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Kanye’s Presidential Election Odds Now as Short as +5000, as Long as +24000

Kanye West at a concert.
Does Kanye West have any shot of winning the 2020 Presidential Election? Photo by Jason Persse (Flickr).
  • Kanye West has announced that he’s running for President of the United States
  • West is really late to the game and will have a tough time getting air time to spread his message
  • Kanye’s platform will also make it really hard for him to get more than a sliver of the vote

There was an initial buzz when Kanye West announced that he’s running for President of the United States but since the initial statement, we have yet to see much action. Four sportsbooks have posted him in the 2020 election odds – one as short as +5000 – but is this realistic or is betting on Ye a waste of money?

Odds to Win 2020 Presidential Election

Candidate Odds
Joe Biden -185
Donald Trump +136
Hillary Clinton +6000
Mike Pence +6125
Mitt Romney +10000
Kanye West +11800
Michelle Obama +12000

Odds represent the candidates’ average across multiple sportsbooks as of July 10th.

Is Kanye Serious?

Many people were wondering if Kanye was even serious about running for president. A lot of pundits wrote this off as a plea for attention, but he has started to take some small steps towards running. On July 8th, he sat down with Forbes to open up about his White House bid and present his platform.

His platform looks … well, it looks like Kanye came up with it himself. It’s not that it’s a bad thing – Kanye is anti-vaccine, anti-abortion and pro-Christian – but anyone who understands politics will tell you that you have to think about how you’re going to collect the votes.

For West, his best bet is to achieve some wins in the black community and garner their support, and then try to build momentum from there. For example, if he talked about police brutality or reforming education in poor neighborhoods, that could generate a bit of attention.

Instead, he’s going to be anti-vax and anti-abortion, which means he’s not going to get much support from any liberals. In terms of targeting the right-wing, incumbent President Donald Trump has an approval rating well over 90% in the Republican Party.

So, who exactly is going to back Kanye?

Mixed Odds at Different Books

It’s interesting to note that, when Kanye announced that he’s running, he was at +10000 to win at the first sportsbook to post odds.

Taking a look at some updated numbers, some books have him as low as +5000 or +6600, while another has him at a much more realistic +24000. He’s an extreme longshot and, at this point, it’s hard to take him seriously.

What’s the Best Bet?

When it comes to Kanye, it appears that his efforts are more exploratory than anything. He doesn’t have many platforms to really step up speak – other than his own social channels – and he’s very late to the game. If CNN, MSNBC and FOX News aren’t going to give him air time, he’s not going to have a path.

The Democratic and Republican conventions are right around the corner. The race has been cemented as Trump versus Joe Biden, and nobody even cares what Kanye has to say at this point. That being the case, I’d avoid his odds at all costs.

It’s true that the United States needs a creative thinker – someone young and innovative, who can lead the country. However, the reality is that the next president is all but assured to be either Trump or Biden. At this point, betting on anyone else is throwing good money out the window.

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