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Yang Almost Top-Five in Democratic Nomination Odds as Kamala Harris Flounders

Andrew Yang speaking
Democratic Presidential candidate Andrew Yang contines to climb in the odds. He's moved from +2100 to +1000 in the span of a month. Photo by Stephen McCarthy/Collision (flickr).
  • Andrew Yang continues to be the big mover in the 2020 Democratic Presidential odds
  • Yang’s odds have improved from +2100 to +1000 in the span of a month’s time
  • Meanwhile, Kamala Harris has slid from +240 in July to +700

Andrew Yang continues to be a mover and shaker in the 2020 Democratic Presidential race. Soon, he may be overtaking the slow-moving vehicle that is the Kamala Harris campaign.

Yang is on impressive roll. In a month’s time, the betting markets across the leading sportsbooks show him improving from +2100 to +1000 in the Democratic Nomination odds.

One online sportsbook now lists him as short as +800.

2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Odds

Candidate  Odds
Elizabeth Warren +185
Joe Biden +300
Bernie Sanders +500
Andrew Yang +800
Kamala Harris +1000
Pete Buttigieg +1600
Tulsi Gabbard +4000
Cory Booker +4000
Tom Steyer +5000
Beto O’Rourke +6600
Amy Klobuchar +8000

Odds taken on 09/07/19. 

Meanwhile, Harris is backing up and may soon relinquish her standing among the top five candidates. Her numbers showed impressive +240 odds in July following her strong showing the first round of Democratic Primary debates.

But ever since a poor performance the second time the candidates were gathered on the debate stage, stock in Harris has plummeted. Her average odds currently stand at +700.

Yang Moving Steadily but Quietly

As much as Yang climbs in the odds, he still is being relatively ignored by the mainstream media.

In fact, CNN  omitted Yang from graphics displaying recent polls numbers, including Beto O’Rourke instead.

O’Rourke is polling at 1%, while Yang is at 3%.

NBC left Yang’s name off a list of Democratic candidates who will be on the debate stage this month in Houston. He was quick to note it’s not the first time the network has overlooked him.

NBC later issued an apology after Yang called the network out for omitting him.

Social Media Hero

Where Yang dominates the race is on social media. He’s far and away the most popular Democrat there.

After posing the theory on Twitter that US President Donald Trump never speaks of Yang because he’s the candidate Trump fears the most, Yang’s fervid supporters – known as the Yang Gang – were quick to act.

They made the hashtag #trumpfearsyang the #1 trending topic on Twitter.

It’s hip to love Yang. He’s like that cool indie band that none of your friends have heard about. But can he make it with a big label?

He frequently talks about how people should be worried about automation taking their jobs, and not the immigrants that Trump frequently blames for all that ails America. Instead of gross domestic product, Yang believes that life expectancy and health of the environment should be the benchmark signs of a strong country.

Is Yangmentum Growing?

Yang has visited New Hampshire and Iowa, sites of the first stops on the nomination trail, 17 times apiece. He launched his ground game much earlier than many of his Democratic opponents.

FiveThirtyEight.com shows Yang at 4% in its latest New Hampshire Primary poll, tied for seventh with Amy Klobuchar. He’s nowhere near the numbers of Bernie Sanders (21%), Joe Biden (15%) or Elizabeth Warren (12%).

Every Presidential campaign seems to have a Yang. Four years ago, it was Sanders. Ron Paul whipped up a frenzy among a small but loud group of voters over three Presidential campaigns.

Yang’s supporters are mostly young. They are vocal and their message is loud and clear.

But the fact of the matter is that there simply aren’t enough of them to gain him the nomination.

This battle is a three-person race between Sanders, Warren and Biden, who already appear to be separating themselves from the crowded pack of Democratic candidates.

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