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Wednesday NHL Odds, Predictions and Picks – Maple Leafs vs Flyers Odds

George Nassios

by George Nassios in NHL Hockey

Nov 9, 2021 · 8:55 PM PST

Sean Couturier skating by bench
Philadelphia Flyers center Sean Couturier celebrates his goal with teammates in the second period of an NHL hockey game against the Washington Capitals, Saturday, Nov. 6, 2021, in Washington. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs visit the Philadelphia Flyers as road favorites on Wednesday, November 10th, 2021
  • The Maple Leafs had their 5-game winning streak snapped by the Los Angeles Kings on Monday
  • See the Leafs vs Flyers odds, picks and best bet for this matchup

The well-rested Philadelphia Flyers host the Toronto Maple Leafs at 7:30pm ET at the Wells Fargo Center on Wednesday.

Toronto is listed as -130 road favorites in the Leafs vs Flyers odds.

After a slow start, the Leafs were riding a five-game winning streak that included three consecutive wins against some of the NHL’s heavyweights, but that came to an end with a disappointing 5-1 loss to the Los Angeles Kings on Monday.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia should be well rested as they haven’t played since Saturday.

Let’s take a look at the Leafs vs Flyers odds and lines while also peaking at SBD’s NHL best bet for this Eastern Conference matchup.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
7:30pm ET Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+180) O 6 (-120) -130
November 10th, 2021 Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 (-220) U 6 (+100) +110

Odds as of November 9th at DraftKings

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Injury Report

The Leafs may be heading into this one a little banged up as a couple of forwards missed practice yesterday, including Captain John Tavares, who has been playing lights out lately with six goals and 10 points in his last six games.

If Tavares can’t go, Toronto will look to last year’s goal leader, Auston Matthews to lead the offence. The Leafs’ sniper missed the start of the season after offseason wrist surgery and got off to a slow start when he returned, but has looked more like himself of late, with two multi-goal games in the last four. He opened as the betting favorite in the Rocket Richard odds, but now has slipped to third at +525.

Flyers Goalies Standing Out

The Flyers have done a pretty good job keeping Matthews quiet over the years, as he’s scored just three goals in 10 career games against Philly. Last game it was Martin Jones keeping another Rocket Richard candidate, Alex Ovechkin quiet as the Flyers held the explosive Capitals’ offense to one goal in a 2-1 win.

Carter Hart is likely to get the task of keeping Matthews at bay in this one. He’s had a great start to this month with a .954 save percentage in his two starts in November.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Recent Results

Date Home-Away Money Line Puck Line Over/Under
12/03/2019 PHI 6 – TOR 1 PHI PHI Over
11/09/2019 TOR 2 – PHI 3 (SO) PHI PHI Under
11/02/2019 PHI 3 – TOR 4 (SO) TOR PHI Over
03/27/2019 PHI 5 – TOR 4 (SO) PHI PHI Over
03/15/2019 TOR 7 – PHI 6 TOR PHI Over

The Leafs goaltending situation is less than desirable right now. Their offseason signing Petr Mrazek is out with a groin injury and Jack Campbell has been carrying the load with no trustworthy number 3 goalie. Although Campbell has had a sensational start to this campaign, the workload may be catching up to him.

Goalies Getting Too Much Action?

Games Started Games Played Minutes Played
1. Jake Allen (11) 1. Jake Allen (11) 1. Jake Allen (633:09)
T2. Jack Campbell (10) 2. Jack Campbell (11) 2. Igor Shesterkin (606:35)
T2. Igor Shesterkin (10) 3. Igor Shesterkin (10) 3. Jack Campbell (603:31)

Campbell was heroic leading the Leafs to three wins last week, so much so that he was recognized as one of the best players of the week by the NHL.

On Monday against his former team though, he allowed four goals in a 5-1 loss. We’ll see how he bounces back, but some rest soon would likely do him some good. The Flyers duo of Hart and Jones are both performing very well, splitting their goaltending duties with the team goals against and save percentage both top-5 in the league.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Pick & Prediction

This should be a really competitive contest and although these teams have had some explosive affairs against one another, I think this will be a tight, low-scoring matchup.

Let’s take a look at a few trends and interesting numbers heading into this one:

  • Home Team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two
  • Maple Leafs are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia
  • Flyers are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game

Other than the Leafs being a wild 9-1 in their last 10 Wednesday night games, all the signs point to a Flyers victory in this one, so go with the home underdogs on the moneyline.

Pick: Flyers ML (+110)

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