- Elizabeth Warren has overtaken Joe Biden and is now the betting favorite to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination
- Warren’s average odds improved from +310 to +200
- Biden’s odds went from +280 to +230
Elizabeth Warren has surpassed Joe Biden and taken over as the betting favorite to be the 2020 Presidential candidate in the Democratic nomination odds.
Across a number of leading sportsbooks, Warren’s odds improved from +310 to +200.
2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Odds
*Odds taken on 08/30/19.
Biden also showed improvement but his move from +280 to +230 left him trailing Warren.
Warren’s Steadfast Climb
To the steady goes the race, so the old saying suggests, and Warren is living proof of that adage. It took her some time to resonate with the masses. In April, her odds stood as high as +2000.
She steadily improved. Warren was down to +1400 in May and +1000 just prior to the first Democratic debates in June. By the beginning of August, she’d dropped to +310.
Elizabeth Warren is going to be the first female President of the United States.
Pass it on. pic.twitter.com/Pk5P9WFebo
— Travis Akers (@travisakers) August 28, 2019
Warren’s stayed on point throughout the process, made her message and her plan the issue. Warren has avoided confrontational encounters with other candidates, choosing instead to focus on what she’ll do, not why their concepts won’t work.
On top of that, she’s avoided the gaffes of Biden. As well, nothing’s been revealed from Warren’s past to deflate her candidacy, as has happened to Kamala Harris.
Biden Bumbling Along
Biden’s gaffe-filled campaign just keeps on growing goofier. Recently while in New Hampshire, the former Vice-President talked about how he loved Vermont. When he spoke at Dartmouth College, he couldn’t remember which building he was in at the time.
Biden talks w/press in Keene, NH: "I love this place. Look, what’s not to like about Vermont in terms of the beauty of it? And what a neat town…everybody has been really friendly. I like Keene a lot." pic.twitter.com/0hKsgiDfwM
— Bo Erickson CBS (@BoKnowsNews) August 24, 2019
During a speech in Iowa, Biden noted that, “poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids.”
Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden yesterday on not being sure where he previously spoke: “I wanna be clear, I’m not going nuts.” pic.twitter.com/RTkVYQQcvL
— Ryan Saavedra (@RealSaavedra) August 26, 2019
Aware his missteps are a growing concern, Biden, 76, sought to assure the crowd during a speaking appearance. “I’m not going nuts,” he told them.
Pollsters Starting To Agree With Oddsmakers
A curious trend during this process was that while significant fluctuation took place in the betting odds on the candidates, the polls taken did not reflect these shifts.
That’s changed with the most recent survey taken. A Monmouth University poll shows Warren, Biden and Bernie Sanders in a virtual tie atop the race.
Warren and Sanders both polled at 20 percent, followed by Biden at 19 percent.
It’s the first time any poll showed Warren leading the race.
Sanders improved in the latest average odds from +690 to +550.
Warren Is Winning
To this point, Warren is delivering on all fronts. Her campaign manifesto is well thought out and delivered. She’s yet to be tripped up on any issue. There’s been no skeletons found in her closet.
A competent, stable, knowledgeable candidate for the White House.
After the three-ring circus that’s occupied the Oval Office the past three years, a calm, efficient, businesslike President might just be what America is seeking.