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Elizabeth Warren Overtakes Joe Biden as Democratic Nominee Favorite

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics

Aug 30, 2019 · 9:29 AM PDT

Elizabeth Warren speaking
Elizabeth Warren has overtaken Joe Biden as the favorite to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination. Photo by Gage Skidmore (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • Elizabeth Warren has overtaken Joe Biden and is now the betting favorite to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination
  • Warren’s average odds improved from +310 to +200
  • Biden’s odds went from +280 to +230

Elizabeth Warren has surpassed Joe Biden and taken over as the betting favorite to be the 2020 Presidential candidate in the Democratic nomination odds.

Across a number of leading sportsbooks, Warren’s odds improved from +310 to +200.

2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Odds

Candidate Odds
Elizabeth Warren +250
Joe Biden +275
Bernie Sanders +600
Kamala Harris +800
Andrew Yang +1000
Pete Buttigieg +1200
Tusli Gabbard +2500
Cory Booker +2800
Beto O’Rourke +4000
Amy Klobuchar +5000
Tom Steyer +5000

*Odds taken on 08/30/19. 

Biden also showed improvement but his move from +280 to +230 left him trailing Warren.

Warren’s Steadfast Climb

To the steady goes the race, so the old saying suggests, and Warren is living proof of that adage. It took her some time to resonate with the masses. In April, her odds stood as high as +2000.

She steadily improved. Warren was down to +1400 in May and +1000 just prior to the first Democratic debates in June. By the beginning of August, she’d dropped to +310.

Warren’s stayed on point throughout the process, made her message and her plan the issue. Warren has avoided confrontational encounters with other candidates, choosing instead to focus on what she’ll do, not why their concepts won’t work.

On top of that, she’s avoided the gaffes of Biden. As well, nothing’s been revealed from Warren’s past to deflate her candidacy, as has happened to Kamala Harris.

Biden Bumbling Along

Biden’s gaffe-filled campaign just keeps on growing goofier. Recently while in New Hampshire, the former Vice-President talked about how he loved Vermont. When he spoke at Dartmouth College, he couldn’t remember which building he was in at the time.

During a speech in Iowa, Biden noted that, “poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids.”

Aware his missteps are a growing concern, Biden, 76, sought to assure the crowd during a speaking appearance. “I’m not going nuts,” he told them.

Pollsters Starting To Agree With Oddsmakers

A curious trend during this process was that while significant fluctuation took place in the betting odds on the candidates, the polls taken did not reflect these shifts.

That’s changed with the most recent survey taken. A Monmouth University poll shows Warren, Biden and Bernie Sanders in a virtual tie atop the race.

Warren and Sanders both polled at 20 percent, followed by Biden at 19 percent.

It’s the first time any poll showed Warren leading the race.

Sanders improved in the latest average odds from +690 to +550.

Warren Is Winning

To this point, Warren is delivering on all fronts. Her campaign manifesto is well thought out and delivered. She’s yet to be tripped up on any issue. There’s been no skeletons found in her closet.

A competent, stable, knowledgeable candidate for the White House.

After the three-ring circus that’s occupied the Oval Office the past three years, a calm, efficient, businesslike President might just be what America is seeking.

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