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Canadiens vs Golden Knights Game 5 Odds, Lines and Picks – How to Bet Massive Favorites at Home in NHL Playoffs

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Jun 21, 2021 · 7:21 PM PDT

Mark Stone tangled with Josh Anderson while skating
Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mark Stone (61) skates against Montreal Canadiens right wing Josh Anderson (17) in Game 2 of an NHL hockey Stanley Cup semifinal playoff series Thursday, June 17, 2021, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
  • The Golden Knights and Canadiens play Game 5 of their NHL Playoffs series on Tuesday, June 22nd
  • Vegas started goalie Robin Lehner in place of Marc-Andre Fleury in Game 4
  • Read below for the odds, picks and best value for Game 5

The Vegas Golden Knights are heavily favored to take a 3-2 series lead over the Montreal Canadiens in their NHL Playoffs Semifinal series. Game 5 is scheduled for Tuesday, June 22nd at 9pm ET at T-Mobile Arena. The action will be broadcast on NBCSN.

The Golden Knights evened up the series 2-2 with a 2-1 overtime victory in Game 4 at Bell Centre. Coach Pete DeBoer made a surprising decision by starting goalie Robin Lehner over playoff veteran Marc-Andre Fleury.

We layout the odds for Game 5 and tell you how to bet large favorites on home ice.

 Canadiens vs Golden Knights Odds – Game 5

Player Moneyline Spread at DraftKings Total
Montreal Canadiens +195 +1.5 (-152) O 5 (-134)
Vegas Golden Knights -230 -1.5 (+128) U 5 (+110)

Odds as of June 21st

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Lehner Sparks Knights in Game 4

The Golden Knights have evened up their series with Montreal thanks to strong goaltending from Robin Lehner. The 29-year-old made his first start in 21 days in Game 4, turning away 27 of 28 shots. Coach Pete DeBoer opted to bench Marc-Andre Fleury, who had started 15 of the Golden Knights’ 16 playoff games.

DeBoer’s decision was met with backlash online, but it looks like he made the right call. Lehner claimed in his post-game that he used the hate on Twitter as motivation for his performance. The big question now is whether DeBoer will go with Lehner or Fleury in Game 5. Fleury has allowed three goals in consecutive starts, so it’s likely Lehner could be back in the cage.

Aside from goaltending, offense from the defense was another positive for Vegas in Game 4. Brayden McNabb found the back of the net in Game 4, which made him the seventh Golden Knights’ defenseman to score in the 2021 playoffs. Getting shots through traffic from the point is key to beating a goalie of Carey Price’s caliber.

Canadiens vs Golden Knights Series Odds

Team Odds at DraftKings
Montreal Canadiens +235
Vegas Golden Knights -305

Habs Blow Golden Opportunity 

The Canadiens were an overtime goal away from taking a 3-1 series lead over the powerhouse Golden Knights. This is a massive opportunity squashed considering nobody was giving the Habs much of a chance in this series. The Canadiens opened as heavy +315 underdogs to defeat the Golden Knights and advance onto the Stanley Cup Final.

Montreal played a solid game in Game 4, but they were stymied by Lehner and couldn’t get the job done in overtime. Paul Byron opened the scoring with a slick breakaway tally, while Carey Price stopped 19 of 21 shots. High-danger chances were a whopping 17-2 in favor of Montreal, marking the second consecutive game in which Montreal has generated far more quality chances than Vegas.

The Hab’s penalty kill also continues to be a key storyline. Montreal is 26-for-26 on the penalty kill in their last 11 games and have scored three shorthanded goals in that span. Refs are hesitating to call penalties in this third-round series, but whenever Vegas gets on a power play, the Canadiens’ PK is equal to the task.

Game 5 Best Best

Betting massive home favorites in the playoffs can be tricky. T-Mobile Arena provides an electric atmosphere that Vegas feeds off, as the Golden Knights have won five of their past six home games. There isn’t value betting the VGK moneyline, however, as Montreal has won five of their last six roads games and have heavily outplayed Vegas recently.

The best value for Game 5 is betting Vegas on the 60 minute line (-125). The last two games have gone to overtime, which has led to the odds being skewed in favor of another OT battle. The Knights should get rejuvenated with a trip back home, and Lehner’s .917 career save percentage against Montreal is convincing enough to bet Vegas to get it done in regulation.

Pick: Golden Knights to Win in Regulation (-125)

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