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Formula 1 2021 United States Grand Prix Odds and Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Oct 21, 2021 · 9:49 AM PDT

Formula 1 United States Grand Prix
Mercedes driver Valtteri Bottas of Finland drinks champagne on the podium after winning the Turkish Formula One Grand Prix at the Intercity Istanbul Park circuit in Istanbul, Turkey, Sunday, Oct. 10, 2021. (AP Photo)
  • Lewis Hamilton is favored to claim a seventh career win at the United States Grand Prix when he hits the track as a betting favorite on Sunday October 24th, 2021
  • Max Verstappen sits second in the odds, but Valtteri Bottas has emerged as an attractive bet to defend his title 
  • We’ve got you covered with the United States Grand Prix odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the United States Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas

Lewis Hamilton will be gunning for a seventh career victory at the United States Grand Prix when he hits the track on Sunday for this year’s edition of the race as a strong -135 favorite in F1 odds. The 36-year-old Englishman last captured the flag at this race back in 2017 but is coming off a steady performance two weeks ago in Turkey that ended with a respectable fifth-place finish. Currently perched atop the Formula 1 Drivers’ Standings, six points up on Hamilton, Max Verstappen closely follows as a +135 second favorite in the United States Grand Prix odds. Fresh off his first win of the season in Istanbul, Valtteri Bottas aims for a second straight win in the United States as an intriguing +1600 bet.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead lights out at the 2021 United States Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas on Sunday, October 24th, 2021 at 2:00 PM EST.

Odds to Win 2021 United States Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top 10
Lewis Hamilton -135 -400 -600 -900
Max Verstappen +135 -360 -550 -900
Valtteri Bottas +1600 -165 -450 -600
Sergio Perez +2000 +275 -360 -600
Lando Norris +4000 +330 -250 -500
Charles Leclerc +4000 +300 -250 -500
Carlos Sainz Jr. +8000 +750 -125 -450
Pierre Gasly +10000 +1000 +120 -280
George Russell +10000 +2500 +1000 +145
Daniel Ricciardo +15000 +1000 +165 -280
Fernando Alonso +20000 +1600 +275 -250
Esteban Ocon +20000 +1800 +500 -140
Sebastian Vettel +25000 +1800 +550 -120
Lance Stroll +30000 +2800 +1100 +110
Yuki Tsunoda +40000 +6500 +3500 +175
Antonio Giovinazzi +40000 +13000 +6500 +650
Kimi Raikkonen +40000 +13000 +6500 +650
Nicholas Latifi +50000 +20000 +10000 +1100
Mick Schumacher +50000 +15000 +8000 +1100
Nikita Mazepin +50000 +25000 +10000 +1800

Odds as of October 21st at DraftKings

Lewis Hamilton Betting Outlook at United States Grand Prix

With an enviable record of success at this event, it comes as no surprise that Lewis Hamilton enters the weekend atop the United States Grand Prix odds. Hamilton’s steady run has also maintained Mercedes’ dominance, with the German automaker capturing the checkered flag in five of the past six editions of this race.

While Hamilton was forced to settle for fifth place in Turkey after being hit with a 10-place grid penalty due to an engine upgrade, the path is clear for him to challenge for pole position for the fourth time in his past five appearances in Austin. However, no shortage of challenges awaits the defending F1 champion as he aims to claim just his third victory in 13 outings.

Verstappen Favored in United States Grand Prix Odds

Most notable among those threats is Max Verstappen, who aims to pad his lead atop the F1 Drivers Standings with his eighth victory of the season. The Red Bull Racing star is coming off back-to-back second-place finishes and has reached the podium on 12 occasions this season. However, success has eluded him in the United States, where he remains winless and tallied just two podium finishes in five all-time appearances. Nonetheless, Verstappen comes into the weekend as the second betting favorite in the United States Grand Prix odds.

Despite his past struggles in Austin, Verstappen remains a constant threat. The 24-year-old has taken the pole on eight occasions so far this season, and like Hamilton, Verstappen should also benefit from a recent engine upgrade. That adds value to the +190 odds of the standings leader emerging as the fastest qualifier this weekend.

United States Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory
2020 Race cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic n/a
2019 Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes 4.148 sec
2018 Kimi Räikkönen – Ferrari 1.281 sec
2017 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 10.143 sec
2016 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 4.520 sec
2015 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.850 sec
2014 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 4.314 sec

Bottas Poised for Back-to-Back Wins

While the focus remains on the seesaw battle between Hamilton and Verstappen for this season’s title, Valtteri Bottas has quietly emerged gained momentum. The 32-year-old has turned in some of his best performances of the season since announcing his departure from Mercedes at the end of the 2021 campaign.

In addition to his recent victory in Istanbul, Bottas has also claimed a podium spot in three of his past four outings. He also earned the pole in the last edition of this race, before speeding to victory, and offers tremendous value as a +1600 bet to win back-to-back races for the first time in his F1 career at the United States Grand Prix.

United States Grand Prix Picks & Predictions

While Lando Norris has struggled at times since opening the season with 10 straight points finishes including three trips to the podium, both he and his McLaren teammate could be poised for a breakthrough this weekend. With the track at Circuit of the Americas featuring a pair of lengthy straightaways, the two McLaren drivers are well positioned to keep pace with their Mercedes and Red Bull drivers.

In addition Norris’ attractive +330 odds of finishing top three, and Ricciardo’s +165 odds of cracking the top six, McLaren is pegged as a solid +100 bet in the United States Grand Prix odds to produce the best finish behind Red Bull and Mercedes.

The Picks: Valtteri Bottas to win (+1600); Valtteri Bottas top three (-150); Lando Norris top three (+330)

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