New Hampshire Primary Odds – Bernie Listed as Heavy Favorite
- Sportsbooks have established Bernie Sanders as the overwhelming odds-on -600 favorite to win the Democratic New Hampshire primary
- Pete Buttigieg is the +450 second betting choice
- Sanders won the 2016 New Hampshire primary by more than 22% over Hillary Clinton
New Hampshire went for Bernie Sanders in a big way in 2016. Online sportsbook are going with Sanders in a big way in 2020, listing Vermont Senator Sanders as the -600 chalk to capture the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential primary.
Sanders was an overwhelming victor in the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential primary.
Pete Buttigieg is a distant second betting choice at +450. No other candidate is given odds better than +1400.
2020 Democratic New Hampshire Primary Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | -600 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +450 |
| Joe Biden | +1400 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +2000 |
| Andrew Yang | +3300 |
| Amy Klobuchar | +8000 |
| Tom Steyer | +5000 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +10000 |
Odds taken Feb. 6.
The New Hampshire primary is slated for Tuesday, February 11th.
New Hampshire Loves Bernie
New Hampshire was Bernie country in 2016, and it looks like that will be the state of affairs in 2020.
A Monmouth University poll that was made public on Thursday shows Sanders to be the leader heading into the New Hampshire Democratic primary. The Senator from nearby Vermont is polling at 24%. Buttigieg is running second at 20%. Joe Biden (17%) and Elizabeth Warren (13%) came next in the poll.
The New Hampshire numbers reflect a recent increase in support for Sanders across the early primary states.
However, it is worth noting that Monmouth University pollsters reported that 49% of the people contacted listed themselves as undecided voters when it came to the New Hampshire primary.
That poll is given a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. As well, it was taken prior to when the Iowa caucus outcome was known. It has to be considered that those results might influence some undecided voters.
Iowa Was a Virtual Tie
The numbers from the messed-up Iowa caucus, where a failed app delayed vote counting, are almost all in. They show a virtual tie in the race between Sanders and Buttigieg.
Buttigieg finished as the choice on 26.2% of the ballots, a touch ahead of Sanders at 26.1%. Warren (18.2%) and Biden (15.8%) were next in the voting order.
Sanders and Buttigieg each garnered 11 delegates. Warren grabbed five, while Biden was shut out. These results were based on 96% of precincts reporting.
In terms of the popular vote, Sanders held a slight lead over Buttigieg of approximately 1,000 votes.
These numbers are definitely intriguing. Entering the vote, polls showed Sanders and Biden as the front runners, with Buttigieg in third.
Sanders Soared in 2016
If history is any indicator, Bernie figures to crush the opposition in New Hampshire. He ran roughshod over Hillary Clinton in the 2016 New Hampshire Democratic primary.
Sanders defeated Clinton by more than 22%. He gained an impressive 60.14% of the popular. Just 37.68% went for Clinton.
Bernie won each of New Hampshire’s 10 counties by at least 15 points.
Sanders earned 15 delegates, compared to nine for Clinton.
Mayor Pete a Wild Card
Buttigieg’s strong showing in Iowa certainly has piqued interest in how he might impact the New Hampshire race.
There are indications that Mayor Pete is making a strong late surge in the New Hampshire. This is also how he affected the Iowa ballot.
Iowa, you have shocked the nation.
By all indications, we are going on to New Hampshire victorious. #IowaCaucuses
— Pete Buttigieg (@PeteButtigieg) February 4, 2020
Buttigieg closed the gap on Sanders by 4% in the latest New Hampshire poll. He’s gained eight points over the two polls.
It’s doubtful that Buttigieg can catch Sanders and win in New Hampshire. However, he can certainly put some more dents in the evidently fading campaigns of Biden and Warren.
Don’t Bet Against Bernie
It’ll be tempting to make a value bet play on Buttigieg but the reality is that Bernie and New Hampshire is a marriage that won’t easily be separated.
The expectation is that Buttigieg won’t cut into the support for Sanders but he most certainly will impact the outcome for both Biden and Warren. Both of them saw their numbers take a hit in recent polling.
Latest New Hampshire poll (Emerson 2/1 to 2/3) shows @berniesanders widening his lead:
32% Sanders (+3)
13% Biden (-1)
13% Warren (+1)
12% Klobuchar (+4)
12% Buttigieg (-1)https://t.co/bRRaBsVgcQ— David Shuster (@DavidShuster) February 4, 2020
Every poll shows Sanders winning in New Hampshire. Four years ago saw Sanders winning in New Hampshire.
There are some things in life that are just meant to go together, and this is one of those things.
Pick: Bernie Sanders (-600)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
