USA vs Canada Prediction, Odds & How to Watch – 4 Nations Face-Off

• Canada is a slight -115 moneyline favorite over USA in the must-see game at the 4 Nations Face-Off so far
• The Americans dusted Finland 6-1, while Canada opened with a 4-3 OT win over Sweden
• See the USA vs Canada Prediction, odds and tune-in information, below

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Instead of a ho-hum NHL All-Star Game on Saturday night, the 4 Nations Face-Off is treating us to one of hockey’s best rivalries going and far too long to make happen, as Canada takes on the United States in round-robin play.

Canada opened the tournament with a 4-3 OT win over Sweden, while the Americans crushed Finland 6-1.

Puck drop is scheduled for 8pm ET from the Bell Centre, in Montreal, with ABC/Disney+/ESPN+ providing the broadcast in the U.S, and Sportsnet handling the TV coverage in Canada.

USA vs Canada Odds

Canada is just a slight -115 moneyline favorite, with the Americans also a short -105 underdog. The total is set at 6.5, with +110 odds on the Over. Canada’s star-studded offense and average defense and goaltending was on display in the opener, as they combined with Sweden to pot seven goals.

Odds as of Feb. 14 at Caesars. Check out SBD’s Caesars Sportsbook review to see the available sign-up bonuses. Bettors in Canada can register at a top-rated Canadian sportsbook using the Bet99 promo code.

USA vs Canada Prediction

• Over 6.5 Goals (+110) at Caesars

Canada’s overwhelming talent up front was front and center in beating Sweden.

Their powerplay is its own lineup of death, with Nathan MacKinnon, Connor McDavid and Sid Crosby up front, and Cale Makar and Sam Reinhart at the points. They struck on a beauty to open the scoring less than a minute into the game. Crosby, a question mark coming into this tournament, was the best player on the ice, picking up three assists.

OH SID THAT IS FILTHY 🤢

CANADA SCORES IN THE OPENING MINUTE pic.twitter.com/bU2ijPoSvA

— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) February 13, 2025

However, Canada’s main concern isn’t putting up goals, but keeping them out. They were unable to keep 2-0 and 3-1 leads, with the Swedes tying things up midway through the third period, before Mitch Marner won it in OT.

Jordan Binnington struggled through three periods, but came up big in overtime to allow for Marner to play hero. It would be shocking for head coach Jon Cooper to go away from him at this point of the tournament.

What a shot by Kempe to cut Canada's lead 🔥 pic.twitter.com/jSVHLOi5u1

— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) February 13, 2025

Canada’s defense was dealt a blow when Shea Theodore left in the first period with an undisclosed injury, but has already ruled him out for the tournament.

The team’s roster is locked, and Canada’s management can’t call out to any number of readily available top end defensemen not originally selected to the team unless it drops under 18 healthy skaters. That means the only option is Philadelphia Flyers defenseman Travis Sanheim.

A slow start, which included surrendering the opening goal of the game to the Fins, were about the only critiques of Team USA’s win on Thursday.

The Americans tallied less than three minutes later, took the lead for good in the second period, then turned on the afterburners in the third period to leave no doubt. USA tallied with a pair of goals less than 30 seconds in the final frame and three over the first three minutes to cruise to victory.

HENRI JOKIHARJU! FINLAND STRIKES FIRST 🇫🇮#4Nations pic.twitter.com/xQgJ5XZRgM

— Hockey Daily 365 l NHL Highlights & News (@HockeyDaily365) February 14, 2025

The Tkachuck brothers, Matthew and Brady, were wrecking balls, each scoring a pair of goals. Jake Guentzel and Matt Boldy had the other goals for Team USA.

There was no problem in goal for Connor Hellebuyck, who shut the door completely on the Fins after the opening goal, finishing with 20 saves to pick up the win. The Winnipeg Jets goalie stands out as perhaps the player that gives the Americans an advantage over the Canadians.

That being said, Finland has nowhere near the offensive potency of Hellebuyck’s next opponent — which is arguably the best national scoring lineup that’s ever been assembled.

USA’s defense isn’t fully formed either, as Quinn Hughes was a late scratch to the tournament with an injury. While he isn’t a defensive stopper on the blueline, his ability to move the puck and skate out of trouble would be helpful against Canada.

USA Goals: 6
Tkachuk Goals: 4

😱😱😱😱 pic.twitter.com/AtgpAxWlfq

— ESPN (@espn) February 14, 2025

This could easily be a Championship preview, as both teams entered the 4 Nations tied with the best odds to win the tournament.

Canada is loaded up front, but the Americans can, for the first time in a long time, match them with forward depth, while the USA defense and goaltending should be an advantage.

Can Canada outscore its shortcomings? Even with Hellebuyck in net, I don’t see a way Canada can’t score enough goals to keep up with the Americans. Buckle up for a wild Saturday night.