Upcoming Match-ups

Beto for President in 2020? O’Rourke A Favorite After Losing Texas Senate

Beto O'Rourke
Beto O'Rourke came close to winning a huge upset, but maybe not close enough. Photo by Beto O'Rourke for Congress [CC License].
  • Beto O’Rourke very nearly beat Ted Cruz in the Texas Senate race
  • He’s got a bright future in the Democratic party
  • Does that make him a good bet for 2020?

Beto O’Rourke came within a hair’s breadth of beating Republican Ted Cruz in the Texas Senate race last night, a race that was far tighter than anyone would have predicted a year ago.

That performance helped him shoot up the odds sheet for the 2020 Democratic nomination, although bettors should be a little skeptical.

2020 Democratic Candidate Odds

You can see more at the 2020 Presidential Election Odds Tracker. Here’s the Democratic Nominee odds at Bovada:

Candidate Bovada Odds to be Democratic Nominee 2020
Kamala Harris +450
Beto O’Rourke +500
Bernie Sanders +600
Joe Biden +600
Elizabeth Warren +900
Cory Booker +1200
Kirsten Gillibrand +1400

That’s down from an average of +2000 from before last night, a huge jump up the odds sheet.

And what’s even more shocking are his average odds to win the 2020 Presidential Election, which now sit at +1100.

2020 US Presidential Election Odds

Is Beto a Good Bet?

Unfortunately, he’s not a good bet at these odds.

Does Beto O’Rourke have a bright future in the Democratic party? Absolutely.

He mobilized a huge operation in Texas, made a name for himself nationally, and brought a deep red state inches from handing Ted Cruz his 12th or 14th biggest embarrassment of the past two years.

If the Democrats manage this right (that’s a big “if”) he’ll be their biggest asset in Texas for decades. He even got an endorsement from Jim Carey (?):

That doesn’t mean he’ll be the nominee in 2020, however, and it certainly doesn’t mean that he should get near-favorite odds.

Bernie Sanders is still the most popular Senator in the US (and, by some measures, the most popular politician), Joe Biden is still eyeing a bid, and Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren have both got a lot more on a resume than “lost an election to Ted Cruz.”

Listing Beto at Bernie’s odds is a tactic by the sports betting sites to hoover up some money after Beto’s star reached its peak. It’s likely that he’ll come back in a big way, but now that Beto’s off the candidate’s bus, he likely won’t be in the spotlight anymore.

Author Image

Alex studied political science in university but spent most of that time watching college football. Covered sports betting for this site from 2017-2019. Avid tennis player, golf nut, and motorsports nerd. Career .600 against Ryan Murphy in NBA Jam: Tournament Edition.