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Oilers Stanley Cup Odds Improve to +750 After Taking 3-1 Lead on Flames

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

May 25, 2022 · 9:35 AM PDT

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins celebrating a goal
May 24, 2022; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers celebrate a game winning goal by forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (93) against the Calgary Flames during the third period in game four of the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The 2022 Stanley Cup odds have shifted following Tuesday’s NHL results
  • The Oilers have seen their odds drastically improve, while the Flames have faded
  • Read below for the updated Stanley Cup odds, plus best value bets

Tuesday’s NHL results have shaken up the Stanley Cup odds. The Edmonton Oilers took a 3-1 series lead over the Calgary Flames, while the New York Rangers evened their series with the Carolina Hurricanes 2-2.

The Oilers and Rangers both saw significant improvement in their Stanley Cup odds following the conclusion of Tuesday’s games. The Flames and Hurricanes, meanwhile, saw their odds significantly lengthen.

Let’s take a look at the updated Stanley Cup odds and offer you our best value bets.

2022 Stanley Cup Odds

Team Stanley Cup Odds
Colorado Avalanche +130
Tampa Bay Lightning +250
Carolina Hurricanes +600
Edmonton Oilers +750
New York Rangers +1200
Calgary Flames +2400
St. Louis Blues +8000

Odds as of May 25th at FanDuel Sportsbook

 

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Oilers, Rangers See Cup Odds Improve

The Edmonton Oilers and New York Rangers both saw major improvement in their 2022 Stanley Cup odds following Game 4 victories on Tuesday, May 24th. The Oilers improved from +900 to +750 at FanDuel, while the Rangers went from +2000 to +1200.

Edmonton taking a 3-1 series lead over Calgary in the Battle of Alberta is somewhat surprising considering they opened as underdogs to win the series. Connor McDavid has reached a new level this postseason, while 40-year-old goaltender Mike Smith has turned back the clock.

Although the Oilers are an intriguing Cup bet at +750, their run is likely to end at the hands of the powerhouse Colorado Avalanche in Round 3. McDavid is the best player in the game, but the Oilers have allowed the most high-danger chances of any Western Conference team.

The Rangers, meanwhile, are in a similar situation to Edmonton. They rely heavily on goalie Igor Shesterkin, who is the clear-cut favorite in the Vezina odds. The Russian netminder owns a .925 playoff save percentage and has masked some of the Rangers’ major defensive issues.

New York has allowed the most high-danger chances of any Eastern Conference team and would face the reigning back-to-back champs, the Tampa Bay Lightning, in the Eastern Conference Final if they were to advance.

Avs Still Offer Value in Stanley Cup Odds

Even though there was significant movement in the Stanley Cup odds, the Avalanche still remain plus-money favorites to win it all. The Avs have won seven of their first eight playoff games and are one victory away from advancing onto the Western Conference Final.

Colorado has been the most dominant team in the 2022 NHL Playoffs, controlling 61% of the shot attempts and outscoring their opponents by a 36-20 margin. Updated Western Conference odds show that oddsmakers believe the Avs are the clear team to beat in the West.

The Avs have a 3-1 series lead over the Blues in Round 2 and will likely see an increase in their Stanley Cup odds once they advance. Colorado has suffered three straight Round 2 exits but this appears to be the year Nathan Mackinnon and company exorcise those demons.

Colorado at plus-money to win the Stanley Cup is a gift considering how heavily favored they are to win the Conference. Sure they’d have to face Andrei Vasilevskiy in a hypothetical Stanley Cup Final vs Tampa, but the Avs got six goals past him during the regular season and won both meetings.

Don’t Count Out Canes in NHL Odds

If there’s one team that gained value in the Stanley Cup odds following Monday’s results, it’s the Carolina Hurricanes. Rod Brind’Amour’s club has lost two straight games to the Rangers as the series shifts back to Raleigh for Game 5.

Carolina’s value in the NHL odds is based on a bizarre postseason stat and the fact they were the league’s best possession team during the regular season. The Canes are 0-5 on the road in the postseason but 6-0 on home ice at PNC Arena.

Carolina’s solid 25-12-4 road record during the regular season would lead you to believe that their misfortunes will turn around eventually. When you analyze their series with NYR, you’ll see they have a 54 xGF% and are still favored to advance onto the next round.

The Canes also have some longshot value due to a Freddie Andersen injury update. The Hurricanes’ starting goalie practiced with the team Monday for the first time since suffering a lower-body injury on April 16th.

If Andersen were hypothetically to return in Round 3 vs Tampa, the Canes would have a much better chance of reaching the Cup Final. Andersen posted a .922 save percentage in the regular season, allowing just three goals in two wins versus the Lightning.

 

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