistently hampered by secondary scoring in recent seasons got goals from five different players.

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At 9-1-2, the Bruins are one point behind Washington for the East lead, but they’ve played two fewer games. David Pastrnak tops the NHL with 12 goals and is challenging for both the Rocket Richard and Art Ross Trophies.

Leafs Keep Falling

The same problems that have plagued the Toronto Maple Leafs these past few seasons continue to haunt them. They’re too easy to play against and they can’t keep the puck out of their net.

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Monday morning, Washington captain Alex Ovechkin called out the Leafs for stubbornly refusing to change their ways, even though they haven’t won a playoff series since 2004. Then the Leafs gave up four and lost to the Capitals.

It was the seventh time this season Toronto has surrendered four or more goals in a game.

Don’t Sleep On Caps

It might be too early to push the panic button about Tampa Bay.  In 1995-96, the Detroit Red Wings were the first team to win 62 games in a season. They also failed to win the Cup.

Detroit came back the following season, started slowly (5-4-1) and won just 38 games. But that spring, the Wings captured the Stanley Cup.

Speaking of the Stanley Cup, don’t look past the Capitals, less than two years removed from a title. All of the key components are still in place and defenseman John Carlson is performing like a Norris Trophy-winner.

Pick: Washington Capitals (+850)

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