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Coke Zero Sugar 400 Odds, Picks & Predictions 2023

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Racing

Updated Aug 23, 2023 · 7:48 AM PDT

Austin Dillon celebrating his win in the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400
Austin Dillon celebrates after winning the Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway, Sunday, August 28, 2022. Coke Zero Win03
  • NASCAR switches to tight pack superspeedway racing with the Coke Zero Sugar 400, set to run 400 miles on Sunday, August 27th, 2023 at Daytona International Speedway
  • The contending favorites include Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski
  • Below are the Coke Zero Sugar 400 predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race

Close certainly counts in horseshoes and on track in the NASCAR Cup Series Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway. Over the last 21 races, the average winning margin amounts to 0.154 seconds.

It was Austin Dillon who took the checkered flag in last year’s race, but it’s Chase Elliott that oddsmakers are backing to finish ahead of the pack in this 160-lap 400-mile race under the lights at Daytona.

Elliott is the betting favorite at odds of +1100. Right behind him in a tight pack all at +1200 are Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski.

The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Coke Zero Sugar 400 from Daytona International Speedway (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Coke Zero Sugar 400 predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

Coke Zero Sugar 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Podium Finish Odds  Top Five Odds
Chase Elliott +1100 +300 +150
Ryan Blaney +1200 +350 +160
Kyle Busch +1200 +350 +160
Joey Logano +1200 +350 +160
Brad Keselowski +1200 +350 +160
William Byron +1400 +400 +180
Denny Hamlin +1400 +400 +180
Chris Buescher +1600 +450 +200
Bubba Wallace +1800 +500 +225
Ross Chastain +2000 +550 +250
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +2000 +550 +250
Kyle Larson +2000 +550 +250
Daniel Suarez +2000 +550 +250
Martin Truex Jr +2200 +600 +275
Austin Dillon +2200 +600 +275
Austin Cindric +2200 +600 +275
Aric Almirola +2200 +600 +275
Tyler Reddick +2500 +700 +300
Christopher Bell +2500 +700 +300
Alex Bowman +2500 +700 +300

William Byron, who won his Cup-series leading fifth race of the season last week on the Watkins Glen road course in Go Bowling At The Glen, is set with a betting line of +1400 this week. Bettors can access odds of +2200 on defending Coke Zero Sugar champion Austin Dillon.

NASCAR drivers rumble around this 1.5-mile oval for 400 miles and 160 laps, with a 35-60-65 stage lap setup when the flag drops. This Sunday evening race under the lights begins at 7pm ET on NBC.



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Odds as of August 22nd at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on NASCAR Coke Zero Sugar 400 or DraftKings Kentucky if you are a resident of KY. 

Drivers On The Playoff Bubble

The Coke Zero Sugar 400 is the final race prior to the NASCAR Cup playoffs and there is still one postseason spot up for grabs as the drivers tackle the beast that is Daytona.

During last week’s Go Bowling At The Glen, veterans Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick locked in playoff positions.  Meanwhile, still without a win this season, 2020 series champion Chase Elliott must take the checkered flag in this race to qualify for the playoffs for the eighth successive season.

Coke Zero Sugar 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2022 Austin Dillon – Richard Childress Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Chase Elliott– Hendrick Motorsports
2021 Ryan Blaney – Team Penske Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Joey Logano – Team Penske

Those on the playoff bubble include Bubba Wallace, Ty Gibbs and Daniel Suarez, currently rated 16 through 18 in the standings and all within 43 points of grabbing that elusive final berth.

First Time Winners Prominent In This Race

Of course, if a first-time winner for this season were to drive down Victory Lane at Daytona on Sunday, that 16th and final playoff spot is theirs. The NASCAR Cup Series odds are showing nine drivers with betting lines between +1100 and +1800, so it’s certainly a wide-open affair in the view of the oddsmakers.

Along with Elliott, other prominent drivers whose only playoff hope is a win on Sunday include Austin Cindric, AJ Allmendinger, Alex Bowman, and Aric Almirola.

The good news for them is that the last seven winners of this race were first-time winners of the event. Over the history of the race, 11 drivers have posted their first career Cup Series victory in the Coke Zero Sugar 400. That list includes Almirola.

Coke Zero Sugar 400 Predictions & Picks

Elliott’s bad luck continued at Watkins Glen, where he ran out of fuel with 36 laps to go. Having clinched a playoff berth, Keselowski is playing with house money. He’s run in the top 10 in four of the past six races. However, in this race, he’s finished 31st or higher in five of his last six starts.

Ryan Blaney’s 47% top-10 finish rate at superspeedways leads all current NASCAR drivers. Last year, Cindric won the Daytona 500 and finished third in this race.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Austin Cindric to Win (+2200)
  • Other Contenders: Brad Keselowski (+1200), Joey Logano (+1200), William Byron (+1400), Daniel Suarez (+2000)
  • Longshots: AJ Allmendinger (+4500), Todd Gilliland (+6000)
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