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Latest 2024 Republican Nomination Odds Strongly Favor Trump Over DeSantis, Haley

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics News

Updated May 30, 2023 · 9:03 PM PDT

Donald Trump arriving in Texas
Donald Trump greets Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton as Lt. Governor Dan Patrick follows at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on Nov. 20, 2019
  • Donald Trump is the -215 odds-on favorite to win the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination
  • Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has faded to a distant second at a betting line of +250
  • Trump was the Republican nominee for both the 2016 and 2020 runs for the White House

The more Donald Trump gets into trouble, the more his chances of making another run for the White House are improving.

The 45th President of the United States was recently found guilty of sexual assault and defamation against writer E. Jean Carroll and ordered to pay $5 million in damages. At the same time, his betting line to be the 2024 Republican Presidential nominee has shortened from -130 on April 2 to -215 today.

Meanwhile, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, thought to be a real challenger for the nomination, is being distanced by Trump. The odds of DeSantis winning the nomination lengthened from +193 to +250.

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds

Candidate Odds
Donald Trump -215
Ron DeSantis +250
Nikki Haley +2000
Tim Scott +3500
Mike Pence +4000
Tucker Carlson +4000
Mike Pompeo +4000
Liz Cheney +5000
Ted Cruz +6500
Tom Cotton +8000
Kristi Noem +8000
Larry Hogan +8000
Charlie Baker +8000
Greg Abbott +10000
Jared Kushner +10000
Ivanka Trump +10000
Josh Hawley +10000
Marco Rubio +10000
Jim Jordan +10000
Dan Crenshaw +10000
Kimberly Guilfoyle +10000
Paul Ryan +10000
Matt Gaetz +10000
Chris Christie +10000
Mitt Romney +10000
Susan Collins +10000
Rand Paul +10000
Kanye West +15000

Odds as of May 30 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.


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Americans cannot bet on US politics markets. European books have been offering odds on the 2024 US Presidential election since the 2020 race reached a conclusion. Odds are also available in Ontario sports betting markets. It’s the first place where North American sportsbooks are offering betting lines on the 2024 US Presidential election.

Trump Train Can’t Be Derailed

Even though his list of legal troubles are massive, it only seems to be emboldening Trump’s supporters to double down in their backing of him for the Republican Presidential nod. He’s already been convicted in the case involving Carroll. Trump will be the first former US President to face criminal charges. He was indicted in New York following an investigation into a $130,000 payment to former adult film star Stormy Daniels. He’s facing 34 counts of falsifying business records.

There are separate criminal and civil investigations ongoing to determine whether Trump’s company committed fraud. The US Department of Justice is looking into the removal of government documents from the White House. Trump took several documents, including a number that were classified as top secret, to his Mar A Lago Florida home.

There’s also a special counsel currently investigating Trump. A possibility exists that the could be charged under the Espionage Act for the removal of these top secret documents. It’s also not know whether Trump could be facing any legal issues over his role in the January 6, 2021 insurrection at the US Capitol Building.

Yet the support for Trump among the MAGA loyalists never wavers. He’s utilizing his Save America political action committee (PAC) to raise funds for his legal defense. Already, more than $1 million in donations has been collected.

Disastrous Debut for DeSantis

Once thought to be the likely 2024 Republican nominee, a persistent series of missteps, stumbles and downright foolhardy decisions have left the DeSantis campaign in a state of failure to launch.

His official announcement of his candidacy took place last week on Twitter, with DeSantis accompanied by Twitter owner Elon Musk. There were Three Stooges shorts filmed with less chaos and mayhem than this event.

Technical glitches delayed the start for 25 minutes. The live stream later cut out. The hashtag #DeSaster was how Twitter users were describing the DeSantis launch. It was just another fumble for a campaign that can’t seem to get out of its own way.

Will Any Of It Matter?

Trump may indeed earn the Republican Presidential nod, and that could be the best thing to happen to the re-election bid of Democrat incumbent Joe Biden. Most polls have Biden again beating Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election.

Currently, Biden is the +195 favorite in the 2024 US Presidential election odds. Trump is at +275, while DeSantis is a distant +360.

Trump could join Thomas Dewey (1944, 1948) as the only Republican candidate to lose two Presidential elections.


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