Kanye’s Presidential Election Odds Now as Short as +5000, as Long as +24000
- Kanye West has announced that he’s running for President of the United States
- West is really late to the game and will have a tough time getting air time to spread his message
- Kanye’s platform will also make it really hard for him to get more than a sliver of the vote
There was an initial buzz when Kanye West announced that he’s running for President of the United States but since the initial statement, we have yet to see much action. Four sportsbooks have posted him in the 2020 election odds – one as short as +5000 – but is this realistic or is betting on Ye a waste of money?
Odds to Win 2020 Presidential Election
Candidate | Odds |
---|---|
Joe Biden | -185 |
Donald Trump | +136 |
Hillary Clinton | +6000 |
Mike Pence | +6125 |
Mitt Romney | +10000 |
Kanye West | +11800 |
Michelle Obama | +12000 |
Odds represent the candidates’ average across multiple sportsbooks as of July 10th.
Is Kanye Serious?
Many people were wondering if Kanye was even serious about running for president. A lot of pundits wrote this off as a plea for attention, but he has started to take some small steps towards running. On July 8th, he sat down with Forbes to open up about his White House bid and present his platform.
Kanye West says he’s done with Trump—opens up about White House bid, damaging Biden and everything in between https://t.co/i61oxwFDC4 by @RandallLane pic.twitter.com/ebleDW1aK1
— Forbes (@Forbes) July 8, 2020
His platform looks … well, it looks like Kanye came up with it himself. It’s not that it’s a bad thing – Kanye is anti-vaccine, anti-abortion and pro-Christian – but anyone who understands politics will tell you that you have to think about how you’re going to collect the votes.
For West, his best bet is to achieve some wins in the black community and garner their support, and then try to build momentum from there. For example, if he talked about police brutality or reforming education in poor neighborhoods, that could generate a bit of attention.
Kanye West in his recent Forbes interview:
•He will be running for president with guidance from Elon Musk
•He no longer supports Trump
•He is pro-life/anti-abortion
•He has never voted
•Claims COVID vaccine is ‘the mark of the beast’
Very hard to defend him… pic.twitter.com/cmPJu4scMg
— All Love Hip Hop (@AllLoveHipHop) July 8, 2020
Instead, he’s going to be anti-vax and anti-abortion, which means he’s not going to get much support from any liberals. In terms of targeting the right-wing, incumbent President Donald Trump has an approval rating well over 90% in the Republican Party.
So, who exactly is going to back Kanye?
Mixed Odds at Different Books
It’s interesting to note that, when Kanye announced that he’s running, he was at +10000 to win at the first sportsbook to post odds.
Taking a look at some updated numbers, some books have him as low as +5000 or +6600, while another has him at a much more realistic +24000. He’s an extreme longshot and, at this point, it’s hard to take him seriously.
What’s the Best Bet?
When it comes to Kanye, it appears that his efforts are more exploratory than anything. He doesn’t have many platforms to really step up speak – other than his own social channels – and he’s very late to the game. If CNN, MSNBC and FOX News aren’t going to give him air time, he’s not going to have a path.
Kanye West did an interview with Forbes. You don’t have to click it, I’ve taken these two screenshots to show you just how desperate (and weird) the once great artist has become. https://t.co/poz7j30gVU pic.twitter.com/rmzOfkJbgL
— Shahmir Sanni (@shahmiruk) July 8, 2020
The Democratic and Republican conventions are right around the corner. The race has been cemented as Trump versus Joe Biden, and nobody even cares what Kanye has to say at this point. That being the case, I’d avoid his odds at all costs.
It’s true that the United States needs a creative thinker – someone young and innovative, who can lead the country. However, the reality is that the next president is all but assured to be either Trump or Biden. At this point, betting on anyone else is throwing good money out the window.