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Flames and Panthers Stanley Cup Odds After Blockbuster Tkachuk Trade

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Jul 23, 2022 · 12:03 PM UTC

Calgary Flames Matthew Tkachuk in warmups
May 5, 2022; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Calgary Flames left wing Matthew Tkachuk (19) skates during the warm-up period against the Dallas Stars in game two of the first round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames traded Mathew Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers in exchange for Jonathan Huberdeau and more
  • The Panthers saw immediate improvement in their Stanley Cup odds, while the Flames remained longshots
  • Read below for the latest Stanley Cup odds, plus betting analysis on the blockbuster trade

The NHL featured a blockbuster trade on Friday night. The Calgary Flames traded Mathew Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers in exchange for Jonathan Huberdeau, MacKenzie Weegar, Cole Schwindt and a first-round draft pick.

Oddsmakers viewed the deal as a win for Florida, as the Panthers saw immediate improvement in their Stanley Cup odds following the transaction. The Flames, meanwhile, remain Cup longshots after previously losing superstar Johnny Gaudreau to NHL free agency.

Let’s take a look at the updated Stanley Cup odds and analyze the Tkachuk-Huberdeau trade from a betting perspective.

2023 Stanley Cup Odds

Team Stanley Cup Odds
Colorado Avalanche +450
Carolina Hurricanes +1000
Toronto Maple Leafs +1000
Florida Panthers +1100
Tampa Bay Lightning +1200
Vegas Golden Knights +1400
Edmonton Oilers +1600
New York Rangers +1600
Pittsburgh Penguins +1800
Minnesota Wild +1800
Calgary Flames +2100
St. Louis Blues +2500
Boston Bruins +2700
New York Islanders +3000
Los Angeles Kings +3500
Washington Capitals +3500
Vancouver Canucks +4500
Nashville Predators +4500
Dallas Stars +4500
Winnipeg Jets +5000
Detroit Red Wings +5500
Ottawa Senators +5500
Philadelphia Flyers +6000
New Jersey Devils +6500
Buffalo Sabres +7500
Columbus Blue Jackets +7500
Anaheim Ducks +8500
San Jose Sharks +10000
Seattle Kraken +10000
Montreal Canadiens +15000
Chicago Blackhawks +15000
Arizona Coyotes +25000

Odds as of July 22 at FanDuel Sportsbook.


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Tkachuk Traded to Florida

The Flames traded Matthew Tkachuk to the Panthers on Friday night in a blockbuster deal. Tkachuk trade rumors had picked up over the past few days after the Flames’ agitator told Calgary management he wouldn’t be re-signing long-term.

While Tkachuk being traded isn’t all that surprising, his new destination is a bit of a shock. Tkachuk was born and raised in St. Louis, so there was growing speculation that the 25-year-old was eyeing a return to his hometown.

It’s tough for Calgary to move on from Tkachuk, but the return they landed is pretty stellar. Jonathan Huberdeau finished second in NHL scoring last season (115 pts), while MacKenzie Weager put up 44 points and a plus-40 rating on Florida’s blueline.

Panthers Stanley Cup Odds Improve

Oddsmakers quickly adjusted the Stanley Cup odds following the Tkachuk to Florida trade. The Panthers got a decent bump, moving from +1300 to +1100 at FanDuel.  DraftKings even lists Florida (+850) as the second-favorite alongside Toronto.

Calgary’s Stanley Cup odds stayed put at around +2000 despite acquiring a superstar in Huberdeau. The Flames already faded from +1800 after Johnny Gaudreau chose to sign with Columbus in NHL Free Agency.

The Flames did acquire a tremendous package for Tkachuk, but oddsmakers are skeptical considering the team lost their two stars in one offseason. It also doesn’t help that they were dominated by Edmonton in the NHL Playoffs.

Betting Verdict

The Panthers and Flames trade is the definition of a blockbuster, but it didn’t have a similar seismic impact on the Stanley Cup odds. There are two superstars in this trade in Tkachuk and Huberdeau, who are both listed in the 2023 Hart Trophy odds.

When you consider the two big pieces in this trade, it’s easy to see why the betting odds didn’t shift drastically for either team. Tkachuk does bring a little extra to the table with his agitating play style, which is likely factored into the 2023 Stanley Cup odds.

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While the Panthers come out on top based on the betting odds, there’s no need to rush to make a wager. Florida’s issues last season revolved around defense, and losing Weegar is a big hit to their blueline. They also lost two-way forward Claude Giroux to free agency.

Instead of betting the Panthers to win the Cup, you’re better off taking them at +550 to win the Eastern Conference. Florida has been a great regular-season team, but they’ve only won one playoff series this decade. Trading for Tkachuk won’t magically make all their defensive issues go away.


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