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Joe Walsh Given 25-1 Odds of Being Republican Candidate Over Donald Trump in 2020

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Politics News

Updated Apr 13, 2020 · 12:29 PM PDT

Close up of Joe Walsh, former Illinois Congressman
Will Joe Walsh challenge President Trump in any way? Photo by U.S. Air Force photo by Gage Skidmore (Flickr)
  • Former Illinois Congressman Joe Walsh is planning to challenge Donald Trump in 2020
  • Trump has an 88% approval rating among Republicans
  • Walsh has no hope of becoming the nominee in 2020

It looks like President Donald Trump will have some competition in the 2020 Republican primaries. Conservative radio-show host Joe Walsh, who was formerly in the United States House of Representatives, is looking to challenge Trump in the GOP primaries. Is he worth a bet at long odds or does he have no shot?

Who Will Be the Republican Nominee in 2020?

Candidate Odds
Donald Trump -10000
Joe Walsh +25000

*Odds taken 08/29/19.

Who Is Joe Walsh?

Walsh is a somewhat popular conservative radio host who had a show running on the Salem Radio Network. Unfortunately, as soon as he announced a challenge to Trump, they immediately put an end to his show, which will air up until September 26th.

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Walsh is also a former Congressman for the 8th district in Illinois. When the district was remapped in 2012, he ended up losing the next election to Democrat Tammy Duckworth. Originally, Walsh was a big supporter of Trump, but he’s since changed his position quite significantly.

Why Is Walsh Running?

Walsh is running because he doesn’t agree with a lot of things that Trump is doing. While he may agree with some conservative points, he was repulsed by Trump’s decision to participate in the Helsinki Summit with Vladimir Putin. Domestically, he feels a lot of his statements incite violence and divide the country.

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As a result, Walsh wants to challenge Trump before the Democrats even get a crack at him. It figures to be an uphill battle for him, though.

Walsh Has No Shot

Walsh has a lot going against him, which is why I don’t expect him to be a serious contender. To start, most Republicans love Trump. The latest Gallup poll showed that 88% of the GOP approve of the job he’s doing. That alone should sink Walsh’s chances.

Most Republicans would probably say that while they don’t like Trump’s rhetoric or how he handles things publicly, they would probably agree with the wall, the appointment of conservative judges, the economy and immigration. They also love how he hammers the left-wing media. Why would they trade that for Walsh?

More importantly, Walsh will get crushed in any general election. Trump has a great shot to be reelected as long as the economy is doing well. Walsh is all but a guarantee to lose to Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders or anyone else who represents the Democrats.

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Beyond that, incumbent presidents are rarely unseated by the opposite party, let along from a primary challenger in their own party. Nobody in the GOP really wants Walsh to run and they’ll do their best to cut him down as soon as possible.

What’s The Best Bet?

Sometimes, there is value with these types of props as the underdog has a sliver of hope. That’s simply not the case here as Walsh has no shot whatsoever.

He’ll have no funding, no support, and no platform to get his message across. I’d either pass on this prop altogether or bet on Trump if you want a very small payday.

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