Trump’s Election Odds Fade (Again); Biden Sets New All-Time Best at -175
- Joe Biden is now a -175 favorite to win the 2020 US Presidential election, his shortest odds yet
- Incumbent Donald Trump has slumped to +150? Can The Donald rally before Americans go to the polls on Nov. 3rd?
- See how the odds have shifted over the last week and why
The oddsmakers are riding with Joe Biden, as Donald Trump continues to slump.
The brief rally in the 2020 election odds that US President Trump staged a couple of weeks ago has faded like one of his tee shots sailing off into the woods during Trump’s many weekend golf outings.
The betting line on Biden, meanwhile, is continuing to shorten. The latest data shows the presumptive Democratic nominee as the -175 chalk, on average across online sportsbooks. Those are the shortest odds ever offered on the former Vice-President.
2020 US Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate | Odds at Bet365 |
|---|---|
| Joe Biden | -175 |
| Donald Trump | +150 |
| Hillary Clinton | +4000 |
| Mike Pence | +8000 |
Odds taken July 22nd.
At the same time, the betting odds on a second term in the Oval Office for Trump have climbed to +150.
Building a Wallace
Who thought that sitting outdoors on a sweltering summer while being grilled by Fox News’ Chris Wallace was going to help the President?
As a sweaty Trump squirmed, Wallace absolutely took him apart better than any Biden campaign ad could hope to achieve. Wallace persistently called out Trump on his falsehoods, fact checking him in real time.
Trump played all of his hits that appeal to his base: Biden wants to defund the police; religion will go away if the Democrats win the election; confederate flags are good, and so are military bases named after Confederate generals who rebelled and tried to overthrow the USA.
Instead of an interview with a sitting President, it came off more like the rantings of a mad man.
Trump Stumbling
It’s frequently stated that all Biden need do in order to win the election is to sit back and let Trump open his mouth. There’s certainly an argument to be made in favor of this policy.
Just this week, Trump, who continues to declare himself as the “Law And Order” candidate, unleashed Department of Homeland Security officers on protesters in Portland, Oregon.
He’s now threatening to send similar groups to Chicago and Albuquerque. That brought a stern warning from Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot.
Under no circumstances will I allow Donald Trump’s troops to come to Chicago and terrorize our residents.
— Archived: Mayor Lori E. Lightfoot (@mayorlightfoot) July 21, 2020
A misleading Trump campaign ad claiming that a Biden win would lead to chaos and violence in the streets used an image of a Ukrainian police officer being attacked by protesters during the country’s 2014 revolution.
LOL
a new Trump ad warning of chaos & violence depicts a cop being attacked by protesters…
…only it's a pic from Kyiv in 2014, when Yanukovich's thugs fought to quash a democratic uprising.https://t.co/VfJujT50Lm pic.twitter.com/QBrlwauo6s
— Jesse Lehrich (@JesseLehrich) July 22, 2020
Published reports indicate that Trump is using US Ambassador to the UK Woody Johnson to seek to influence the British Open to be played at the Trump-owned Turnberry course in Scotland.
To top off a run of bad decisions, Trump wished Jeffrey Epstein co-conspirator Ghislaine Maxwell well during a Tuesday press conference. Maxwell, girlfriend of Epstein, was arrested earlier this month on charges of transporting children for illegal sex acts and lying during investigations into Epstein.
It’s the Economy
When people have money to put food on the table and provide shelter for their family, they’re more willing to overlook the peccadillos of a sitting President. Bill Clinton is a perfect example of this theory.
The loss of economic momentum due to the resurgence of COVID-19 in states that reopened too early has tanked consumer confidence in the USA.
US economy plunges 37% in Q2, to contract 6.6% in 2020 as #COVID19 resurgence poses biggest risk to it: IMF pic.twitter.com/IMRPD5UC1Y
— IndSamachar News (@Indsamachar) July 18, 2020
The last Republican incumbent to fail to win a second term was George H. Bush. Like Trump, Bush looked to be a safe bet for the first three years of his administration until the economy cratered in 1992.
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
