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Trump’s Reelection Odds Fall Further as Health Concerns Arise

Donald Trump
For the third week in a row, Donald Trump's odds to be reelected President of the USA lengthened. His betting line went from +108 to +113. Photo by Gage Skidmore [flikr].
  • For the third week in a row, Donald Trump’s odds to be reelected President of the USA got worse
  • His betting line went from +108 to +113. Are his days in the Oval Office numbered?
  • Analysis of the latest trends in the odds and predictions on outcomes are examined in the ensuing story

The more Donald Trump talks, the longer his odds to be win reelection as President of the United States grow.

For the third successive week, Trump saw his betting line in the 2020 Presidential odds worsen. On June 9th, Trump was at odds of +108 to win a second term in the White House. In six days, his line has climbed to +113, on average.

Joe Biden remains the favorite. The Democratic challenger saw his odds shorten from -123 to -130 over the same span.

2020 US Presidential Election Odds

Candidate June 9th Odds June 15th Odds Trending
Joe Biden -123 -130
Donald Trump +108 +113
Hillary Clinton +4150 +4775
Mike Pence +7250 +8000
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +10000 +10000
Michelle Obama +9625 +10875
Kamala Harris +13283 +11000
Andrew Cuomo +11000 +11750
Mark Cuban +12500 +12500
Nikki Haley +12750 +14375
Elizabeth Warren +16250 +16250
Jo Jorgensen OFF +25000
Bernie Sanders +23000 +26000

Odds as of June 15th.

Americans are slated to go to the polls on Nov. 3rd.

West Point Stumble

Trump’s latest misstep was a literal one. His awkward, slow-footed descent down a ramp following his speech to cadets at West Point raised serious concern over his physical well being.

Coupled with his inability to raise a glass to his mouth with his right hand during the same speech, there appeared to be solid evidence of cognitive decline in the President. His critics were quick to point this out on social media.

It became such a firestorm that Trump felt the need to tweet out in his own defense. He claimed the ramp was steep, and that he ran off the end of it. Video evidence displayed neither of his claims to be factual.

For a President who likes to portray himself as strong and powerful, these sequences instead made him appear weak and frail.

America Still In Disarray

Black Lives Matters protests continue to be held around the country. Late last week, Rayshard Brooks was killed by police in Atlanta. Trump also said he won’t watch the NFL if players resume taking a knee during the National Anthem in support of the protests.

Meanwhile, America’s rush to reopen its economy has led to significant spikes in COVID-19 cases in southern states such as Florida, Texas, Arizona, and Oklahoma, all of them run by Trump-supporting Republican Governors.

Meanwhile, previously hard-hit states such as Michigan and New York, where Democratic Governors were criticized by Trump for installing harsh shelter-in-place regulations, are stabilizing and showing a decline in coronavirus cases.

Despite urging from the country’s infectious disease experts to wear a mask in public to help combat the virus, Trump, the leader of the country, refuses to do so.

Trump Ready To Rally Again

Trump intends to launch his campaign rallies starting next week in Tulsa. It was originally scheduled for June 19th – the anniversary of one of the worst racial massacres in American history in Tulsa – known as Juneteenth. Following severe criticism of the choice of date, it’s since been rescheduled to June 20th.

He’s also planning rallies for Arizona, Texas, and Florida – states where cases of coronavirus are rapidly increasing.

A New Face

Libertarian Jo Jorgensen has officially entered the Presidential race. There were fears among Democrats that a third-party candidate might hurt Biden’s chances.

Well, Spike Cohen, Jorgensen’s Vice-Presidential nominee, wants to put a Waffle House on every corner. That sounds like a platform more appealing to Trump supporters.

Pick: Joe Biden (-130)

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